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Traders Thread - Thursday 23rd October (AZN)     

Crocodile - 23 Oct 2003 00:16

Premarket Futures 23rd Oct FTSE -38 DAX -29 DOW +62 S&P -7.9 Nasdaq -19.5

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures  US News

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Nasdaq 100

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S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Europe News

Nikkei -554   Hang Seng -321  Asia News

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10 Year Bond

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US Stocks fell sharply after earnings and forecasts from Merck, JP Morgan and Amazon. Tomorrow is a monster day on Wall street with Microsoft being the most significant earnings of the week.

Aviva Britain's largest insurer released 9 month life and pensions sales below expectations but said there were signs of a recovery. New business sales were 1.745 billion pounds compared with 1.746 billion last year and analysts estimate of 1.788 billion. Profit margins on the new business were 25 percent up from 23.8 percent.

Marconi telecoms said Q2 sales grew 6 percent on the preceding quarter as it warned of tough trading conditions in the third quarter. Sales in the three months to September 30 stood at 389 million pounds down from 514 million last year.

AstraZeneca figures at 10am.

Lloyds: Australia & New Zealand Banking Group is close to deciding whether to buy the NZ unit and could be announced as early as Friday.

Rolls-Royce "The Group confirms that current trading is consistent with existing guidance," it said in a statement.
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Amvescap (Q3) AstraZeneca (Q3 GMT 10:00) PBT 720-1000m exp. Aviva (Q3) New Business 1.8bn exp. Marconi (Q2), Shell (Q3) PBT $3.25bn exp.

Dow Chemicals, Applied Micro Circuits,  Bristol Myers, Xerox (Q3), Colgate Palmolive (Q3) Goodyear (Q3), Medimmune (Q3), Microsoft (Q1), NCR (Q3), Reebok (Q1), Schering (Q3)

13:30 US weekly jobless claims, 383k exp.

HVB Group, Renault, Lafarge, Volvo

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

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little woman - 23 Oct 2003 08:31 - 5 of 35

Morning all,

Did what I've never done before, sold everything in my nominee accounts (This years existing profits will easily cover losses) and will wait dust to settle.
- Decided not to take any chances!

Crocodile - 23 Oct 2003 09:18 - 6 of 35

Market has lost direction at the moment. Sitting on my hands, strangely enough I lost money on a short this morning and gained on a long with Aviva ;-)

Crocodile - 23 Oct 2003 09:18 - 7 of 35

Well done LW

brianboru - 23 Oct 2003 11:31 - 8 of 35

Shell's results haven't pleased the market.
I'd been waiting to get in below 380p (now 372p) but can't pull the trigger :-(

Crocodile - 23 Oct 2003 14:48 - 9 of 35

Closing Shorts.

zarif - 23 Oct 2003 15:00 - 10 of 35

Croc:
Closing Shorts. Do you reckon there is going to be rebound after the floor has been hammered.I think so as i have closed all my shorts except for one as escape route if need to get out.
Btw this is on the DOw

rgds
zarif

little woman - 23 Oct 2003 15:26 - 11 of 35

I think the market is going to be very unstable for a while until the panic stop's and people stop and think.

What I don't understand is why it's such a big deal the interest rates nearly went up! (Even actually go up shouldn't really make a difference!) It wasn't a big deal when they went down!

stockbunny - 23 Oct 2003 15:35 - 12 of 35

I agree LW after all we are facing a potential quarter rise not 5 or 6 percentages points rise! There seems an element of panic in it all. Well I'm going to buy into a couple who have lost ground over the last couple of days but are fair divi. payers and at good prices now to buy.
Be lucky people!

Crocodile - 23 Oct 2003 15:56 - 13 of 35

Made a few points on that rally and now closed as it seems to be running out of steam

zarif - 23 Oct 2003 15:58 - 14 of 35

croc:
same here closed the longs that i put on before and closed off in positive.
Took out another short in addition

rgds
zarif

Crocodile - 23 Oct 2003 16:00 - 15 of 35

Have a feeling we may be on the edge of a cliff. Market looks very jittery.

Crocodile - 23 Oct 2003 16:08 - 16 of 35

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United Kingdom Calendar  20th - 24th October

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United States  (GMT)

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Europe & World (GMT)

Autonomy (Q3) BHP Billiton (AGM)

WPP(Q3)

09:30 Q3 preliminary GDP q/q 0.6%, y/y 2.0% prev. 09:30 Sep retail sales m/m, y/y 0.2%, 3.8% exp.

 

Brunswick

 

France Telecom, SwedbankEssilor F (Q3)

Renault F (Q3) Royal Dutch Petroleum NL (Q3)

Syngenta CH (Q3), Volvo S (Q3) Wanadoo F (Q3). Web.de D (Q3)

10:00 EMU current account NSA 1.28 prev.

For tomorrow

little woman - 23 Oct 2003 16:09 - 17 of 35

I'm going to do a lot of homework over the next couple of weeks, OK maybe days (making sure the silly period is over) and then start buying again.

stockbunny - 23 Oct 2003 16:30 - 18 of 35

Seems there's some slight lifting going on generally in the FTSE 250 the falls today may not be as bad as yesterday if this continues....

little woman - 23 Oct 2003 16:47 - 19 of 35

Tommorrow & next week will be interesting, especially any company reporting between now and then. It could be good to watch the reactions if the reporting is good or bad.

stockbunny - 23 Oct 2003 16:52 - 20 of 35

Oh Eeck...Alterian are reporting on Monday or Tuesday supposedly and as much as I would LOVE to see a really healthy report, full of statements like "we are now in profit.." I have a feeling even hoping for such news could be akin to being a can short of a six pack.....But I remain an optimist!

little woman - 23 Oct 2003 17:12 - 21 of 35

lol

Stockbunny - please use EPIC's - I seem to have joined the don't know the names of companies or what they do but can recognise the EPIC!

stockbunny - 24 Oct 2003 14:55 - 22 of 35

Little Woman - yes I will try to remember to use the Epic codes - unfortunately
I work t'other way round, my memory is lousy for remembering the codes
(giggle!) but I'll try....

little woman - 24 Oct 2003 16:22 - 23 of 35

Just realised that ULVR is due to produce results & go ex divi in less than 2 weeks and the shares are quite low - so jumped in and bought a few. If it goes up more than the divi is worth between now & then, I shall sell.

stockbunny - 24 Oct 2003 17:13 - 24 of 35

LOL - Guess what I did this AM...???!! Yes caught the same thought thread as you did this afternoon and bought a few ULVR - report date Mon/Tues next week?Seems ex-div due around the 5th Nov and record date appears to be 6th Nov (bit quick..?) anyway pay out looks like Dec. so a nice boost before Xmas for the coffers!!!!! Guess Little Woman and the Bunny struck in unison today!!!
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