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Traders Thread - Friday 5th February (TRAD)     

Greystone - 04 Feb 2010 20:56

Kyoto - 05 Feb 2010 06:34 - 5 of 21

Morning all. Market reports:

Telegraph
The Times
The Times (Need to know)
The Guardian
The Independent
This is Money

The Greek debt crisis has spread to Spain and Portugal in a dangerous escalation as global markets test whether Europe is willing to shore up monetary union with muscle rather than mere words.
Fears of 'Lehman-style' tsunami as crisis hits Spain and Portugal

Portugal moved towards a political crisis on Thursday night as its finance minister appealed to opposition parties not to defeat the minority Socialist government over a regional finance bill that he said would have grave consequences for Portugals public accounts and undermine the countrys credibility.
Portugal heads for crisis

Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, moved on Thursday to boost confidence in eurozone public finances while maintaining pressure on southern members to bring spiralling deficits under control.
Trichet reassures on eurozone

Kyoto - 05 Feb 2010 06:35 - 6 of 21

NIKKEI 225AUSTRALIA ASX200HANG SENGSHANGHAI COMPOSITE
t?s=%5EN225t?s=%5EAXJOt?s=%5EHSIish000001.gif?1187511702562
KOSPISENSEX  
t?s=%5EKS11t?s=%5EBSESN  
NYMEX CRUDEGOLDVIX 
t?s=CLH10.NYMgold_1d_o_USD.pngquote.chart?SYMBOL_US=VIX.X&WIDTH=192&HE 

Time Traveller - 05 Feb 2010 08:44 - 7 of 21

Morning Kyoto. I hope yesterdays falls didn't hurt you too much.
I gambled on the DOW bouncing last night after our close and lost. LLOY longs now in deep water. You win some, you lose some and this time the markets won. (:-((

kimoldfield - 05 Feb 2010 08:50 - 8 of 21

Hat holding time TT!

mitzy - 05 Feb 2010 08:58 - 9 of 21

Its warm here.

mnamreh - 05 Feb 2010 09:05 - 10 of 21

.

Greystone - 05 Feb 2010 09:09 - 11 of 21

Opening Market Overview

Kyoto - 05 Feb 2010 09:12 - 12 of 21

TT - took some losses yesterday but surprisingly they were nothing special despite the market falls. HMV long still running and a bit sick. Wasn't bothered on the whole, but more of a concern if we see Euro collapse because the UK will be targeted next. Big problem here is that most of my money is tied up in pounds and that means I'm getting progressively poorer in Korea with the strength in that currency and the weakness back home. No point working hard to make money in GBP and watching it all get wiped out by currency movements. I'm very afraid a sterling crisis is brewing.

Sorry about LLOY - not really a long market right now.

I tend to do well in trending/volatile markets, but I find they consume a lot more of my time - thinking and analysing. Having a serious think about whether I want to trade through another crisis because my wife's pregnant and I need to learn Korean quickly now otherwise I'm only going to end up understanding half of what my child says :-)

kimoldfield - 05 Feb 2010 10:58 - 13 of 21

Congratulations Kyoto! and yes, you will need more than a phrasebook now!! :o)

Stan - 05 Feb 2010 12:21 - 14 of 21

Morning All,
Good conditions for recovery plays, they could get even better.. problem is "when is even Better"? -):

Kyoto - 05 Feb 2010 12:33 - 15 of 21

Did someone here mention being short EXPN?

Experian sued over FreeCreditReport.com

Greystone - 05 Feb 2010 12:38 - 16 of 21

Midday Market Overview

Kyoto - 05 Feb 2010 12:39 - 17 of 21

Possible recovery plays for the brave or downright masochistic - based on deviations from the MA25 in %:

HOC-23, EMG-21, ANTO-18, XTA-16, KAZ-15, AAL-14, FRES-14, AQP-13, VED-13, RIO-12, BDEV-12, HMV-12, FXPO-11, BARC-10

on the flipside these are the only stocks on my list which are still above:

AU.+4, UU.+3, SVT+1, LAD+1

It's all going to be about the job numbers today though.

Kyoto - 05 Feb 2010 12:45 - 18 of 21

% yields I have (E&OE):

EMG+11, DRX+10.4, HMV+9.8, WMH+8.6, NFDS+7.5, RSA+6.4, GMG+6.3, CW+6.1, BP+5.8, UU.+5.6, TATE+5.6, VOD+5.4, NG.+5.4, SSE+5.3, SSE+5.3, AZN+5.1

and the Peter Snow 'just-for-a-bit-of-fun' deviations from broker price target consensus in %:

HMV-46, LLOY-44, EMG-38, BARC-35, HOC-32, KGF-24, HOME-22, AV.-21, XTA-21, AAL-20, VED-19, RBS-18, RIO-16, HSBA-16, ENRC-15, BT.A-15, PRU-12, ANTO-12, GSK-11, BLT-10

and the flipside:

UU.+8, NWR+8, AQP+5, PNN+4, RB.+4, AU.+4, BSY+2

Kyoto - 05 Feb 2010 13:02 - 19 of 21

Payrolls consensus is +15K and the whisper number - according to the FT - is +56K.

mnamreh - 05 Feb 2010 16:55 - 20 of 21

Interesting info Kyoto. Thanks. A few may have noticed the large HOC shift from MA25 this afternoon and taken full advantage, from an intra-day fall of 21p to 0.5p at close of play. Nice.

Greystone - 05 Feb 2010 17:04 - 21 of 21

End-of-day Market Overview
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