cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 15 Apr 2010 15:33
- 5045 of 21973
picking bottoms gives you smelly fingers
to repeat for the umpteenth ..... no market can continue indefinitely in a straight line in either direction ...... there are a number of chart indicators that imply that a correction on dow is now well o'due
jimmy b
- 15 Apr 2010 15:48
- 5047 of 21973
cynic ,BUT WHEN ??? thats my point ,you will be right at some point but if you shorted it this week you have already been stopped out ,,it's like playing roulette ..
cynic
- 15 Apr 2010 16:34
- 5048 of 21973
klal ..... read and/or do your own f'ing research!
jimmy ..... no i am not stopped out, though i have set my own personal pain threshold; as for being like roulette, it's no different than going long or short of a stock
splat
- 15 Apr 2010 16:42
- 5050 of 21973
cynic - klal does, and plenty of it! I read that as an innocent question asked out of curiosity.
cynic
- 15 Apr 2010 17:04
- 5052 of 21973
off you go then, where perhaps someone else has more patience than i to explain some very basic facts about charts - which of course are only a tool anyway
Chris Carson
- 15 Apr 2010 17:17
- 5053 of 21973
Cynic - Surprised at you reacting like that towards klal, was a good question. At least have the good grace to admit that so far anyway your timing if nothing else has been suspect!
cynic
- 15 Apr 2010 17:34
- 5054 of 21973
i'll accept that perhaps i was a bit and unusually snappy, so my apologies
however, you will find several previous posts of mine where i advise of apparent resistance or similar levels ..... mostly these are courtesy of my "chart guru" who is generally/often pretty accurate on these things ..... his logic, insofar as charts are ever logical, is based on something quite complex called GANN Theory
in this instance, 11000 should have provided the "tipping point" with 11100 as the suggested stop-loss ..... in fact, i only went modestly short at a little under 11100
while it is of course currently out of the money, the damage is more than bearable, not least because, almost de facto, other stocks are rising
in fact, i don't often back the indices, but certainly use them as an indicator with regards to whether to buy or take profits elsewhere
Chris Carson
- 15 Apr 2010 17:37
- 5055 of 21973
Thanks cynic understand your thinking now.
Chris Carson
- 16 Apr 2010 16:20
- 5056 of 21973
Looks like the Goldman Sachs new saga should make you a few bob now cynic :o)
dealerdear
- 16 Apr 2010 16:22
- 5057 of 21973
That's stopped the relentless rise!
Fraud in a bank? Never!
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 16:26
- 5058 of 21973
my short not looking quite so silly now ..... that's always the prob when a market falls; it does it much quicker than on the rise
HARRYCAT
- 16 Apr 2010 17:07
- 5059 of 21973
Is that a gentle sigh of relief I hear from the Cynic house?!!! ;o)
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 17:19
- 5060 of 21973
yes and no ..... it's only a modest position as it's easy to get over-ambitious, and of course tumbling dow = tumbling london ..... banked a couple of reasonable profits this afternoon on PMO and PCI, as much as a precaution as anything else - keeps the warchest topped up too
jimmy b
- 16 Apr 2010 17:40
- 5061 of 21973
Goldman scandal is what has spooked the DOW period ....
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 17:42
- 5062 of 21973
true, but to be honest, dow has been looking for an excuse to drop for a little while ..... somehow it has defied gravity and a couple of sets of bad employment numbers
a fall of 3/400 points is far from impossible without remotely challenging the upward trend
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 18:04
- 5063 of 21973
on re-reading my archives ....
11000 is an obvious "round number" support, but in truth10780 is arguably the next meaningful point - that was the initial upward target
if that is reached and breached, then there's a further 200 point downside
required field
- 16 Apr 2010 22:57
- 5064 of 21973
Not much mention of the election here.....anybody see the whole debate last night ?...caught just ten minutes of sweep brown, bugs bunny cameron and the other bloke !...by the way, who the hell is he ?, ......love the way now that the tv news has become all impartial all of a sudden after promoting labour for the last 12 years...talk about turncoats !....