Broker note out today:
"The timing of William Hill’s move for Sportingbet may come as a surprise to many given that most would have expected the group to concentrate its fire power on exercising the William Hill Online call options. While a deal for both Sportingbet and Playtech’s WHO stake could cost in the region of £900m and would require an element of equity and debt funding, we believe that the company has the capacity to complete both deals in the near term.
We estimate that a deal to acquire Sportingbet alone at a price of 65p (cost £544m) could enhance FY13 EPS by 6%, and would imply 38% of group EBIT from online. Additionally we believe the implied ratings post a deal would be undemanding (FY13 PE of 11.4x and an FY13 EV/EBITDA of 8.3x). If the group was also to acquire the 29% of William Hill Online from Playtech for £350m (total M&A cost of £895m using a 10% equity raise and £675m additional debt) this would enhance FY13 EPS by 11%. Under this scenario c.46% of group profits would be derived from online, and the FY13 PE would be 10.8x and the EV/EBITDA would be 8.3x.
Overall, we would view the move for Sportingbet’s regulated businesses as a positive that makes both strategic and financial sense for William Hill. Based on our calculations, the implied multiples post a transaction appear undemanding for a group that would have such a growing online presence (up to 45% FY13 EBIT from online if the group exercises both M&A opportunities). BUY