cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
HARRYCAT
- 26 Mar 2010 11:24
- 4987 of 21973
A cautionary note issued for monday's FTSE, as Cable & Wireless demerger set to affect the index:
"Indices At expected trading prices, we would expect CWW to just scrape into
the FTSE100 (decision Friday evening) and MSCI mid-cap indices but for CWC to
drop out. We estimate CWC selling pressure from index trackers equates to c.25m
shares from FTSE100 and c.105m from MSCI (1%, 4% shares outstanding)."
skinny
- 26 Mar 2010 13:00
- 4988 of 21973
Car phone warehouse group and talktalk begin trading Monday I believe.
cynic
- 26 Mar 2010 14:55
- 4989 of 21973
if i'd held on, the pain would now be much worse ..... it's all part of the discipline i try to instil in myself, relating to banking good profits and dumping bad holdings .... it certainly helps that i regularly preach as much here
HARRYCAT
- 26 Mar 2010 17:07
- 4990 of 21973
Vin de table then tonight Cynic, as opposed to the usual Chateau bottled?
cynic
- 26 Mar 2010 17:18
- 4991 of 21973
don't be daft! .... i'm lucky enough to have bought (fine) wines over many years, so i/we are ridiculously spoilt even on an everyday basis.
actually, i have just checked what has happened to me financially over the last week ..... banked profits showed i lost 17.00(!), but there is an "uncashed" profit in the same period of about 5k ..... not complaining a lot to say the least, though if DES disappoints badly next week, i shall not be best pleased
HARRYCAT
- 08 Apr 2010 11:18
- 4992 of 21973
A nasty little correction today on the FTSE. DOW futures -42 so maybe more to come this afternoon? Looking to invest my ISA money, but not sure if it's wise this side of an election due to market uncertainty.
(Having done minimal research, looks like Greece is to blame for the drop today, again!).
skinny
- 08 Apr 2010 11:27
- 4993 of 21973
Harry - interesting times! I've put @80% of my pension and ISA into cash until after the election. I can't help feeling we are due a sell off whoever wins.
HARRYCAT
- 08 Apr 2010 11:33
- 4994 of 21973
Trouble is that cash ISA rates are so low, that a stock ISA is much more attractive. But as you say, may be best to wait 'til after 1st week in May.
skinny
- 08 Apr 2010 11:45
- 4995 of 21973
Harry, I mean I now have my share ISA @80% in cash & 20% invested.
HARRYCAT
- 08 Apr 2010 11:50
- 4996 of 21973
Ah, sorry, now I understand. Big cash waiting in the wings then? ;o)
2517GEORGE
- 08 Apr 2010 12:01
- 4997 of 21973
I also believe that to be a wise move.
2517
halifax
- 09 Apr 2010 16:56
- 4998 of 21973
DJIA nearing 11000 will that be the tipping point?
cynic
- 09 Apr 2010 20:22
- 4999 of 21973
11100 tops
jimmy b
- 09 Apr 2010 23:36
- 5000 of 21973
And what then cynic ? ,,you've been saying that for ages (and going short) ,you will be right eventually but at what cost ? i must say it looks rather toppy to me ,but i dont know how you can call it.
cynic
- 10 Apr 2010 06:41
- 5001 of 21973
i went short, called it wrong and cut my losses ...... nevertheless, markets cannot rise (or fall) indefinitely without a consolidation - aka a tumble of greater or lesser magnitude
my concern at the moment is to curb my own enthusiasm and to cut exposure somewhat before the event, but that's quite a difficult call when so many stocks are performing well
Chris Carson
- 10 Apr 2010 17:04
- 5002 of 21973
Am I thick or what? Why would the markets fall when interest rates are so low, trend is well intact, plenty of bad news out there and anticipation of forthcoming armegeddon is well documented but they keep going up. Why fight it, just go with the flow with trailing stop losses or is that just to simples?
cynic
- 10 Apr 2010 17:36
- 5003 of 21973
it is merely an obvious observation that no market can continue indefinitely in one direction ..... as it happens, the Dow charts indicate that a (significant) pullback is imminent - but as i often say, charts are merely tools and not the gospel
thus i am not advocating shorting, for that would certainly go against the current impetus, but merely taking prudent steps to avoid being singed .... stop losses are one way of doing it
Chris Carson
- 10 Apr 2010 18:03
- 5004 of 21973
Cynic I totally agree with your philosophy re markets indefinately going in one direction, every so called market expert on the planet bombard us on TV (Bloomberg and Cnbc) and my hotmail inbox with comments like 'Get out of this suckers rally now' etc etc. As you say stop losses if you are still long have to be key, or just take profits or stay out end of! :o)
cynic
- 10 Apr 2010 18:30
- 5005 of 21973
i certainly don't hold with the "suckers rally" nonsense any more than i did with double-dip recession, but (sharpish) pullback on Dow is 120% on the cards within the next few weeks or even sooner
Chris Carson
- 10 Apr 2010 18:49
- 5006 of 21973
Cynic absolutely, but can you guarantee it? and there lies the rub and as you have proved to blindly go short against the present trend ends with taking an unnecessary loss. But then again as they say, no pain no gain eh!