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Dubious sell-off     

ellio - 15 May 2006 09:10

The market seems to be selling-off on the back of limited bad news imo, apart from the dollar that is.

If you can hold your nerve and apart from any short term requirements to offload poor performing stocks, I have a couple!!, my advice would be sit tight. This does not have the feel of the tech(mining!) bubble at all. Difference being there are a lot of good fundamentals, unlike in 2000 when there were a lot of over rated nothing companies.

Strawbs - 05 Mar 2007 10:41 - 451 of 1564

Does anyone know if the equity settlement dates are roughly the same worldwide? e.g. T+3. I'm just thinking that if equities are being liquidated to repay the carry trade, presumably the settlement and pay back into the yen will be 3 days behind the stockmarket turmoil? E.g. Did last Tuesdays sell-off results in Yen payments on Friday, and will todays sell off result in a stronger Yen on Thursday? If so then maybe tomorrow or Wednesday could be a little calmer, before further falls at the end of the week.

Strawbs

hlyeo98 - 05 Mar 2007 10:44 - 452 of 1564

The think the week will remain cautious or gloomy at its worse as interest rate is likely to increase in europe this week and ours on Thursday is due for a decision.

cynic - 05 Mar 2007 10:47 - 453 of 1564

AL ..... my gut instinct is that there could be a decent bounce imminently ..... no real logic to this other than the basic fact that markets/stocks neither rise nor fall in straight lines.

put another way ..... i have already set a pretty tight stop loss (misnomer there!) on my nicely profitable Dow position, but that does not mean that iw ould then go long! ...... in fact, rather to my surprise, Dow has now resumed its freefall (-123)

Big Al - 05 Mar 2007 10:54 - 454 of 1564

cynic - DCB at some time - has to be. 6k / 12k are round numbers - give or take.

Am long UKX here, but aware it is faring better than other indices, e.g. DAX and CAC

cynic - 05 Mar 2007 10:56 - 455 of 1564

DCB????? ..... Dow? ..... if so, have put limit at 11950 which i think is a solid support level, but may well remove that and just keep tightening stop

steveo - 05 Mar 2007 11:36 - 456 of 1564

dead cat bounce

Kivver - 05 Mar 2007 12:27 - 457 of 1564

what has changed from a week ago??? apart from the asian market going down, not sold a share only bought, hope i prove to be right!!

cynic - 05 Mar 2007 12:36 - 458 of 1564

brave (or perhaps foolish) guy to rush out to buy ...... plenty of time to sift through the rubble and find genuine bargains based on fundamentals, for lack of a better word, as opposed to just buying a share because it has dropped a bundle

steveo - 05 Mar 2007 12:57 - 459 of 1564

Agreed,
looking more like a repeat of May by the hour, would wait, will be turbulent for next month.

hlyeo98 - 05 Mar 2007 13:03 - 460 of 1564

It is a deja vu, steveo.

HARRYCAT - 05 Mar 2007 13:08 - 461 of 1564

Broker on BBC2 working lunch also implying that due to rise in japanese interest rates & v $ & far eatern volatility that this week will probably see a further slide in the FTSE.

cynic - 05 Mar 2007 13:24 - 462 of 1564

maybe, but my gut feeling is that we shall see a rally in NY ...... big Q is whether or not it can be sustained past closing time.

have just closed my Dow short if of any interest, and vaguely contemplating going long

steveo - 05 Mar 2007 13:41 - 463 of 1564

My gut feeling it will continue to drop to around 12000 then rally.

Big Al - 05 Mar 2007 13:47 - 464 of 1564

Futs have been below 12k for most of morning, but are up to 12050 +/- now FYI

cynic - 05 Mar 2007 13:55 - 465 of 1564

closed short at 12018 ..... have opened a small long Dow at 12052, but will be watching carefully

silvermede - 05 Mar 2007 14:11 - 466 of 1564

Good luck cynic, it's interesting to watch you play the markets. :-)

cynic - 05 Mar 2007 14:31 - 467 of 1564

scares the shit out of me i can tell you .... lol!

Falcothou - 05 Mar 2007 14:44 - 468 of 1564

Hi cynic why do you choose the Dow and not the s&p500?

cynic - 05 Mar 2007 14:47 - 469 of 1564

no good reason ...... it's just the index that i have followed over time .... anyway, so far so good

Kivver - 05 Mar 2007 15:02 - 470 of 1564

bought more azm, kmr, ng. will tell you a couple of weeks how I got on.
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