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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

iamole - 30 Jun 2005 15:41 - 443 of 1497

I wouldn't hold my breath, this deal has been "imminent" for 18mths now, and Medtronic know they are in a very strong negotiating position with cashflow a problem at MDW, I've seen it before, the co. with the great new product has to sell out cheap and the large co makes the money or takes over the struggling minnow. Avoid for the time being, wait for the rights issue announcement at 5p

overgrowth - 30 Jun 2005 16:19 - 444 of 1497

iamole - you seem to think that Medtronic is the only US distributor available to take on Mediwatch products lol!

In the very unlikely event that the Medtronic deal is off, then CR Bard would make an ideal partner for the US because they're already distributing into Europe and Canada for Mediwatch. I assume that Mediwatch have gone for a deal with Medtronic in preference to Bard because they will be able to negotiate a more substantial up-front payment.

As you well know, because of legal issues Mediwatch have actually only been working on the deal for the past 6 months. The US deal will be company transforming, hence time needs to be taken to make sure it is exactly right.

Mediwatch have worked very hard to develop the business over the past 5 years, and they are on the cusp of reaping the rewards for all that hard work, they're not going to throw it all away as you seem to be suggesting.

Admittedly the US deal will be a big earner, however PSAwatch is destined to go down a stormer in all other markets too and will be distributed by companies such as GE Medical, Bard, Tronda etc.

This is not a one-deal or one-product company, I think you need to do a little more research before being quite so dismissive - or are you just looking to get in at 8p after scaring everyone away? lol !

overgrowth - 01 Jul 2005 11:26 - 445 of 1497

10p starting to look like a support level...

1nudger - 01 Jul 2005 12:28 - 446 of 1497

overgrowth, im a new boy on a big learning curve, what do support level mean, as much info as possible please....

overgrowth - 01 Jul 2005 13:03 - 447 of 1497

1nudger - I think you'll find that this link explains it pretty well.

http://www.metaquotes.net/techanalysis/support

If you've still got questions after reading the article, let me know and I'll try to answer them.

crispyd - 01 Jul 2005 15:01 - 448 of 1497

1nudger

You are not alone.

Overgrowth thanks for the website.....much appreciated.


Crispyd

optomistic - 01 Jul 2005 15:06 - 449 of 1497

1nudger/crispid, also lots of books in the local library on stock market investing. Reading as many as possible could be time well spent.

1nudger - 01 Jul 2005 15:34 - 450 of 1497

thanks for the info, brillaint to know this BB is a font of knowledge

ptholden - 01 Jul 2005 15:53 - 451 of 1497

1nudger, if you want to learn all about technical analysis (support / resistance and a whole lot more) you could do worse than buying 'Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets' by John J Murphy.

A bit pricey, but a huge amount of information (most of it's available on the web in one form or another, but a lot easier to read from a book). Available through AM.

Good luck.

pth

crispyd - 01 Jul 2005 16:50 - 452 of 1497

ptholden/optomistic

I need to get to grips with the jargon, that'll keep me off the streets for a while.

Thanks for the info.
Crispyd

1nudger - 01 Jul 2005 16:52 - 453 of 1497

thanks for your help, perhaps any of you gents/ladies ?, could have a look at the new thread TPK

andysmith - 04 Jul 2005 10:34 - 454 of 1497

Added at 10.6p this morning. Off on hols tomorrow so here's hoping for that good news.

overgrowth - 04 Jul 2005 10:43 - 455 of 1497

We shouldn't have to wait long for news now andy - best to be in when it breaks.

Have a good hol.

petralva - 04 Jul 2005 15:09 - 456 of 1497

another small tick up i see.................

jnknill - 04 Jul 2005 15:18 - 457 of 1497

pth/og, News on the horizon, the closer horizon hopefully! Rgds.

ptholden - 04 Jul 2005 16:41 - 458 of 1497

Hi jnk

Still here and watching closely. Just about over my complete disaster of the last ten days or so with MDW. Sometimes, when you're not happy with a position it is best to just get out, take a reduced profit or loss and think again. Still have a lot of these and am wondering about topping up again at these levels. Really need to see which way it's going before I do though. Quite a bit of talk still about raising cash through a shares issue. Hopefully a deal with Medtronic with an upfront payment will neagte any such requirement.

pth

jnknill - 04 Jul 2005 20:47 - 459 of 1497

Hello pth, Good to get your news/views. Have to say I wouldn,t be too happy with a shares issue, apart from the personal feeling of being "let-down" I tend to think that any previous PR work is quickly negated and furthermore potential investors appear to sense "big-big" weakness in-house and quickly disappear! On the selfish front I also happen to have a reasonable holding. So heres to Medtronic!Well pleased to hear that you have somewhat settled on your holding, this Company would be the worse off if it lost Investors of your calibre, hopefully I am not coming across on the" patronising reception". Finally, what is your view on the 100k+ purchase today, do you think it is an Inst., or what? Good luck & regds.

ptholden - 04 Jul 2005 21:01 - 460 of 1497

jnk

Wouldn't be institutional buying for relatively few shares. Institutions tend to buy in large blocks at an agreed price and hold the price back for eons until the order is filled. However, us mushrooms have so little to go on, who knows? In reality the purchase of 100k worth of shares is not a particularly large investment in financial terms, only about 11k at todays prices. I just hope that the long for promised news is not too long in coming, else we will be into a drifting of the SP, and probably slowly down! But, to look on the bright side, MDW have stated that they are in negotiations with Medtronic and not discussions. As OG has already said this is an absolute fundamental difference. Fingers crossed.

pth

overgrowth - 05 Jul 2005 16:23 - 461 of 1497

It's good too see MDW with a slight tick up again - I haven't been watching too closely - too distracted today with DGT and RTD soaring.

It looks as though the price may meander now between 10.5 and 12 whilst everyone is waiting for the US news.

I think that when the US news comes out it will be a case of "buy on news" rather than "buy on rumour" for a lot of people who've had MDW on their watch list but not bought in yet.

ptholden - 05 Jul 2005 17:25 - 462 of 1497

og

Think this might be the start of the next leg up, although I may be jumping the gun (again!). Whether right or wrong, have bought a few more today at a much better price than before, so am slowly building again. Very tight stop loss set, just in case the news is not what we would wish for.

pth
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