hawick
- 29 Feb 2004 10:27
I promised an occasional set of suggestions on undiscovered and undervalued ofex stocks. I said there were still a few astonishing bargains over there and in my view this one fits the bill admirably. (my first suggestion Millbrook is up after two new partnerships and a nice contract win.)
Before i go any further, if you do not like property stocks, look away now! Let's not have a debate on the delights or otherwise of a property crash. i think you as investors have your views and are pretty clued up on the arguments for and against, but suffice to say, if you think commercial property will tumble then this share is not for you.
The stock, then is GSC Property. I hold. GSC has a portfolio worth 43 million plus cash of just under 5 million, after a recent sale. Repayments are fixed over 25 years at around 6%, totalling about 37 million. So nav is over 10 million and the nav is 101p a share. The shares are trading at 55-60p (market cap 5.75 million, nearly covered by cash!) a 40%+ discount to nav and as i said in the headline are profitable.
So why else is this so attractive? It buys on the theme of covenant, rather than location. Among the properties they own are a banking hall in Essex and a drive through in Birmingham. 90% of their customers are top 350 UK companies and or government. They are due for a revaluation of their portfolio soon, (likely to be up if the market is any indicator) and rent reviews should add to profits. The nearest company I can find is Aim listed PHP which is trading at a 5-10% Premium to nav. That would put GSC on 110p a share. Even if you think a discount is more apt however a 10-15% discount would see the shares at 85-90p which i consider to be fair value for the short term.
Oh they even pay a dividend of over 1p a share.
Strong Buy.
hawick
- 14 May 2004 11:43
- 48 of 67
Hi 8Ball, I think there must be someone trying to buy a few behind the scenes, up another 2p on another 1000 shares this morning. Of course, Ofex ain't going to persuade anyone to sell at the current levels, and i reckon they know it!
hawick
- 15 May 2004 22:14
- 50 of 67
Just guessing here 8ball, but 1.5 million should come off the amounts due, (annually, but remember these figures are just for a six month period) so even with break even and no portfolio upgrade that should mean an increase in nav.
Share price 72.5p :) :) :)
And so it will improve, year after year! Those of us already in, (or who join in soon,) are laughing!
hawick
- 20 May 2004 15:22
- 55 of 67
MPW, very good point there, thanks for pointing out another attraction of GSC. As a shareholder I am pleased to tell you there are none, zero, zilch options/warrants etc!! :) .
Totally agree with you though mpw777 they can be very debilitating for Ofex stocks in particular, and imho these are the Ofex stocks that will be most vulnerable to shorters when competitive mms arrive (beware - infact I'd say avoid - most shares that were originally Ruegg offerings in particular, they could get thumped by shorters, far too heavy a dilution in most cases imho, making them real vulnerable!).
Results due from GSC next week, so hoping we will see an ever increasing GSC nav. Indeed, if they were to award themselves a few options, could not blame them!
As for the competitive mm comment, not worried atall. Much more likely to benefit a stock like this at such a tasty discount to nav. :)
Anyone shorting a stock like this would get badly burnt imho. As i am in for the long term such shenanigans would be welcome opportunities to top up. :)
Suggest you keep an eye out for GSC results MPW, could persuade you to get in.
Incidentally, which as i think Third Eye knows, i tipped Oakdene elsewhere last summer at 48.5p (he was negative on that one then too, as he was on GSC at 45p more recently). Oakdene is up 130% since, so a bit of a correction today not really a problem! And I reckon GSC could overtake it in the next twelve months :) .
hawick
- 20 May 2004 23:28
- 57 of 67
Yep MPW could not put you off SAF either, indeed thanks to 8Ball I hold a few of them too. :).
I don't blame you btw 8ball for going in again for GSC, hard to resist at this level. My biggest ofex holding, and certainly one i feel 100% comfortable with.
Falling repayments (750,000 for the last six months) and an increasing portfolio valuation (though it may or may not come with results) together with a small profit hopefully, all should make this a more than worthwhile investment as nav rises!!
hawick
- 21 May 2004 22:36
- 61 of 67
8Ball looked like 2x1000 trades and then the odd number 1978 or similar? Was up 5p at 10am, then 9p afternoon. Was up 9p before the last trade was reported, though it may have already happened.
Looking forward to Third Eye's next visit to this thread,hope it is as persuasive to investors as his last one! (His comment that 40p was fair value still amuses us GSC holders.) :)
8 Ball
- 22 May 2004 00:17
- 62 of 67
If the other two trades were buys, I wonder where the shares came from.
We may have had a directors sell today in order to fill the orders.
If not it will have to come soon.
The 10,000 shares sold by the Directors on 24th Mar must have all gone by now?
Hawick..Where did you get your trades data from?
I just tried counting up the trades since 24 mar from the chart on OFEX.com and my guess is 6,000 plus todays. (9,894)
hawick
- 22 May 2004 22:30
- 63 of 67
HarryP nice to see you.......... Shrewd move and sure you are looking forward to results next week and what I am sure will be a nice increase to nav.
8Ball apparently one of the trades was a sell! A poster at SC says he sold on Friday. Makes rise even more impressive! I am almost embarrassed to admit picking up my five figure amount of shares at an average of under 55p, even after all costs. Sometimes it pays (as for your brill buy of Wynnstay 8Ball) to buy when everyone else thinks you are loopy, and even mock you, out of mere ignorance or prejudice - even jealousy ........... :). Had I done it -even at 80p - though, rest assured, I would feel just as comfy. For me long term in this share means exactly that.
One of the easiest stocks around to number crunch, and the numbers add up for shareholders beautifully.
The basic info is on the ofex leaderboard but I only have idea of breakdown as I logged in a few times on Friday and saw numbers change.
8 Ball
- 26 May 2004 19:05
- 64 of 67
GSC PROPERTY HOLDINGS PLC
FINAL REPORT 2003
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT FOR THE CONSOLIDATED GROUP RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31
DECEMBER 2003
In this my first annual report for the Company I am pleased to announce that
the final results for the year ended 31st December 2003 show a very
satisfactory increase in operating profits due mainly from some of the
outstanding rent reviews being settled and property disposals. Our target is to
have a net rental surplus of GBP1Million (comprising rents received less all
interest paid). The Company is 80% towards that target which we hope to reach
during 2004.
During this year the Company has been very active in the property market taking
the opportunity to reposition its investment portfolio by selling some of its
older investments and re-investing in newer properties with longer leases. The
Company has also replaced all its old and varied high priced loans with a bond
style mortgage with interest set for 25 years at substantially lower rates. The
cost of this refinancing has led to a once only write-off.
With on going lower interest rates now payable by the Company and with a number
of very important rent reviews nearing settlement I expect the long term
profitability of the Company to continue to improve.
The Company is also continuing to seek opportunities from within the existing
portfolio. The management team are aware of improving the uses of some of our
properties where tenants have unused or under utilised space. These
opportunities will be vigorously pursued during the second half of the year.
RESULTS IN BRIEF
Rental revenues for the year were GBP2,534,090, and net interest payable was
GBP1,733,880. Profit before tax for the period was GBP2,421,821. The results
include the profit on sale of investment properties of GBP3,476,670 and an
exceptional charge of GBP1,123,802 arising on the refinancing of the entirety
of the group's borrowings. Adjusted earnings per share for the period were
21.08p.
Prior to the introduction of the company to OFEX, the company made a bonus
issue of 87,000 GBP1 ordinary shares to existing shareholders, and then split
the GBP1 ordinary shares into 100 1p ordinary shares. This gave a more
practical number of shares and value for each share. The earnings per share
figures quoted above and the dividend figures below have been adjusted to
reflect the effect of this reorganisation.
DIVIDENDS
A final dividend of 2.0p per share (GBP199,960) is proposed making the dividend
for the year 3.2p (GBP319,960). The dividend will be paid on 30th June 2004 to
shareholders on the register at 18th June 2004.
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
The Annual General Meeting of the Company will be held on 29 June 2004 at
Courtway House 129 Hamlet Court Road Westcliff on Sea Essex SS0 7EW at 11.00am.
ALAN GERSHLICK
Chairman
26 May 2004
GSC PROPERTY HOLDINGS PLC
CONSOLIDATED PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT
For the year ended 31 December 2003
AUDITED Audited
YEAR ENDED Year ended
31 DECEMBER 31 December
2003 2002
NOTE GBP GBP
TURNOVER 2 2,534,090 1,840,529
Administrative expenses (774,204) (513,843)
Other operating income 17,760 -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OPERATING PROFIT 1,777,646 1,326,686
Profit on disposal of fixed assets 3 3,476,670 144,932
Cost of Refinancing 3 (1,123,802) -
Interest payable (1,733,880) (1,069,899)
Interest receivable 25,187 -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PROFIT ON ORDINARY ACTIVITIES BEFORE 2,421,821 401,719
TAXATION
Tax on profit on ordinary activities 4 (313,872) (117,613)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD 2,107,949 284,106
Dividends (319,960) (124,000)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TRANSFERRED TO RESERVES 8 1,787,989 160,106
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Earnings per ordinary share (pence) - 5 35.18p 18.79p
unadjusted
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Earnings per ordinary share (pence) - 5 21.08p 2.84p
adjusted
Weighted average number of ordinary shares 9,998,000 9,998,000
in issue (as restated)
GSC PROPERTY HOLDINGS PLC
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
At 31 December 2003
AUDITED Audited
AS AT as at
31 DECEMBER 2003 31 December 2002
NOTE GBP GBP
FIXED ASSETS
Tangible assets 206,082 568,358
Investments 6 45,309,003 22,545,000
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
45,515,085 23,113,358
CURRENT ASSETS
Debtors 9,230,238 774,422
Other short-term investments 705 705
Cash at bank and in hand 4,991,685 410,575
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14,222,628 1,185,702
CREDITORS: AMOUNTS FALLING DUE (2,989,315) (2,251,917)
WITHIN ONE YEAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
NET CURRENT LIABILITIES 11,233,313 (1,066,215)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT LIABILITIES 56,748,398 22,047,143
CREDITORS: AMOUNTS FALLING DUE (44,620,743) (13,089,781)
IN MORE THAN ONE YEAR
PROVISIONS: DEFERRED TAX - (26,789)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT LIABILITIES 12,127,655 8,930,573
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
CAPITAL AND RESERVES
Called up share capital 7 99,980 12,980
Share premium account 4,500 4,500
Revaluation reserve 8,825,006 7,415,913
Profit and loss account 5 3,198,169 1,497,180
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Shareholders' funds 12,127,655 8,930,573
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
GSC PROPERTY HOLDINGS PLC
NOTES TO THE FINAL REPORT 2003
1. BASIS OF PREPARATION
This is the first year that consolidated group accounts for GSC Property
Holdings plc have been prepared. Tidalgate Investments Limited was brought into
the group following a group reorganisation on 27 December 2002, and the
comparative results for the year to 31 December 2002 show the pro-forma
consolidated results that would have been presented, had consolidated accounts
been prepared.
2. TURNOVER
Turnover represents rental income invoiced in the period and is stated net of
VAT.
3. EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS
The profit on disposal of fixed assets arises on sales of properties from the
group's investment portfolio.
In April 2003, the group refinanced all of its borrowings into a single bond
over 25 years at between 6.16% and 6.25%. The interest rates are fixed for the
duration of the bond. The refinance penalty arose on the early termination of
the group's existing loans.
4. TAX CHARGE
The tax charge relating to the current year has been calculated at 30% of the
profit before tax and is based on the current estimate of the effective tax
rate for the full year. The Group adopts the provisions of the UK Financial
Reporting Standard 19, however no adjustments have been made as the effect is
not material.
5. EARNINGS PER SHARE
The weighted average number of shares in issue has been restated where
necessary to take account of the bonus issue and share split that occurred in
April 2003
Earnings per share have been calculated to include total earnings attributable
to equity shareholders arising in the period. Adjusted earnings have been
calculated to report only distributable earnings arising in the period and do
not include movements through the revaluation reserve. The reconciliation
between the two is shown below:
YEAR TO 31 YEAR TO 31
DEC 2003 DEC 2003
GBP GBP
TOTAL EARNINGS ARISING IN THE PERIOD 3,517,042 1,878,816
LESS
EARNINGS ATTRIBUTABLE TO REVALUATION OF PROPERTY (1,409,093) (1,594,708)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADJUSTED EARNINGS 2,107,949 284,108
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p p
TOTAL EARNINGS PER SHARE (p) 35.18 18.79
LESS
EARNINGS ATTRIBUTABLE TO REVALUATION OF PROPERTY (14.09) (15.95)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE (p) 21.08 2.84
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6. INVESTMENTS
In the year to 31 December 2003 the group purchased investment properties at a
cost of GBP28,708,834. Properties with a book value of GBP11,150,001 were sold
in the period, realising a profit on disposal of GBP3,476,670.
7. SHARE CAPITAL
On 30 April 2003, the company made a bonus issue of 87,000 GBP1 ordinary shares
to the existing shareholders. Immediately following the bonus issue the company
subdivided each GBP1 ordinary share into 100 shares of 1p each. The company now
has 9,998,000 issued and fully-paid shares of 1p each.
8. PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT
AUDITED Audited
YEAR ENDED Year ended
31 DEC 2003 31 December 2002
GBP GBP
Profit and loss account at the start of the period 1,497,180 1,343,555
Retained profit for the period 1,787,989 160,106
Other movements - (6,481)
Capitalisation of reserves on issue of bonus shares (87,000) -
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Profit and loss account at the end of the period 3,198,169 1,479,180
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------