Think it means sell now cos it's going to drop to 52p instead of 50p but who would know!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I wouldn't trust Goldman Sachs with my packet of Fruit Pastels .

You sell, we buy, you buy, we sell.

Exactly Fred.

GS are well known for only being interested in making profits for themselves, clients being just cash cows

Credit Suisse today initiates coverage of Lloyds Banking Group PLC ORD (LON:LLOY) with a neutral investment rating and price target of 65p.

Cazenove comment on the stress test results today:
"Expect Lloyds to increase dividends post this result: Lloyds CT1 ratio declined from 12.8% (FY15) to 10.3% post management actions in the stress scenario which was significantly above the 7.0% hurdle rate. The net drawdown of 2.5% was the second smallest amongst the banks stress tested after Santander UK. The strong stress test performance from Lloyds re-affirms its strong capital and balance sheet position. As a result, we believe that Lloyds remains well placed to increase dividend distributions at 4Q’16."

Why Lloyds rally may not be over
By Alistair Strang | Thu, 8th December 2016 - 09:33

The big question is, how can we see Lloyds (LLOY) up 4% and still describe it as underperforming? The answer, quite simply, comes from utter frustration. Last month, we'd assigned a trigger level to Lloyds at 61p, and the very next day it managed to close above at 61.4p. So it was all go for a party!

It bettered our trigger level, then retreated in fright, but thankfully did not trouble the cancellation parameter of 54.5p. It simply opted to spend the last month wasting everyone's time and, now it has again bettered 61p, we're less than frothing with anticipation.

After all, who knows of a retail bank capable of doing the right thing by its customers and investors?

We've decided to look again at the sexily named NMW8350 index, the rogues gallery, the banking master index. At time of writing, it's trading at 4,218.9 and the day high has been 4,239.

There's sod all important about these numbers other than the salient detail this index needed to close Wednesday above roughly 4,222.249 to indicate a break above the ruling downtrend since 2013.

Common sense alone would dictate this is a good thing for the banking sector as it permits growth toward 4,440 initially with secondary, if bettered, at a very interesting 4,973 points.

To cut to the chase, a 17% rise against the banking sector is obviously going to reflect well on its inmates - such as the clown retail banks like Lloyds.


Regular readers will have noticed our occasional somewhat jaundiced comments against the banks as a heck of a lot of 'em have been kicking at their stable door in an effort to improve the share price.

To return to Lloyds, it's highly likely the initial close above 61p - which did nothing - was due to the sector itself not being ready to move.

Now, a month later, we shall again pretend optimism and suggest it's now worth a lot of attention should the share start trading above 62.6p intraday.

Something like this allows for a tight(ish) stop - below 60p - and we'd expect the price to challenge an initial 64.5p but, realistically, once some stutters at this level conclude (‘blue’ line downtrend syndrome), it should head on upward toward 75p.

Folk with eyes will notice a problem on the chart just below our 75p ambition. Essentially, if Lloyds closes above this "Glass Ceiling @ 74p", just go long and wait till we update this diatribe.

And, of course, the other problem is shown in red. Anything capable of now driving the price below 54p hints of Running Shoes being an ideal Xmas present.

Best bank share tip for 2017 - By Lee Wild | Thu, 8th December 2016 - 09:00

Best bank share tip for 2017 UBS research European bank sector price to book London's bank shares index is hardly changed in 2016, but the past 11 months have been anything but dull. After losing over a quarter of its value during the first six weeks of the year, the sector rallied more than 40% from its post-EU referendum low. Things could get even better for some, according to UBS, which has just named its top picks for 2017.

"The turnaround in sector performance reflects increased optimism about global growth, expectations of economic expansion together with prospects of higher interest rates, especially following in the US presidential election," explains UBS.

"Should the banking sector finish the year in positive territory, it will be the first time since 2013, when the sector ended up 13.5%."

In a hefty 95-page tome, the broker's team of analysts outline a number of positive developments for the industry, suggesting fundamentals are improving.

Expect a gradual recovery in loan growth, which UBS believes has bottomed out, and a benign environment for asset quality as capital is built up. The broker's expectations for return on equity (ROE) have improved 20 basis points in recent months, yet remain well below historical levels at a forecast 10.7% in 2017.

A 96-basis point jump in US 10-year bond yields since July to 2.32% is also good news for banks. Traders think president-elect Donald Trump's promised economic stimulus could underpin faster growth and herald the return of inflation, says UBS.

"Analysis of US 10-year bond yields and global banks' share price performance over the past 10 years shows a reasonably positive correlation, implying that rising US Treasury yields tend to be generally positive for global banks' share price performance."
Stand-out lenders

Eleven lenders stand out for the broker, although from the UK only Lloyds Banking (LLOY) makes the "most preferred" list, with a 'buy' rating and 67p price target. In fact, it's one of UBS's key recommendations across the European bank sector.

It's among the cheapest in terms of price/earnings (PE) multiples, too, trading on 8.1 times adjusted earnings per share, rising to 9.2 in 2017. A price-to-book ratio of 1 times and 0.9 times, respectively, is low, too, while forward dividend yield of 6.9% for next year is streets ahead of the other ten UBS top picks.

Lloyds should stay capital generative, delivering a 5% yield in 2016 and 7% in 2017"As the only large-cap UK lender with the capacity to re-price deposits enough to offset the impact on loan returns of a lower BoE rate, we expect a resilient net interest margin," says UBS analyst Jason Napier.

"Lloyds has also done the least to reset its branch network for the digital age over the last five years, leaving room for further cost-cutting if required.

"A lower-risk loan portfolio should keep impairments manageable. In all, we expect the franchise to remain strongly capital-generative, delivering a 5% yield in 2016 and 7% in 2017."

Uncertainty in spades

That's reassuring, considering there's uncertainty in spades, specifically around Brexit and Article 50. Another anticipated cut in interest rates by the Bank of England will also further pressure margins.

However, Napier predicts strong growth in stated profits in 2017 for the five major listed UK banks, driven by big reductions in "below-the-line" charges and non-core asset losses.

Questor tipping Lloyds for its dividends in today's Telegraph:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/investing/shares/buy-lloyds-set-become-dividend-paying-machine/

JP Morgan Cazenove today reaffirms its neutral investment rating on Lloyds Banking Group PLC ORD (LON:LLOY) and raised its price target to 70p (from 68p)

StockMarketWire.com
The UK Government has reduced its stake in Lloyds Banking Group to 6.93%

Norges Bank Below 3%

At the top of the channel now @ 64.31p.

Yeah, but that doesn't matter 'cos your channel continues up to infinity!!?

And beyond Harry, and beyond :-)

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP TO ACQUIRE MBNA LTD FROM BANK OF AMERICA

Lloyds Banking Group ('the Group') today announces that it has agreed to acquire MBNA Ltd (MBNA), a UK consumer credit card business, from FIA Jersey Holdings Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America. The transaction is consistent with the Group's stated strategic ambitions of growing in Consumer Finance and will enable the Group to enhance its position and offering within the UK prime credit card market.

The acquired MBNA business, which comprises gross assets of c.£7bn, is expected to deliver strong financial returns and create significant value for shareholders. The transaction is expected to complete by the end of the first half of 2017, subject to the receipt of competition and regulatory approval, and is expected to deliver:
· an underlying Return on Investment that exceeds Cost of Equity in the first full year and increases to c.17% in the second full year following the acquisition
· c.3% and c.5% statutory EPS accretion in the first and second full years following the acquisition
The transaction will deliver a £650m per annum (c.4%) increase to Group revenues and will enhance Group net interest margin by c.10bps per annum. There is also significant opportunity for cost synergies, currently expected at c.£100m run rate per annum within 2 years, representing c.30% of the 2015 MBNA cost base.

In the first half of 2016 the gross assets acquired delivered post-tax profits of £123m(1) and are being acquired for cash consideration of £1.9bn. The purchase price includes c.£0.8bn of acquired equity and assumes £240m for future PPI claims, with the Group's exposure to PPI liability capped at this amount.

MBNA is a UK credit card business with a high quality customer base founded upon sound underwriting principles and credit management, which aligns well with the Group's strategy to deliver sustainable growth through a multi-brand strategy. The MBNA brand will be maintained as a challenger brand further enhancing our customer offering. MBNA's diversified distribution model, along with its data analytics capability, digital strength and well-recognised brand, will be complementary to the Group's existing capabilities and provides further opportunities for growth and delivering excellent customer service. On completion of the transaction, the Group's market share in credit cards will increase from c.15% to c.26%.

The transaction is being funded through organic capital generation and is currently expected to utilise approximately 80 basis points of Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital, which through this acquisition will further enhance future earnings and capital generation.

(1) post-tax profit of £166m for the full year 2015.


The Group continues to deliver strong underlying and statutory performance with strong capital generation. As a result the Group remains confident in delivering a progressive and sustainable ordinary dividend in 2016 and continues to target a payout ratio of at least 50 per cent of sustainable earnings over the medium term. In line with our policy, the Group's approach to surplus capital distribution at the end of the year will give due consideration to the Board's view of the current level of capital required to meet regulatory requirements, cover uncertainties and grow the business, which will include the capital impact of this transaction.

Commenting on the transaction, António Horta-Osório, Group Chief Executive, said:
"The acquisition, funded through strong internal capital generation, increases our participation in the expanding UK credit card market with a multi-brand strategy and advances our strategic aim to deliver sustainable growth as a UK focused retail and commercial bank. The MBNA brand and portfolio are a good fit with our existing card business and we will focus on providing its customers with excellent service and value. Our low cost to income ratio and proven integration capabilities will deliver significant synergies and value to our shareholders."

- END -

Barclays Capital today upgrades its investment rating on Lloyds Banking Group PLC ORD (LON:LLOY) to overweight (from equal weight) and raised its price target to 75p (from 55p).