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Northern Rock (NRK)     

irlee57 - 13 Aug 2007 09:03

any comments, thoughts, on this stock.

halifax - 28 Sep 2007 15:13 - 468 of 1029

It has been another long painful week for NRK. Surely the BOE will have to take action very soon as this uncertainty surrounding NRK's future is undermining confidence in the whole banking sector. If it is not sorted soon the Government will lose credibility.

Big Al - 28 Sep 2007 15:17 - 469 of 1029

halifax - it is right that there should be a lack of confidence in the banking sector. They've proved exceedingly profligate this past few years, particularly with lending on property.

cynic - 28 Sep 2007 15:28 - 470 of 1029

neither BoE nor the gov't have any obligation whatsoever to the ordinary shareholders, and in most ways, that is absolutely correct ...... the only concern (interest) will be to ensure that any depositors and mortgage holders are covered and, of somewhat secondary importance, that BoE (the taxpayer!) recovers in due course the lifeboat that has been floated with its attaching interest.

i could well be proved wrong, but i cannot believe that at the end of the day, the shareholders will recover more than a very very small % of their investment, and maybe not that much

halifax - 28 Sep 2007 15:34 - 471 of 1029

You may well be right as all have jumped on the easy money band wagon. However my point is the NRK problem has to be sorted out now before the contagion (lack of confidence )spreads to the other profligate lenders. The Government will regret not taking decisive action and avoid being sucked into a problem not of their making.

cynic - 28 Sep 2007 15:41 - 472 of 1029

what action do you think gov't could have taken? ...... i don't see any.
however, one would certainly hope that NRK's board do not walk away with heavily laden wallets and pension funds, as seems to be the usual procedure, while the poor employees just get kicked in the arse.

i don't hold that the shareholders should be protected, as that more than smacks of the idea that is so prevalent in the state schools that there should be no losers ...... what a load of nambypamby rubbish that is!

halifax - 28 Sep 2007 16:04 - 473 of 1029

The question to be answered by the Government, since they became involved is quite simple , should NRK survive in its present form by pumping more and possibly more tax payers money into it or should it go into receivership? We are not short of banks in this country and one less wont make any difference, unless of course if its base is in Newcastle.

cynic - 28 Sep 2007 16:15 - 474 of 1029

NRK will undoubtedly go into receivership or adminstration or something that will be much the same financially if the tabled t/o does not materialise, but that will, i am sure make no difference to the status of either the depositors of the mortgagees.

partridge - 28 Sep 2007 16:58 - 475 of 1029

Had a quick look at their balance sheet with Interim 2007 figures. Equity attributable to equity shareholders was just over 2.3BN, but with total assets 113BN, including "Available for sale Securities" of 8BN (whatever they are) it does not take a maths degree to suggest that with the brand name shot to bits (i.e.imo little or no goodwill) that 2.3BN of surplus could quickly evaporate. Feel sorry for the employees, many of whom must have been sucked in as shareholders, but hopefully most on SAYE schemes where at least they will get some interest and their money back. Interesting that Interim report clearly states their reliance on debt securitisation for funding - not sure what the FSA has been doing in monitoring it (or indeed if they have a clue about the vast numbers flying around in the whole sector's balance sheets on esoteric items a layman cannot understand, some of which may yet come home to roost)

Strawbs - 29 Sep 2007 07:54 - 476 of 1029

Telegraph: Lloyds back in hunt for Northern Rock

Times: MPs braced for avalanche of protests from Rock shareholders

Possibly not good news for shareholders though......

Strawbs.

Stan - 29 Sep 2007 08:17 - 477 of 1029

I thought that it was common knowledge that Shareholders are way down in the priority list of creditors in these type of scenarios. It's just part of the risk for holding shares (no matter how many times some people cry foul). I also agree with BA above in post 469 by the way.

cynic - 29 Sep 2007 15:18 - 478 of 1029

to paraphrase the telegraph article ...... Lloyds had initially thought of bidding 200/300 but under their revised bid, shareholders will get nothing ..... so what is it with the smoke and mirrors that is still holding sp at 180?

seawallwalker - 29 Sep 2007 15:25 - 479 of 1029

zero for shareholders is exactly what I thought woukld happen.

I hope is doesn't but it looked on the cards from the inital explosion of the company.

The bits will stay blown apart.

hewittalan6 - 29 Sep 2007 15:49 - 480 of 1029

Just to play devils advocate..............
The company only becomes illiquid on the sale of its secured book. The money mae available by the BoE is more than that required to stay liquid, so I wonder what the rules say about this.
For me, selling up and realising a loss is not necessarily the only way, and if they did do it, then the BoE loan would have to be used to make up the shortfall for depositors.
They could simply stop lending money out for the time being and go on a huge cost cutting exercise across the loans sales and administration division. This could, in effect, make their deposit base justifiable and profitable and then rebuild a new business model, based on deposits rather than loans. In much the same way as mutuals used to do in the 70's.
Not saying it is ideal, or even good for shareholders, but it may be better for everyone than crystallising losses to the benefit of a few asset strippers.
Alan

halifax - 29 Sep 2007 19:03 - 481 of 1029

Perhaps I have missed something, I was of the opinion that shareholders owned companies and not the Treasury. I may be naive to think that "turkeys will vote for Christmas" but perhaps shareholders should call for the resignation of the directors of NRK and then vote for the winding up of the company if they are to end up with nothing anyway.Who actually controls NRK at the moment?

cynic - 29 Sep 2007 19:42 - 482 of 1029

technically the shareholders, but in practice it is the institutions and bond holders who hold the gift of death which, though i have a subjective interest, is almost certainly imminent

mojo47 - 30 Sep 2007 00:16 - 483 of 1029

Who was it said in the news that everyone who had bonds, savings with N/R would NOT lose a penny. where does this statement stand now

cynic - 30 Sep 2007 07:42 - 484 of 1029

i think bond holders in the context of the the one part = debenture holders, whereas bond holders of the other part are like savers etc ..... it is this latter class who are protected.

cynic - 30 Sep 2007 15:39 - 485 of 1029

i see the bond holders (debenture holders?) are trying to protect their interest (and why not?) by approaching BoE for help in some way .... i really cannot see that being offered, for that cannot be pro bono, so one is left with 2/3 different variations, all of which mean that RNK shares will shortly be worthless.

partridge - 30 Sep 2007 16:16 - 486 of 1029

Know RNK are struggling, but a bit harsh to bracket them with NRK!

cynic - 30 Sep 2007 16:43 - 487 of 1029

just getting over-excited at the prospect!
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