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SET TO SHOOT UP ? (SKP)     

peeyam - 06 Dec 2005 10:17

reasons:

1) Innovata are in merger talks with skypharma - (company has a valuation between 50-70p) and is currently trading on the lower end.

2) SkyePharma PLC ('the Company')
Notification of Major Interest in Shares

on 17th October 2005 by HBM BioVentures (Cayman) Ltd that following a series of
purchases it held a notifiable interest in 25,000,000 Ordinary shares of the
Company, representing 3.98% of the issued share capital of the Company.
-------------------------
on 25 October 2005 that HBM BioVentures (Cayman) Ltd had increased their
notifiable interest to 32,446,233 Ordinary Shares, representing 5.17% of the
issued share capital of the Company.
----------------------------------------
on 7 November 2005 that HBM BioVentures (Cayman) Ltd had increased their
notifiable interest to 50,000,000 Ordinary Shares, representing 6.63% of the
issued share capital of the Company.
--------------------
on 2 December 2005 that HBM BioVentures (Cayman) Ltd had increased their
notifiable interest to 57,295,894 Ordinary Shares, representing 7.60% of the
issued share capital of the Company.
----------------------------
on 5 December 2005 that HBM BioVentures (Cayman) Ltd had increased their
notifiable interest to 63,780,450 Ordinary Shares, representing 8.46% of the
issued share capital of the Company.
----------------------

HBM BioVentures (Cayman) Ltd have in the past 45 days or so increased their holding in the company from 25 million shares to well over 63 million shares now.

_______________

would love to know what you guys think.






Kivver - 06 Mar 2006 23:14 - 46 of 74

looks like i may have put too much faith in too, now bought 3 batches and in loss with all 3. if this egm doesnt work in my (and others) favour i could lose a lot of money. There has been a fair sized volume of shares traded in the last week or so and the price hasnt dropped dramatically so that has
given me a bit of hope.

Fundamentalist - 06 Mar 2006 23:19 - 47 of 74

have you voted at the egm? if so which way if i may ask

Kivver - 06 Mar 2006 23:36 - 48 of 74

i asked this question on another bb, i hav'nt a clue how to. If certificates are held by a broker (like most investors i presume) how do investors get a vote????

Fundamentalist - 06 Mar 2006 23:39 - 49 of 74

you need to phone the broker and ask for a "proxy voting form", you should really have received this from your broker but the short timescales have given the brokers little chance to get it sorted

Kivver - 06 Mar 2006 23:42 - 50 of 74

not heard or seen anything, suppose that will have happened to a lot of investors, thanks for the info. i would like to hear what the management have to say then make a decision after that but suppose thats not the way it works.

Camel - 07 Mar 2006 17:12 - 51 of 74

I phoned my broker who voted on my behalf.

Kivver - 08 Mar 2006 11:54 - 52 of 74

any thoughts on 2morrows EGM???

Fundamentalist - 08 Mar 2006 13:43 - 53 of 74

wouldnt want to 2nd guess what will happen or what impact it will have on the SP

Kivver - 08 Mar 2006 16:24 - 54 of 74

still no mass sell off gives me great hope.

Fundamentalist - 09 Mar 2006 11:07 - 55 of 74

EGM webcast available, has just started


http://ir.skyepharma.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=79810&p=irol-EventDetails&EventId=1216890

Fundamentalist - 09 Mar 2006 11:27 - 56 of 74

SKP have asked Bob Thian to become non exec chairman

Kivver - 09 Mar 2006 12:56 - 57 of 74

cheers fundy, price still holding, lets have some good news.

Kivver - 09 Mar 2006 16:32 - 58 of 74

looks like the vote went in favour (just) of the current board, hope they pull their finger out now and put this company where it should be. lIKE IN THE FTSE 100 let alone the ftse 250 (demoted from that too)!!

Kivver - 21 Mar 2006 13:43 - 59 of 74

thanks skp for doing your very best as our investments disappear. NOT

Fundamentalist - 21 Mar 2006 14:19 - 60 of 74

I see share price is disappointing again, no incentive for buying. Some news from mgmt re the way forward and or a trading statement would help. A close below 40p will make the chart look really ugly though there is further support around 35p and then the 30p of the rights issue

Kivver - 21 Mar 2006 14:48 - 61 of 74

cheers fundy, i was hoping the support level was 40p we're now down below this. I know if i sell it will go back up, if i dont sell is will carry on going down. But like you say the board could surely do something to give us some hope.

Kivver - 17 Apr 2006 10:38 - 62 of 74

results out on Wednesday, a couple of webcasts coming to the market over the next couple off months, hope they offer investors some hope. Im out of this one at the moment but watching with interest. 39p at the mo.

Fundamentalist - 17 Apr 2006 10:48 - 63 of 74

Kivver

was an article in yesterdays Telegraph, saying that losses are likely to be over 30m rather than the 26m expected due to additional costs in developing flutiform. Personally always had them pencilled in as 30m-35m for this year.

Saying that i dont think the size of the loss is going to be the key factor, more so what the management actually say, could be an interesting week SP wise - will continue to watch with interest

Kivver - 19 Apr 2006 09:03 - 64 of 74

All a little clearer after todays statement. 35 million in cash, 50 million costs to go through phase 3 of flutiform, hoping to find a partner this year (how close they are nobody knows). Should be ready for market in 2009 and worth multi-millions. Other good products in the pipeline. Losses on some products this year compared to last. Personally going to stay out for while (already sold at a big loss) but looks good for the longer term, just a judgement now of when many will pile in.

I believe there is a a webcast today which will hopefully shed some light on things.

Fundamentalist - 19 Apr 2006 09:52 - 65 of 74

Kivver

My reading of the results is the company is very close to becoming overly dependent on Flutiform. With regard to finding a partner, this promise has been ongoing for nearly 3 years and is a repeat of the statements from previous years(though toned down from when it was "company transforming". Maybe theyll finally deliver but to be honest i take the comments with a huge dose of salt. They are also going to need to sell the injectables part of the business to guarantee future security - surprised to see no update on this.

The only real positive i can see is that surely they have all the bad news out in the open now!

With regard to other products the news is pretty poor:

Paxil CR - this should have been a great cash cow for the company but have made a hash of. The patent situation now looks like this will continue to decline to nothing over the next couple of years

Foradil Certihaler - still having problems with labelling and despite approval in many countries doesnt appear to be coming to the market soon

Requip CR - withdrawn the filing

Propfol IDD - FDA have asked for further testing and the project is now "under strategic review"


All in all a horrible set of results and now promising less jam than before. Cash going forward could become a problem the rate they are burning at especially whilst they are sole developer of flutiform.

As for flutiform being worth multi-millions, why have several potential partners turned down the opportunity on this product? Have the company been trying to overachieve on the price or is the product not as good as mgmt have been continually promising?
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