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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

mg - 31 Oct 2005 08:46 - 4618 of 11056

Well, I pulled th 7710 - but it didn't get there anyway. Shame because the 1 hour MACD has turned back up and would have given some good points. I've got a couple of hours so I'll be looking to long any fall-backs - 'cos I reckon 7900 is there to be bust on this hourly move - BUT I'm still wary of that 4 hour trend.

So, on the one hand it's a long and on the other it's a short :)

mg - 31 Oct 2005 09:08 - 4619 of 11056

High risk strategy - short from 1.7815 - hopefully back down to around 1.7750 - but not very confident :(

chocolat - 31 Oct 2005 10:03 - 4620 of 11056

Reversed long Friday evening 1.7735 and then spooked myself out of it last night. Got back in shortly after though, same level, when it bottomed at 1.7720 (still a nice number) and still hanging in a while :S

mg - 31 Oct 2005 10:09 - 4621 of 11056

I like yours better than mine ;)

Bottompickingforexlickinglookinggood !!

hilary - 31 Oct 2005 10:16 - 4622 of 11056

Weird looking calendar this week. I wonder what's with the Pages 1 & 2?????? Has the Fairy lost his magic powers just when he needs them?

:o)

My feeling is that the sharks were pushing the Pound up this morning to give them something decent to short into. I wouldn't be surprised to see it a fair bit lower over the next few days. We'll see.

mg - 31 Oct 2005 10:36 - 4623 of 11056

Hils
Must admit that, with the FED likely to raise interest rates tomorrow the runes suggest that the 4 hour could be more reliable than the 1 hour chart. May leave that short in place rather than pull it @ 1.7750.

Must admit I was beginning to doubt my reading of that "resistance" around 1.7800. My little lines say that if it goes through 7750 then the next support is around 1.7675. So I think I'll leave itto see if it gets there - GULP !!

hilary - 31 Oct 2005 11:13 - 4624 of 11056

mg,

My reading of the chart is a perhaps more simplistic. On the 1-hour, I saw a rising support line passing through the lows of 19th and 25th October. This line was broken decisively on Friday, so if it ain't no longer a long, it's got to be a short. That's my patented version of rocket science.

Btw, I'm not 100% convinced that the Fed will up rates tomorrow. The decline in the Dollar this last week or so has, imo, been a reflection that the market shares a similar view and has been pricing in a hold. Inflation seems to be the buzz word atm and that could gate further rises for now. Notwithstanding, I wouldn't be surprised to see a rise in the Dollar over the next few days even if rates are left on hold. Regardless, I shalln't be in the market tomorrow evening on account of how there's an important footy match that I intend to see.

mg - 31 Oct 2005 13:35 - 4625 of 11056

Bottled out for 70 (closed @ 1.7745) - now have to concentrate on day job stuff - but will keep my eye out for a possible entry point to go short some more.

hilary - 31 Oct 2005 13:36 - 4626 of 11056

WASHINGTON, Oct 31 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer spending rose 0.5 percent last month as post-hurricane insurance payments led to the biggest jump in income in 10 months, a government report showed on Monday.

Personal income jumped 1.7 percent, the biggest rise since December 2004, as insurance payments in the wake of hurricanes Katrina and Rita rose at a $120 billion annual rate, the Commerce Department said.

The gain in spending matched expectations on Wall Street, but the increase in income handily outstripped forecasts for a 0.3 percent rise.

The income gain, however, followed a downwardly revised 0.9 percent drop in August that reflected plummeting rental and personal business income after the storms. Rental and proprietors' income declined again last month, but not as steeply.

While spending rose last month, the increase was more than accounted for by surging energy prices. Adjusted for inflation, spending fell 0.4 percent after a 1 percent August drop.

The department's inflation measure - closely watched by policy-makers at the Federal Reserve - shot up 0.9 percent, the biggest rise since February 1981.

But excluding food and energy, the so-called PCE price index advanced just 0.2 percent. Over the past year, this core price index has risen 2 percent, a level considered to be at the upper end of the Fed's comfort zone.

The data released on Monday was incorporated in a report on third-quarter economic growth released on Friday, which could lessen its value to financial markets trying to determine the direction of the economy and interest rates.

The saving rate - the percentage of after-tax income Americans sock away - remained in negative territory in September for a fourth straight month.

The department said the saving rate percentage was minus 0.4 last month, after bottoming out at a minus 1.8 in August.

chocolat - 31 Oct 2005 14:10 - 4627 of 11056

You say the sweetest things, ten four ;)
Still short from reversing 1.7795 - almost back to where I started.

mg - 31 Oct 2005 16:11 - 4628 of 11056

Hope you got all 100 of that drop from 7795 - cheeky little entry point that.

Been day-jobbying so didn't manage to get the move from 7750 down to below 7700 - however I checked in and reckoned that my 1.7675 might not trigger so picked up some long from 7685 and 7695 ....... only looking for a bit of a pull back on a very extended 5 and 10 minute MACD chart.

Hoping nt to give today's points back.

chocolat - 31 Oct 2005 16:15 - 4629 of 11056

Still short for a tidge more :S

chocolat - 31 Oct 2005 16:31 - 4630 of 11056

Ok I'm with you at 1.7679 - stop firmly in and I might get some work done ;)

hilary - 31 Oct 2005 16:35 - 4631 of 11056

Well I'm inclined to agree with you two, but it would be against my principles as I haven't been stopped from my short yet so I think I'll go and watch Ally McBeal instead.

chocolat - 31 Oct 2005 16:37 - 4632 of 11056

Must admit I was looking for 50s Hils
but heyy, spot on ten four ;)

mg - 31 Oct 2005 16:40 - 4633 of 11056

Oooooooooooh chocciepops - you squeeeeeezed some bloody good points out of that short - brilliant stuff. I believe that means the award of the "Balls of Steel Award" - do you have anywhere you can display it/them ??

hilary - 31 Oct 2005 16:47 - 4634 of 11056

Choccy,

I don't have a cable target although I've got my eye on around 1.1930 on Euro Dollar as support. Doesn't look as though she'll see that level on this leg down though. There's always manana I suppose.

Looks like cable's bottomed now for today. A few more pips up and I'll be out.

chocolat - 31 Oct 2005 17:09 - 4635 of 11056

Can't say I'm comfortable long for long, Hils.

I've just the place, ten four - next to my duck collection.

chocolat - 31 Oct 2005 21:46 - 4636 of 11056

Fed rate hike a foregone conclusion

chocolat - 01 Nov 2005 08:13 - 4637 of 11056

I have around 1.7750 target - what say you ten four?
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