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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)     

overgrowth - 06 Oct 2003 22:47

underground01_2.jpgA busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com

APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=COH&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=COH&Si

silvermede - 23 Oct 2006 09:21 - 467 of 2037

COH on the move up this morning. Just punched through the 9 & 50 Day Moving Averages.

stockdog - 23 Oct 2006 09:50 - 468 of 2037

Just when I'd planned to double my holding this week - ah well, can't complain, there will be otehr opportunities along the way in all probability.

AdieH - 23 Oct 2006 09:54 - 469 of 2037

Rerating Rerating Rerating... 40p here we come...

silvermede - 23 Oct 2006 09:59 - 470 of 2037

Stockdog, the question is how will the market react after the interims in Nov??? If the brokers upgrade their targets this may continue to move forward strongly. Institutions last got in on the act at 11p a share, so targets for them to sell may be 33p etc. so you may yet get a chance, but I suspect this will be longer term hold for most with growth predicted out to at least 2015.

silvermede - 25 Oct 2006 09:32 - 471 of 2037

Looking positive again today.:-)

AdieH - 25 Oct 2006 09:54 - 472 of 2037

Yes looks possible that we may see a move towards 40p by the time of the intermins and then possibly see a fall back... who knows this one is very hard to predict and would guess the chartists wouldn't be able to make much of the charts at the moment it just seems a steady climb north (not complaining as been caught out before sold PMO for 1.00 made money but 4 years later it looks likely they will be bought out for 15.00 ouch....).

silvermede - 25 Oct 2006 10:10 - 473 of 2037

Adie, looking at the Woods & Co Broker note, they provide a breakdown forecast out to 2015 of predicted continued growth. So at some stage maybe top slice and take profit and leave the rest to run come what may.

Alternatively, one could follow the Jim Slater/Warren Buffet approach of continue to buy into your winners provided they are undervalued in terms of the PER & PEG.

If the stock becomes overvalued/overbought in terms of PER/PEG then sell the lot and take profits. If no bad news, make your judgement on Value criteria rather than what the herd may be doing. Sorry if I am teaching you to suck eggs. :-)

AdieH - 25 Oct 2006 10:16 - 474 of 2037

No thanks for the advice, have already topped sliced so its all profit at present, no funds to top up at present as I have not done so well on other investments, over all porfolio is up but that is mainly due to COH...

AUGUSTMAN - 27 Oct 2006 09:52 - 475 of 2037

When are the interims due please ?

Thanks

AM

silvermede - 27 Oct 2006 10:15 - 476 of 2037

Augustman: Not sure of exact date yet, previously have been between mid Nov and Mid Dec.

AdieH - 27 Oct 2006 10:20 - 477 of 2037

AGM is 14th November, being advised that update will be given then... I will be attending if anyone wants relevant questions asked, please forward to AdieHurford@hotmail.com. Regards.

silvermede - 27 Oct 2006 12:14 - 478 of 2037

Seems to be another heavenly day! Long may it continue.:-)

AdieH - 27 Oct 2006 13:25 - 479 of 2037

Rumours now starting of Whitbread approach, wouldn't give too much credance to it though... helping to move price though...

silvermede - 27 Oct 2006 15:42 - 480 of 2037

I'd rather a slow but steady climb than sky rockets going up and falling out of the sky!

AdieH - 27 Oct 2006 15:51 - 481 of 2037

I suspect this won't drop so dramatically as there seems to be some substance behind the rise, i.e. numis re-rating the company at 45p... suspect we may get somewhere near this before the AGM then possibly fall back slightly before the next push.. IMHO...

foale - 27 Oct 2006 15:54 - 482 of 2037

Rises do bring out the profit takers though...

Although that fall to 28p cleared the way for this rise....
I see 40p as a temporary top though.

AdieH - 27 Oct 2006 17:10 - 483 of 2037

Would agree foale but its interesting to note the sp did not fall when these apparent sells went through, it indicates if they are sells that mm's are happy to hold, what do they know or are they guessing that we will be nearer 40-45p by the time of the AGM... Just a thought on what the mm's are up to...

myway - 30 Oct 2006 11:16 - 484 of 2037

AIM news in shares last week. Headline Coffeeheaven wakes up to Eastern Europe. Well worth reading for the coffee followers Keep the coffee pot hot

silvermede - 30 Oct 2006 14:43 - 485 of 2037

Headline should have read: 'Eastern Europe wakes up to Coffeeheaven'!!

foale - 30 Oct 2006 14:59 - 486 of 2037

"these apparent sells " why do people get so obsessed about so called buys and sells....

If it moves up there was more buying interest or a shortage of stock.. thats it..
its a waste of time trying to figure out is it a buy or a sell....
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