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Traders Thread - Tuesday 19th July (TRAD)     

Greystone - 18 Jul 2005 22:11

Digger - 19 Jul 2005 07:26 - 5 of 7

AFX UK at a glance share guide - 2

MARKETS
FTSE 100 5,214.2, down 16.6
FTSE 2507,435.0, down 35.8
DJIA 10,575.00, down 65.80
Nasdaq Comp 2,144.87, down 11.91
S&P 500 1,221.15, down 6.75
Tokyo: Nikkei closed at 11,764.84, up 6.61
Hang Seng midday 14,565.32, down 1.68
Gold 421.75 usd (420.75 usd)
Oil - Brent Sep 56.99 usd (57.61 usd)

BREAKING NEWS
* Brown set to delay spending review; move has implications for timing of PM's departure; postponement until 2007 tightens chancellor's grip - FT
* Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp's Rover bid plans to employ 3,000 - FT
* Rupert Murdoch makes a 331 mln stg cash purchase of Intermix Media, his first significant internet acquisition since he made the sector a priority for his News Corp media group earlier this year - FT
* Stuart Rose, chief executive of MARKS & SPENCER, loses his most powerful boardroom ally with the resignation of his right-hand man Charles Wilson - FT
* SABMILLER poised to agree an 8 bln usd (4.6 bln stg) takeover of Grupo Empresarial Bavaria, in a deal that will give the UK-based brewer of Castle Lager and Miller Lite access to Latin America's beer market - FT
* CAIRN ENERGY gives start date for 'world class' oil field - FT
* Internet hosting group TELECITY, valued at about 1 bln stg in the dotcom boom, to be taken private for 58 mln stg - FT
* JARVIS in advanced talks to sell its UK road repairs unit to Accord - FT
* REGENT INNS walks away from its 101 mln stg bid for URBIUM - FT
* PUNCH TAVERNS adds Avebury Holdings to its growing stable of pubs, buying the private company's estate for 219 mln stg in cash and debt - FT
* BALFOUR BEATTY changes plea to guilty in Hatfield trial
* Number of new home buyers rose in June for the first time in six months - Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors
* ITV bidders take fright at pensions black hole - Express

PRESS COMMENT
FT
THE LEX COLUMN comments on CABLE & WIRELESS, UK casinos, Philips, Unipol/Banca Nazionale del Lavoro - IG (not cheap)
Independent
THE INVESTMENT COLUMN: RHM (buy), WOLSELEY (remains a core sector holding)
Guardian
BT GROUP/LOGICACMG (there will be bad news for both today as a survey warns that the average size of IT and business process outsourcing contracts almost halved in the second quarter of 2005) - NAPIER BROWN FOODS (City professionals believe THE REAL GOOD FOOD COMPANY could announce a 220 pence-a-share offer by the end of the week)
Telegraph
QUESTOR: WOLSELEY (hold on), IG GROUP (hold), SLOUGH ESTATES (worth a look)
Times
CIRCLE OIL (talk of large fundraising) - DIRECTORS' DEALINGS: CONNAUGHT (chief executive sells stock for 486,350 stg) - TEMPUS: IG GROUP (pass), WOLSELEY (hold), BURREN ENERGY (can be held with some confidence)
Mail
PLANIT HOLDINGS (current rating undervalues - KBC Peel Hunt)
Express
SHARE WHISPER: SMITH & NEPHEW (talk its forthcoming results will be strong) - WHO'S DEALING: MICE GROUP (chairman snaps up 58,000 shares at 25-1/2 pence)

Digger - 19 Jul 2005 10:30 - 6 of 7

LONDON (AFX) - UK and European brokers' recommendations issued today, as collated by AFX News from a range of market sources.

WESTLB
Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral SABMiller -- Downgrade Neutral from outperform Logitech, target 42.5 eur -- Upgrade Outperform from neutral adidas-salomon, new target 175 eur

BRIDGEWELL
Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight Centaur Holdings

NUMIS
Upgrades to Add from Hold Babcock, 190 pence target -- Buy Consolidated Minerals, raises target to 126 pence from 120

DRESDNER KLEINWORT
Downgrades to Hold from Add Enagas -- Upgrade Hold from reduce Virgin Mobile

UBS
Upgrades to Buy from Neutral Invensys -- Buy HMV Group, ups target to 295 pence -- Buy Georg Fischer, ups target to 480 sfr -- Downgrade Neutral from buy TNT Group -- Upgrade Buy from neutral EMS Chemie

ALTIUM SECURITIES
Reiterate Add Wembley, ups target to 896 pence

CA CHEUVREUX
Upgrade Outperform from underperform Fimalac, ups target to 50 eur -- Upgrade Outperform from underperform Schibsted, ups target to 200 nkr from 145 - Reiterate Outperform LISI, ups target to 74 eur from 70 -- Outperform Soitec, ups target to 15 eur

BNP PARIBAS
Reiterate Neutral Atlas Copco, ups target to 125 skr from 114, raises estimates -- Neutral Sanef, ups target to 43 eur from 42 -- Neutral Soitec, ups target to 8 eur from 7 -- Neutral LISI, ups target to 61 eur

MERRILL LYNCH
Reiterate Buy Atlas Copco, ups target to 145 skr

DEUTSCHE BANK
Reiterate Hold Karstadt Quelle, raises target to 11.4 eur from 9 -- Buy Metso, raises target to 21 eur from 17.8 -- UK Banks: Downgrade Hold from Buy HBOS, target 910 pence; Upgrade to Hold from Sell Bradford & Bingley, ups target to 320 pence from 300, preview; Reiterate Hold Barclays, ups price target to 600 pence from 560, preview -- Hold Atlas Copco, ups target to 125 skr from 100

PANMURE GORDON
Downgrade Hold from buy ARM Holdings, target 120 pence -- Reiterate Buy IG Group, ups target to 130 pence from 120

CITIGROUP SMITH BARNEY
Upgrade Buy from hold Novartis, ups target to 54.25 usd from 50.08 -- Downgrade Hold from buy Standard Bank, target 75 rand -- Reiterate Hold Atlas Copco, ups target to 130 skr from 108.33 -- Buy Wolseley, ups target to 1,300 pence from 1,240 - Sell Gazprom, ups target to 33.60 usd from 32.30 -- Upgrade Buy from hold Kensington Group, ups target to 665 pence from 559 -- Reiterate Buy Banca Intesa, ups target to 4.60 eur from 4.3 -- Buy Cemex, ups target to 52 usd, preview

JP MORGAN
Downgrade Neutral from overweight PPR, cuts fair value to 85 eur from 88 -- Downgrade Neutral from overweight Atlas Copco, ups fair value to 139 skr from 126

LEHMAN
Nordic Banks: Initiate sector with Negative rating; Initiate Overweight Nordea, target 8.6 eur; Initiate Equal-weight SEB, target 145 skr; Equal-weight DnB Nor, target 70 nkr; Equal-weight Swedbank, target 186 skr; Underweight Danske Bank, target 182 dkr; Underweight Handelsbanken, target 157 skr -- Initiate Equal-weight Toro, target 13 eur French Banks: Retain Negative sector view; prefer Societe Generale, ups target to 97 eur; BNP Paribas, ups target to 63 eur -- Equal-weight Ahold, ups target to 7.0 eur -- Overweight Antena3, target 18.75 - Overweight Atlas Copco, ups target to 138 skr, raises estimates -- Equal-weight Philips, ups target to 23 eur

GOLDMAN SACHS
Reiterate In-line Credit Suisse, ups estimates -- Outperform UBS, ups estimates -- Upgrade In-line from underperform Deutsche Bank, up estimates -- Upgrade Outperform from in-line Stora Enso; Downgrade In-line from outperform Metso -- Upgrade Outperform from in-line Saint Gobain, ups estimates -- Upgrade Outperform from In-Line Hilton Group, adjusts estimates -- Reiterate In-Line Atlas Copco, ups estimates, prefers SKF -- Outperform Punch Taverns, ups estimates -- Outperform Philips, cuts forecasts, prefers STMicroelectronics or ARM -- Outperform Stanley Leisure, adjusts estimates

ING
Downgrade Hold from buy De'Longhi, cuts target to 2.9 eur from 3.3, reduces estimates

SG SECURITIES
Oil Services: Retain Neutral sector view; Upgrade Buy from hold Geophysique, ups fair value to 89 eur from 70; Saipem, ups fair value to 12.7 eur from 10.2; Technip, ups fair value to 45 eur from 40; SBM, ups fair value to 70 eur from 59 -- Reiterate Buy Philips, ups fair value to 25.5 eur from 24.0, trims estimates

CSFB
Downgrade Neutral from Outperform Pyaterochka, target 15.8 usd -- Outperform Wolseley, ups price target to 1,400 pence from 1,300

ABN AMRO
Upgrade hold from reduce Arriva, new target 546 pence -- Reiterate Buy Gambro, ups fair value to 130 skr, preview -- Downgrades to Hold from Add ABB

CAZENOVE
Outperform Ultra Electronics, ups EPS estimates

Velocity - 19 Jul 2005 21:44 - 7 of 7

For all you US watchers out there, intc just tanked 75-80pts in after hours extended trading following it's update. Dow gobbling up it's gains and now at 10,615.
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