cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 15 Apr 2010 17:34
- 5054 of 21973
i'll accept that perhaps i was a bit and unusually snappy, so my apologies
however, you will find several previous posts of mine where i advise of apparent resistance or similar levels ..... mostly these are courtesy of my "chart guru" who is generally/often pretty accurate on these things ..... his logic, insofar as charts are ever logical, is based on something quite complex called GANN Theory
in this instance, 11000 should have provided the "tipping point" with 11100 as the suggested stop-loss ..... in fact, i only went modestly short at a little under 11100
while it is of course currently out of the money, the damage is more than bearable, not least because, almost de facto, other stocks are rising
in fact, i don't often back the indices, but certainly use them as an indicator with regards to whether to buy or take profits elsewhere
Chris Carson
- 15 Apr 2010 17:37
- 5055 of 21973
Thanks cynic understand your thinking now.
Chris Carson
- 16 Apr 2010 16:20
- 5056 of 21973
Looks like the Goldman Sachs new saga should make you a few bob now cynic :o)
dealerdear
- 16 Apr 2010 16:22
- 5057 of 21973
That's stopped the relentless rise!
Fraud in a bank? Never!
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 16:26
- 5058 of 21973
my short not looking quite so silly now ..... that's always the prob when a market falls; it does it much quicker than on the rise
HARRYCAT
- 16 Apr 2010 17:07
- 5059 of 21973
Is that a gentle sigh of relief I hear from the Cynic house?!!! ;o)
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 17:19
- 5060 of 21973
yes and no ..... it's only a modest position as it's easy to get over-ambitious, and of course tumbling dow = tumbling london ..... banked a couple of reasonable profits this afternoon on PMO and PCI, as much as a precaution as anything else - keeps the warchest topped up too
jimmy b
- 16 Apr 2010 17:40
- 5061 of 21973
Goldman scandal is what has spooked the DOW period ....
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 17:42
- 5062 of 21973
true, but to be honest, dow has been looking for an excuse to drop for a little while ..... somehow it has defied gravity and a couple of sets of bad employment numbers
a fall of 3/400 points is far from impossible without remotely challenging the upward trend
cynic
- 16 Apr 2010 18:04
- 5063 of 21973
on re-reading my archives ....
11000 is an obvious "round number" support, but in truth10780 is arguably the next meaningful point - that was the initial upward target
if that is reached and breached, then there's a further 200 point downside
required field
- 16 Apr 2010 22:57
- 5064 of 21973
Not much mention of the election here.....anybody see the whole debate last night ?...caught just ten minutes of sweep brown, bugs bunny cameron and the other bloke !...by the way, who the hell is he ?, ......love the way now that the tv news has become all impartial all of a sudden after promoting labour for the last 12 years...talk about turncoats !....
jimmy b
- 17 Apr 2010 03:48
- 5065 of 21973
You may now get your DOW downturn cynic ...
As for the election i shall be back in the UK for that and can at least help vote Labour out . Would also be nice to be out of the EU but that's never going to happen ...
cynic
- 17 Apr 2010 09:04
- 5066 of 21973
RF .... yes both my wife and i did ..... we concur that the newspapers must have been watching a different prog if they thought clegg was fantastic .... we thought him dreadful and like an overgrown schoolboy ..... standing with his hands in his pockets was also less than impressive
i thought cameron looked a bit frayed towards the end, but (to me) he at least sounded and presented like a serious contender to lead the country
while there is certainly a lot of anger against ALL politicians, i strongly suspect that when it comes to "X on paper time", lib dems will do ok, but will not approach anything like the level indicated by today's polls
required field
- 17 Apr 2010 10:04
- 5067 of 21973
A change of government is well overdue, time to give the country a fresh start (if you can call it that) and bring in some laws preventing overborrowing...
cynic
- 17 Apr 2010 10:27
- 5068 of 21973
" bring in some laws preventing overborrowing"
and how would you propose that???
one could say similarly about lib dems idea of immigrants only being able to work in a specified area of the country.
i suppose they could be indentured like slaves!
restrictive societies like UAE and Saudi assuredly make it very difficult for foreigners to move jobs, but those are very small communities, and UK courts would (quite rightly) refuse to sanction similar practice
cynic
- 17 Apr 2010 11:00
- 5069 of 21973
i get a nasty feeling that monday is going to bring more heavy falls, including more in usa when it opens for biz ..... this goldman thing has the feel of "can of worms"
required field
- 17 Apr 2010 11:06
- 5070 of 21973
I don't have a one line answer to preventing getting oneself in to indebtness...but the next government are going to have to put paid to buy a sofa now and pay next year...that sort of thing and also put paid to labour's only answer to anything : "tax and borrow".
required field
- 17 Apr 2010 11:10
- 5071 of 21973
I hope it's not going to be too much of a drop but another 40 points down looks on the cards....
cynic
- 17 Apr 2010 11:37
- 5072 of 21973
my gut feeling is that 11000 won't hold
===========
there has always always been hire-purchase and there's always ways around deposits or similar .... and for sure you can't stop companies offering what look on the surface to be very attractive deals, even if the interest is already built into the price
halifax
- 17 Apr 2010 13:43
- 5073 of 21973
seems strange to us based on the news so far that Goldman Sachs have not been charged with (criminal) theft by deception.