overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Fundamentalist
- 30 Nov 2005 14:23
- 441 of 1009
Fred
1 of the big probs weve discussed before is as an investor we never know what these contracts are worth or even how they are structured (ie upfornt payments, amount per transaction etc) - be intersting to see the effect in the annual results
55011
- 30 Nov 2005 15:09
- 442 of 1009
There would be references to "commercial confidence". Also depends how far down the development road they are.
I see Squarewheel have extracted the digit at last and updated my holdings. So they will have done everyone else's too. Might be a few jumping ship this afternoon now. The spread is 1.25p in the old terms, quite hefty. So much for consolidation "reducing the spread, liquidity, blah, blah....". Expect a spell hereabouts and then we can move on again.
phillkay
- 30 Nov 2005 17:59
- 443 of 1009
Has a consolidation occurred?
Fundamentalist
- 30 Nov 2005 19:00
- 444 of 1009
Yes
5 for 1
optomistic
- 30 Nov 2005 20:53
- 445 of 1009
Nothing like keeping informed about your holdings!
Fundamentalist
- 30 Nov 2005 20:56
- 446 of 1009
Opto
im the only one who answered and i dont even hold them at the moment!!!
are you still bullish or waiting for annual results?
optomistic
- 30 Nov 2005 23:06
- 447 of 1009
Fundy, definately bullish. What are you doing without them, I thought you would have been in around the low 20's. Don't now expect everything to happen overnight but RTD has a long way to grow. IMO!
Looking forward to the results.
Fundamentalist
- 30 Nov 2005 23:11
- 448 of 1009
Opto
mostly in cash currently, but continue to monitor RTD. Want to see some transformation from transactions to turnover/profit growth in CNP thats outweighs the decline in CP before ill buy back in
optomistic
- 30 Nov 2005 23:20
- 449 of 1009
Fundy, you generally have good judgment and I am sure your point is good about waiting for the growth in CNP to outweigh the CP "decline" (Is it in decline?) I'm not sure about that. Do you not also consider the value of the fuel card business, Fuelserve has yet to be maximised, good growth to come there.
I hope you don't miss the boat and likewise I hope I am not on too soon.
But I do remain bullish.
cheers
opto
Fundamentalist
- 30 Nov 2005 23:27
- 450 of 1009
Opto
yes CP is in decline - cant remember the numbers but was definitely down last set of results. As you know i was very bullish on this up until last annual results but just didnt like the numbers. To a degree the lack of growth has been confirmed (imo) by them deciding to buy another fuel card business imo. Yes i value the fuel card business but would view it as more of a utility stock (high yield) than a high tech growth stock which ultimately is why i was invested in RTD and the more predominat the fuel card business comes the lower the PE the company will attract.
Good luck with your holding
optomistic
- 30 Nov 2005 23:33
- 451 of 1009
Thanks Fundy, bed for me now. Night.
55011
- 30 Nov 2005 23:36
- 452 of 1009
....and if it should join the list of dividend payers then that would attract a host of income seeking investers. As long as the dividends flow they will stay loyal.
Fundamentalist
- 01 Dec 2005 10:49
- 453 of 1009
UBS no longer hold a notifiable interest
optomistic
- 01 Dec 2005 10:52
- 454 of 1009
Sometimes confusing those notes, would be more helpful if they released the actual stock held rather than the "no longer notifiable interest" statement. Took 3p off them though.
Fundamentalist
- 01 Dec 2005 10:54
- 455 of 1009
Opto
thems the rules - anything under 3 % is not required to be notified - so they could have sold out completely or have 2.99%
optomistic
- 01 Dec 2005 11:02
- 456 of 1009
Yup....time they were changed :-)
55011
- 01 Dec 2005 11:13
- 457 of 1009
Did UBS take up their offer entitlement? If not, then they may have merely been diluted to below 3%.
55011
- 01 Dec 2005 11:16
- 458 of 1009
Price slipped a bit this morning. But the fun and games is within the spread. It was briefly back to the "offer below mid" we saw a few weeks back, but has now recovered. So that trade at 125p would have been a "buy". This led the offer to creep up 0.3p.
Fred1new
- 01 Dec 2005 13:45
- 459 of 1009
The Good and the Bad
NOTIFICATION OF MAJOR INTERESTS IN SHARES
1. Name of company
RETAIL DECISIONS PLC
2. Name of shareholder having a major interest
THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, INC. ('GS INC.')
3. Please state whether notification indicates that it is in respect of holding
of the shareholder named in 2 above or in respect of a non-beneficial interest
or in the case of an individual holder if it is a holding of that person's
spouse or children under the age of 18
(A) GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO, a wholly-owned direct subsidiary of GS INC., acting as
custodian for its customers; and
(B) GOLDMAN SACHS INTERNATIONAL, a wholly-owned indirect subsidiary of GS INC.
4. Name of the registered holder(s) and, if more than one holder, the number of
shares held by each of them
(A) GOLDMAN SACHS SECURITIES (NOMINEES), LIMITED 8,453
(B) GOLDMAN SACHS INTERNATIONAL A/C CREPTEMP 19,659,522
5. Number of shares / amount of stock acquired
NOT INFORMED
6. Percentage of issued class
NOT INFORMED
7. Number of shares / amount of stock disposed
NOT INFORMED
8. Percentage of issued class
NOT INFORMED
9. Class of security
ORDINARY 1P SHARES
10. Date of transaction
NOT INFORMED
11. Date company informed
28 NOVEMBER 2005
12. Total holding following this notification
19,669,975
13. Total percentage holding of issued class following this notification
5.05%
14. Any additional information
N/A
15. Name of contact and telephone number for queries
RICHARD AMOS
(01483) 728700
16. Name and signature of authorised company official responsible for making
this notification
RICHARD AMOS
FINANCE DIRECTOR
Date of notification
29 NOVEMBER 2005
Retail Decisions PLC
01 December 2005
Retail Decisions plc (the 'Company')
Holding in Company
The Company has today been informed that, as at 28 November 2005, UBS AG no
longer has a notifiable interest in the Company's Ordinary Shares of 1p each.
Enquiries
Richard Amos - Group Finance Director
T. 01483 728700
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
55011
- 01 Dec 2005 14:33
- 460 of 1009
There have been more recent RNS releases.
You should look at the other side, as it's more active and has charts and RNS in the headers.
Anyway we've just shot up. Still can't buy in size(1,500 max) so I think something big is still squeezing through the market. Hold tight.