overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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pachandl
- 05 Dec 2005 09:11
- 484 of 1009
Strange that they buy this business outright having already had a rights issue to buy the Euro fuledcard business - I know the latter was more costly but I hope that there is no further share issue "on the side" to fund this acquisition.
55011
- 05 Dec 2005 10:05
- 485 of 1009
Being funded by debt. Already arranged.
The new SETS/MM system is now in force on this and some other similarly sized stocks. Hasn't done the dealing sizes any good, and until a few minutes ago the spread was pretty lousy. Come back the dear old MMs?
pachandl
- 05 Dec 2005 11:11
- 486 of 1009
Thanks 55011
55011
- 05 Dec 2005 11:45
- 487 of 1009
Looking better now. The analysts phone in has got things going in the right direction. Spread and sizes much better.
Fred1new
- 05 Dec 2005 12:27
- 488 of 1009
55011, I am beginning to think you hold this share.
Douggie
- 05 Dec 2005 14:50
- 489 of 1009
Hi Fred good news today ????? ;o\
Fred1new
- 05 Dec 2005 17:26
- 490 of 1009
I think it seems a sensible and hopefully a profitable deal.
55011
- 05 Dec 2005 18:22
- 491 of 1009
...and so say all of us!
55011
- 05 Dec 2005 18:24
- 492 of 1009
Director/PDMR Shareholding
RNS Number:1695V
Retail Decisions PLC
05 December 2005
Retail Decisions plc (the "Company")
Director Shareholding
The Company has today been informed that Jane Tozer, a non Executive Director of
the Company has today purchased 8,000 Ordinary 5p shares in the Company
("Shares") at a price of #1.25 per Share.
*These shares have been purchased in the name of Pershing Securities Ltd.
Following this purchase, Jane Tozer has an interest in 17,425 Shares, which
represents 0.02% of the Company's issued share capital.
Fred1new
- 05 Dec 2005 20:28
- 493 of 1009
If I had her name I might consider changing it. She holds less shares in RTD than I do. How much pay do non-execs get?
Fundamentalist
- 05 Dec 2005 21:37
- 494 of 1009
Buy Note From Daniel Stewart Dated 5/12/05 - Price Target 1.80:
Retail Decisions (ReD), a leading provider of services to the payments industry, has announced the acquisition of E Com Industries, Australias largest supplier of electronic stored value cards, for 12.9m. The acquisition is complementary to ReDs recent acquisition of Fuelserv (see note 14th November 2005), as ReD looks to expand the breadth and depth of its card-issuing and processing offering.
E Com, founded in 1998 by the current CTO and based in Sydney, hasaround 50% of the Australian gift voucher market. Revenues in the year to 30th June 2005 were 2.5m, up 160% on the same period last year and the company has achieved 93% compound growth over the past three years. The company also reported a small maiden operating profit. The transaction will be funded through an 11m increase in debt and 1.5m from existing cash resources.
Although the consideration looks full in terms of historic performance we expect E Com to contribute 6.1m of additional revenues and 1.5m of EBITDA in FY06, increasing to 8.8m of revenues and 2.8m of EBITDA. This suggests a forward transaction multiple of 8.6x. The increased level of debt will increase net interest payable by 0.9m but interest cover will be a healthy 19.7x.
E Com is the only independent provider of stored value solutions with access to the entire bank-acquiring network in Australia. The company boasts a blue chip client base of retailers (Woolworths, Coles Myer, Dymocks, Harvey World Travel and RM Williams). It has also expanded into New Zealand and had planned a launch in the UK.
E Com derives its revenues from electronic gift card programme management (62%), voucher sales (24%) and the balance from the pass-through of operational costs of managing gift card programmes. This represents a mix of set-up and transaction fees as well as the value of vouchers sold.
A stored value (pre-paid) card enables a user to spend a pre-determined balance that has been previously loaded onto the card. The cards can be single use or reloadable and can be limited to one ormultiple merchants. Card types include gift, incentive, insurance claim, benefits, loyalty and pre-paid fuel cards.
The European pre-paid market was estimated to be worth 20-25bn in 2003 and is forecast 30-35% CAGR over the five years to 2008 (Source: Mastercard). An increasing percentage of UK retailers are now offering gift cards.
As noted in our note of the 14th, Fuelserv has historically turned down a number of potential customers because of credit control issues. Through this acquisition, ReD will be able to address this market with a pre-paid card. There is also scope to cross-sell E Coms offering into ReDs existing Australian fuel cards business as well as launching gift cards in the UK, US and Europe.
Revised forecasts reflect the impact of the acquisition as well as the share consolidation (effective November 28th). The impact of the acquisition is to increase FY06 earnings by 5.2%. The enlarged group is trading on a FY06 PER of 14.0x. We believe that ReDs high revenue visibility and cash generation makes this rating undemanding. We maintain our BUY recommendation and set a revised price target of 180p, equivalent to 19.1x FY06 earnings.
Douggie
- 06 Dec 2005 13:54
- 495 of 1009
But ........ we aint goin anywhere fast are we !!
having said that blue at 0.5p every day we'll get there ;o\
Fred1new
- 06 Dec 2005 14:03
- 496 of 1009
Douggie, it is better to buy a slowly well built house than one put up on poor foundations and with flimsy material. It is climbing quite nicely.
Douggie
- 06 Dec 2005 16:54
- 497 of 1009
it's all foundations here .............. start the building !
55011
- 06 Dec 2005 17:05
- 498 of 1009
Looks like the foundations have just sunk.
First SETS auction this evening. I dare say folk are still trying to adjust to the new systems. It seems to wobble in thin trading, and the buys versus sells are not necessarily a guide to overall price movement. Today is a pretty good example of that.
Not having L2, I do not know who the key players are. Last time I did have L2, I was playing a stock where the named MMs were never on either the bid or offer, and if they approached either then that proved to be a good signal to act. Indeed they were mostly extremely keen to keep their distance from the action. Unless of course they were playing anonymously........ A happy time!
SETS is not all that some make it out to be. Caveat emptor, as always.
55011
- 07 Dec 2005 09:21
- 499 of 1009
Another day. Another angle. Anyone wanting some of these in a hurry has "had it". Max buy size is 1,500. You don't see many buyers, Not surprising. "The market" is not allowing it. Want to sell. Go right ahead! But no takers.
So what do we make of all this. Very thin conditions, bigger fish behind the scenes(just as in the good ol' MM days) trying to accumulate without causing the price to soar? GS and MAN are "in" and probably want more. A decent stake they can later sell on at a profit.
Who knows. Isn't the Stock Exchange the greatest enigma going?
55011
- 07 Dec 2005 11:40
- 500 of 1009
And here is another statement of confidence, issued at 11.08 and coming just after a 42,200 "X" trade.:-
Director/PDMR Shareholding
RNS Number:2737V
Retail Decisions PLC
07 December 2005
Retail Decisions plc (the "Company")
Directors' Shareholdings
The Company has today been informed of purchases of Ordinary 5p shares in the
Company ("Shares") by Directors of the Company as follows:
Director No. Shares Date of Price per
Purchased Dealing Share (p)
Nigel Whittaker - Non-Executive Chairman 9,584 06/12/05 131
Richard Amos - Finance Director 8,334 06/12/05 128
Geoff Westmore - Non-executive Director 8,334 06/12/05 131
Carl Clump - Chief Executive 8,000 07/12/05 127.4
All these shares will be registered in the names of the respective Directors,
with the exception of Nigel Whittaker, who's shares will be registered in the
name of SG Hambros Bank & Trust Ltd.
Following these purchases, the resultant holdings of these Directors are as
follows:
Director Total Holding
Shares %
Nigel Whittaker - Non-Executive Chairman 600,000 0.77
Richard Amos - Finance Director 30,000 0.04
Geoff Westmore - Non-executive Director 225,000 0.29
Carl Clump - Chief Executive 138,563 0.18
Further enquiries:
Richard Amos
Group Finance Director
Tel: (01483) 728700
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
END
RDSBBBDDSGGGGUR
55011
- 07 Dec 2005 11:40
- 501 of 1009
.
55011
- 07 Dec 2005 11:40
- 502 of 1009
.
Douggie
- 07 Dec 2005 12:04
- 503 of 1009
. .