38
- 02 Apr 2004 05:55
- 51 of 57
Hi TSQ,
I did the numbers of the FTSE 100 changes and the process is fairly straight forward. Sort the LSE list by cap and select the largest 150. Find the highest listed 250 and lowest 100 stock. Check the cap of the company, say, 10 higher than the highest 250 and ten lower than the lowest 100. Check the list by searching for all companies within these parameters on Company refs. (LSE list is two months old, Refs is weekly). Call that the opportunity set.
Sort by cap. All the 250 stocks at 90th or higher are promotion candidates and 100 stocks at 111 or below are demotion candidates.
At the last review Enterprise Inns went into the FTSE100 at 91, F&Col left at 114. (Why did Enterprise go in at 91 ? - no idea). New inclusions to the 250 went in at 155,166,264,283,322 and 324.
So predicting the 250 is more difficult just because of the number of different lines of stock that need to be entered into the system to make it work with any degree of certainty.
The next committe meeting takes place on Wednesday 9th of June.
I'm sure these forecasts are in a mag / paper some where.
Yours,
With insomnia,
38
webmeister
- 02 Apr 2004 06:48
- 52 of 57
LW...Although Shell had probs estimating future reserves, 330 was an important low last year, climbing to 420 with very bullish divergence..Though the price has been edging lower RSI has made higher lows so descent could be slowing!!
Full year net profit was up on the back of higher prices @ $11.7 billion against $9.28 billion previously...
Current investment however, will not pay off until 2006/07.. Perhaps the worst is now over!?!
thestatusquo
- 13 Apr 2004 19:24
- 56 of 57
Not a high yield play, but in valuation terms Galen Holdings (GAL), has lost a bit of ground recently making it a STRONG BUY in my book. Whilst scares persist over HRT drugs, Galen's pipeline encompasses a much wider field, including oral contraceptives, acne treatments, analgesics, antibiotics and novel drug delivery systems. The HRT scares continue to be the reason Galen trades at a discount to the sector.
Excellent management, increased US sales force and earnings forecast to rise significantly over next 2 years to 66pence and 89pence. Pricing Galen on a p/e of 18( a slight discount to the sector average), gives me price targets of 1200pence for 04, and 1600pence for 05.
Present price ~820pence, IMHO STRONG BUY.
TSQ.
38
- 13 Apr 2004 22:50
- 57 of 57
Hi LW:
7 prospects filtered out of the 350 based on a good covered divi, positive EPS growth rates and postive trend ROCE - but with no regard to current news, sentiment or technicals: BATS / GLH / DXNS / JLT / MTN / DCG / BWNG
Not in a position to discuss them at the mo'...
Regards