NML is due its interrim results now, last year it was the 28th of this month.

They are setting up a new site to explore/research/analyse and all the equipment to do this should be on site now, and drilling should start soon, all this extra news should be covered in the interims.

does anyone have any further positive views on this company ??

Theres something just not right about this company at all.The fact that you can buy below the mid price shows how weak this is and is very likely to fall from here 3.5 / 4.0 will be the next quote or 3.75 / 4.0p when the market makerrealises hes run out of mug punters at 3.975!
There has been huge selling into every single rally now I wonder why that is...!Just doesnt sound right to me..

Basically, the selling into the rallies is shall we say 'low' or 'non'-risk takers selling to risk-takers ie you and me.
The low or non-risk takers for whatever reason want to remove the risk on their shares, which they may have received from convertable loans or fees for work done etc, and they have no interest in investing for future growth. Their sole policy is to convert their shares into cash as soon as possible.

That's my take on the selling, anyway.

One day, the seller will have sold all their shares, and the overhang will be gone. That situation is often when you see the biggest and fastest gains.

mjr1234,

Are you saying that the placees that bought at lower prices are the sellers?

And don't you think they are risk takers, if they bought when the company was not as developed as it is now?

I believe the Badenhorsts have only sold 1 million shares, and so not too many of the sales are from people that have been paid in kind, so to speak, IMHO.

Andy

They are risk takers, but of the kind that are happy to take a turn and move on, unless there is immediate prospect of better things. If not take the margin and get rid of the risk. IMHO

This would be subject to any lock-in agreements which are less likely with additional fund-raisin than with an IPO etc.

sd

This company has no money left a handful of diamonds and a load of rubble to shift through.Meanwhile who is going to pay the wages and all the bills yep youve got it you are there will be yet another miserable placing at 3p.And yes to the same sellers as before who will sell them all at 4.5p or above.This company is like a scratched record the story never changes.I therefore think it wise to Short the Pants off this dog to 2p.!

You mean they have a lot of diamonds worth a lot of money.

Remember that all the Directors and the mine operators have stakes in this company, some of them very significant stakes.

It is in all their interests to get the share price up and to ensure the company is a big success.

The Directors have options going up to 50p+.

An alternative explanation for the drop in share price (in the absence a large sell trade), is that the MMs are wanting to destroy sentiment in order to pick up shares as cheap as possible from holders throwing in the towel, before news arrives, whereupon they can sell them off at a large premium.
They are certainly doing a good job of it with some posters on here and other bbs by the look of it.

mjr1234,

they have to prove those diamond resources before we can count them surely?

They have not so far announced grades and values from their sampling and trenching which has been going on since last September.

With regard to your comments about directors and contractors having stakes in NML, I would just like to point out the folowing.

The directors and Badenhorsts have not actually bought their stakes in NML, they took them in lieu of cash to preserve cash as exploration and production were delayed by the bad weather.

Their options do not cost them anything, they are awarded at no cost, and are simply available should the shareprice pass certain milestones, up to 50p, and so are not significant IMHO.

Marketmakers do not generally hold stocks on their books, they aim to balance them, and avoid risk, particularly AIM stocks.

Whether they took them in lieu of cash or whether they are options, it is definitely in the Directors' and the Badenhorsts' financial interest to get the price up and increase the value of their holdings / get the price to the options grant levels!

Re: Marketmakers,

In an ideal world they do not hold stock on their books, balance them by the end of the day etc etc.

But in practice, and ESPECIALLY on smaller AIM stocks, it is obvious that they do hold stock on their books, and they also go short very frequently if it helps them make money.

This much is obvious from the number of 'Market Maker holdings' declarations you see, and also from debacles such as the 'Room Services' group where EVO went short of twice the entire issued shares or something similar. That was an extreme case of course.

Just had someone get back to me on this theyve been doing a bit of ringing around and the rumour is another placing is on its way but not with the usual suspects for whatever reason.That means the placing is in the last chance saloon bucket shops so expect a low price.

"Not with the usual suspects" could just as easily mean Rab Capital or Gartmore in this case, couldn't it?

mjr1234,

I agree, it IS in their interests to get the mine up and running, just that they themselves haven't actually bought into the company, IMO, they simply had to accept shares in lieu of reumeration due to lack of cash.

I genuinely believe MM's don't hold much stock of anything, and go long or short as the situation dictates.


ASMITH2,

I would be VERY surprised if that rumour were true, personally.
if it were, it would be very bad news for the shareprice, IMO.

City Equities once offered me EPO @ 3.75p, when the offer was 4p.
I checked the news, and surprise surprise, EPO had just done a placing at 2.5p.... to City Equities!

the EPO SP fell to 1p very quickly after that.

You can buy below the mid price again this is going down again..unbelievable!
Time to start ringing directors to start making a nuisance of oneself I think.

ASMITH2,

Yes I just tried, and I can buy @ 3.85p, MID price is 3.88!

Andy,

Its been that way for around a week.

mjr,

Ok thanks.

Suggest Andy should read the web-site [http://www.new-millenium.com.au/ang_resources.php]

The measured resource of Rio Lapi Garimpo is known as 235,000 carats; the recoverable at 80% is 188,100 carats. OK, production consists of sifting the gravel to extract the diamons, but they are already doing that. So I can't see why there should be a placing now or at least until the geological figures are confirmed in actual production; any finance needs must be very short-term indeed so a loan with share inducements would appear the logical route.

If the negative comments above are typical of the rumour market then that is sufficient to explain the bad market in the shares. I accept there is a negative track record. As everyone knows, I'm a cautious sort of bloke (don't ask the Mrs for confirmation) so am just holding what I have - but I'm sure the bold and brave like mjr and dynamite are staching them away, with lol and rofl down the line!

Eric

Ewric,

I read it early last year, but thanks for posting the link, others will find it useful.

With regard to a possible placing / fundraising, it has been several months since the drawdown, and I'm sure they must be running fairly low on funds. Shane Healy was recently in London, meeting institutions, maybe he was also looking to raise some cash?

Whilst they may be mining, they are not currently selling any diamonds, and we don't know their rate of progress, or the average value per carat.

I find it hard to believe they will raise funds via a bucket shop broker, so am discounting it, until any confirmation to the contrary.

andy: I think we are not that far apart in our thinking. The fact that they paid their salaries with shares in lieu shows how tight things are. They seemed to have raises funds in US$ and attitude in London seems negative, perhaps because they are Australians! I accept that the initail production does not produce the revanues and the process is proably complicated with the involvement of the Angolan government. However, you could argue that diamonds are better than cash or will at least assist the raising of cash in an effective way. Because of the evident risk, my holding is at 'half-carat' level! Have not admitted to the Mrs, whose name they are in, as she will expect the diamonds as a divi! Di, di-va that she is, is paying herself a di-vi in di-amonds! Beat that - what's better than one di? - ans 4. Oh, could have added di-lectable!

Eric