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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

overgrowth - 22 Jul 2005 15:12 - 501 of 1497

Certainly a positive AGM statement from PCM - I'll keep an eye on them.

ptholden - 22 Jul 2005 16:19 - 502 of 1497

Interesting chart and indicators at the moment. SP is in danger of making a double top, depending on how it finishes today. There is clear divergance on the Slow Sto, MACD and RSI and all based on average volume for MDW, so should be reasonably reliable. Could have bought back in two days ago at 13p but was persuaded by the indicators that a further retracement was likely. Clealry this has not happened yet and perhaps will not do so. It certainly won't if MDW are able to release any good news in the early part of next week! I'm setting myself a target of 12p this time and will definately stick to it, unless that elusive RNS makes an appearance. Certainly a cracking stock to be in at the moment and if that news does come out I will jump back onboard tout suite!!

Best of luck to all current and prospective holders.

pth

optomistic - 24 Jul 2005 10:53 - 503 of 1497

pth, get your 'tout suite' ready :-) As you say all the indicators are looking positive. Not sure about your interpretation of 'divergence' though, I was under the impression that a divergence was when the sp moved contrary to the indicators, in this case the sp is moving in line with the indicators. Would stand to be corrected if this is not the case, always ready to learn.
In the meantime these indicators look very positive and given that many trade on them could well signal a rise early next week.
opto

ptholden - 24 Jul 2005 11:15 - 504 of 1497

opto

Always ready to declare that I am still learning TA and as you rightly say it's all down to interpretation. But I'll have a go.

You can see from the MACD, RSI and Slow Sto that from the third week of June to Friday last week that if you draw a line from peak to peak all are falling whilst the SP has been rising, a clear example of divergance. However, if the SP were to continue to rise, so will the indicators thus making a nonsense of my analysis! The Double top formation was formed on Friday, giving some credence to my thought process and I would anticipate a fall on Monday. Just my luck for a RNS to be issued on Monday and all of that goes out of the window.

Assuming that there is no bad news in the pipeline and I can't believe that for one moment there will be, I fully intend to be back in soon, just trying to pick the dip!

pth

optomistic - 24 Jul 2005 12:47 - 505 of 1497

pth, thanks for your reply, if you are right about the fall on Monday I think it will be short lived but will give an opportunity to get in. Not so sure about a fall myself but that as you say is down to interpretation. It you are still in the learning curve with TA, as we all must be as you can never stop learning can you, I suggest you have a look at www.stockcharts.com MACD and other indicators thoroughly covered there and well worth the research.
Cheers and good luck tomorrow,
opto

Treblewide - 24 Jul 2005 19:03 - 506 of 1497

are you referring to the high on June 1st as your first leg of the double top?
if so this was breached with Friday's close...any further up movement ie close at 16p or above means we have broken out of the current range it has been in for the last 18 months or so.

next stop then is 24p and above that is a huge gap to fill.....all realistic targets if they do not have to come back to the city for more cash which looks unlikely unless they get a few deals in sharpish.


ps i am and have been a holder of these for about 18 months

ptholden - 24 Jul 2005 19:45 - 507 of 1497

Treb

My first leg of the Double Top refers to mid July, which also represents resistance for the past yonk or two (well known TA phrase.....err not!). Sure all will be revealed tomorrow. As Opto recommends, will have my 'tout suite' ready to go if it looks like a chart breakout as opposed to a retracement. I work on 3% to confirm chart patterns, breakouts etc, so would not agree that Friday's finish confirms that we have broken out of the current range. I've managed to make a profit, followed by a loss, followed by a profit thus far on MDW, I fully expect the next leg in the sequence to be a profit, although perhaps not quite as much as it may have been, had I hung on tight in the first place!!

Looking forward to tomorrow.

By the way, quite a few threads over the past week or so have suffered significant trials and tribulations with regard to the lunacy of some posters, MDW along with DGT remain amongst the best on MAM, so well done to those better informed than I, who continue to post.

pth

mg - 25 Jul 2005 11:51 - 508 of 1497

I know I've done this before but I think it's worth reminding ourselves of the context for MDW at this stage in it's life:

5 years and where a successful MDW might be
Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

2 Years - and the resistance it's facing
Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

mg - looking for a close above 14.5/15.0p - and early retirement ;)

Treblewide - 25 Jul 2005 12:35 - 509 of 1497

nice charts old man mg....i thought you had retired years ago

ptholden - 26 Jul 2005 20:47 - 510 of 1497

Somebody like to hazard a guess as to why MDW wasn't marked down today, following all those sells. Not a huge volume, but this stock is normally quite sensitive to both sells and buys. Got it right for yesterday, but it seems the MMs are messing me around today! Still expect a fall tomorrow, unless I'm thwarted by one of those elusive RNS thingies.

pth

chocolat - 26 Jul 2005 21:41 - 511 of 1497

I was thinking the same thing earlier pth.
No guesses from me - I'm just happy to stay put until at least 20p for starters.

ptholden - 26 Jul 2005 21:52 - 512 of 1497

Choccy

Can't say I blame you, I'm just greedy in trying to trade in and out.

pth

optomistic - 27 Jul 2005 10:07 - 513 of 1497

This morning the 'buys' have it and the price is marked down a touch.
Sell order being completed behind the scenes?

ptholden - 27 Jul 2005 10:41 - 514 of 1497

Good call opto, 250k sell @ 12.5p

optomistic - 27 Jul 2005 10:51 - 515 of 1497

Cleared the way for a move up pt ?

ptholden - 27 Jul 2005 11:03 - 516 of 1497

Still think it will fall further opto. Needs some news to get it going. I just hope it doesn't come too soon!! :-)

optomistic - 27 Jul 2005 11:10 - 517 of 1497

pth, I must be selfish, the news can't come soon enough :-)

ptholden - 27 Jul 2005 11:14 - 518 of 1497

opto, you are absolutely right. In six months time, I imagine I will probably be wondering why I was arguing with myself over an entry point measured in 1p or so!!

optomistic - 27 Jul 2005 11:21 - 519 of 1497

Seems finely balanced at the moment pt, could drop to 12.5 yet just as easily jump to 14. I am happier to hold right now than I would be waiting for a drop to buy.
That 250K trade seems to have quietened things a bit, would be so nice to know where it came from.

ptholden - 27 Jul 2005 11:52 - 520 of 1497

L2 looking interesting 4 v 1.
Not sure which way this is going to go. MMs seem happy to absorb any stock and they must have a reason for that. Anyway, off to play golf, see what has happened when I get back.

pth
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