Thought Id start this one going because its rather dead on this board at the moment and I suppose all my usual muckers are either at the Stella tennis event watching Dim Tim (lose again) or at Henly Regatta eating cucumber sandwiches (they wish,...NOT).

Anyway please feel free to just talk to yourself blast away and let it go on any company or subject you wish. Just wish Id thought of this one before.

cheers GF.

The bookies are not saying that Labour is going to get the most seats!

Look at the pie chart carefully:

It shows Labour and Tories are 'neck and neck' with UKIP holding the balance of power:

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats

Quite a few of the bookies are giving same odds for Tory and Lab having most seats. The odds are very similar for Miliband and Cameron to be next PM. Almost all bookies are showing odds on for a hung parliament.

Hung parliament unless someone does a deal with UKIP.

that's still starts from the point of being a hung parliament

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and sticky, i don't need any shit from you either :-)

Exec have you read it right, its showing under the tab MOST SEATS labour with shorter odds than the Tories, ie favourites to have most seats??????????.

Its also showing WHICH CONFIRMS..... no overal majority favourite,
2nd Labour overall majority, 3rd conservative overal majority.

SO if TODAY it was the GE and result was known Labour would be in driving seat to chose a partner to form a government.

Thats how I see it with the bookies on odds checker.

MaxK
The kippers won't have enough MPs to do a deal with. SNP, Libs and even DUP will have more. The bookies give UKIP around 4 MPs. I expect less.

Exec
You have to realise that the bookies are not predicting these results based on anything else than bets taken and not propability. The polls show a different picture.

Haystack.

It's not the outright seats gained by UKIP, it's the seats they will deny to others.

Lots of marginals out there for ukip to blow up.

Max dont listen to Hays the experts last night were predicting 20 plus seats for UKIP. I watched both BBC1 and SKY while 4am this morning.

Dont forget theres a short list of more defections.

Reckless with a win will start a stampede, its probably happening now behind closed doors.

And when the bookies were predicting Tories with most seats Hays was telling a different story.

Hes afraid of the Mansion Tax.

Maxk
Yes. But it won't give them the ability to partner in a coalition. You need seats for that.

Odds checker again........Prime Minister After General Election

4 are giving odds and have Milliband as outright favourite with Cameron just behind.

None are giving Cameron as favourite.

Max I get your drift Hays is just playing at being silly devils, hes good at that, he knows the crack and what you are getting at and if he doesnt he IS a bit short upstairs.

Again odds checker...... 3 giving..... next government Labour,

non....... conservative.

I wonder what the odds would be on a Lab. Lib/Dem. Coalition with a "tie up" with SNP and Plaid?

hmmmm that could happen their were lots of differing combos served up last night by Andrew Neal.

It was interesting to see the interviews of people in Clacton by the BBC and Sky after the election today. Many people said that although they voted for UKIP in a by election, they would revert to voting Conservative at the GE.

Hang on hays you said you didn't give a fig about Clacton.

if carswell is as good an mp as i have heard, then i reckon he'll hang on to the seat

in some ways more interesting was the by-election in m'chester
while accepting it was a small turnout - i've seen plenty lower - it was still a kick in the teeth for labour, but again, will that be mirrored in the general election

LOL you dont half talk some pony cynic. a 36% turnout and thats probably give or take a few hundred the most that UKIP can muster together.

Plus your forgetting the new Labour MP had to fill the feet of the late respected sitting MP.

No kick in the teeth for labour at all what it showed was that in the North UKIP are going to be labours main challengers rather than the Tories hence the Tory saying vote UKIP get Milliband in power.

Reckless winning would be like an atomic bomb placed on the Tory party,id be shit-ing if I were you, the Mansion Tax is being drawn up as I post.