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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)     

overgrowth - 06 Oct 2003 22:47

underground01_2.jpgA busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com

APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=COH&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=COH&Si

AUGUSTMAN - 30 Nov 2006 09:10 - 518 of 2037

Interim headlines as posted at 7.oopm - market reacts with indifference??? - any comments regular COH posters



Coffeeheaven International PLC
30 November 2006


COFFEEHEAVEN INTERNATIONAL PLC

Interim Results for the Six Months Ended 30 September 2006

coffeeheaven international plc (the 'Company' or 'Group'), the operator of
branded coffee bars in central Europe, is pleased to present its interim results
for the six months ended 30 September 2006.

Highlights:

Results

Turnover up 61% to 4,412,000 (2005: 2,732,000).

Increase in like-for-like sales 28% for the six months to 30 September
2006.

59 stores currently trading (Poland: 39, Czech Republic: 9, Latvia: 8,
Bulgaria: 2, Slovakia: 1).

Cash inflows from store operations up 83% to 1,069,000 (2005: 582,000).

Group EBITDA up 555% to 426,000 (2005: 65,000) after charging all
corporate expenses and new market development and acquisition costs.

'Normalised Group Profit'* before taxation for the six months to 30
September 2006 140,000 (2005: 366,000 Loss).

Cash and cash equivalents 2.6 million at 30 September 2006.

Outlook

Trading in first two months of the second half-year remains strong.

Like-for-like sales to date (all markets) broadly at first half growth
rates.

Indicative full year revenues approximately 9.8 million.

Richard Worthington, Executive Chairman of the Group, commented:

'These results demonstrate the strong appeal of coffeeheaven with consumers and
that the Group's development strategy is capitalizing on the growing economies
of central Europe. With a presence in 5 central European markets and sector
leadership in the largest, coffeeheaven is now firmly established as one of
central Europe's leading branded coffee bar chains.'

For further information please contact:

Richard Worthington, Tel: +44 7973 442331
coffeeheaven international plc

Simon Turton Tel: 0845 0600650 or 07976 826004
Opera Public Relations

Sarah Wharry Tel: 020 7107 8000
Seymour Pierce Limited


Chairman's Statement

I am delighted to present the Interim Statement for coffeeheaven international
plc covering the 6-month trading period to 30 September 2006.

Overview

The period under review has seen strong revenue growth and a maiden Pre-tax
Profit.

Specific goals and milestones achieved during the period are as follows:

Historic revenue growth momentum maintained above 50%.

Exceptionally strong like-for-like sales growth achieved in all markets.

Robust growth in operating cash flows.

Maiden Group Profit before taxation.

Further new market expansion into Slovakia.

Summary of Group Financial Results

Overall the Group has performed ahead of your Board's expectations with
particularly strong results in Poland.

Group turnover for the period was 4,412,000 (unaudited) (2005: 2,732,000), an
increase of 61% over the prior year same period (59% at constant exchange rates)
. Turnover excludes sales from coffeeheaven stores in Bulgaria amounting to
74,000 in the period which have not been consolidated (2005: nil).

Normalized Group Pre-tax Profit was 140,000 (2005: 366,000 Loss). Normalized
Group Profit is defined as profit before goodwill, unrealized foreign exchange
losses/profits, and (in the current period only) bookkeeping adjustments for the
first time application of accounting standard FRS20. Notes to the Financial
Statements set out below provide further details.

The Normalised Group Pre-tax Profit is stated after charging UK corporate
administration expenses of 138,000 (2005: 109,000), acquisition and
development expenses of 35,000 (2005: 54,000), and international corporate
administration expenses of 89,000 (2005: 41,000). A full analysis of these
expenses is set out below in Notes to the Financial Statements.
Group EBITDA increased 555% to 426,000 (2005: 65,000) and is stated after
charging all corporate expenses and new market development and acquisition
costs. EBITDA is defined as earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation,
amortisation and FRS 20 adjustments and as such represents the operating cash
flows of the Group.

Total Group overhead costs (which includes overhead costs relating to all
operating companies combined with all UK and international corporate costs
including acquisition and development expenses) were 14% of sales (2005: 18%).
The absolute growth in all overhead expenditure at 26% was significantly lower
than the value growth rate of both sales and store margin.

Summary of Trading Company Financial Results

Combined Net Cash Inflows from store operations increased 84% (80% at constant
exchange rates) to 1,069,000 (unaudited) (2005: 582,000) representing 24% of
sales (2005: 21%). Combined trading company EBITDA increased 147% to 687,000
(2005: 278,000). Combined trading company Pre-tax profits before interest were
377,000 (2005: 23,000 loss).

The Pre-tax Profit on ordinary activities in the period at CHI Polska S.A.
('CHIP') (Poland) was 410,000 (unaudited) (2005: 28,000 loss). EBITDA was
positive at 634,000 (2005: 312,000).
The Pre-tax Loss on ordinary activities in the period at CHI Czech s.r.o.
('CHIC') (Czech Republic) was 24,000 (2005: 126,000 loss). EBITDA was positive
at 44,000 (2005: 59,000 negative).

The Pre-tax Profit on ordinary activities in the period at SIA Coffee Nation
('CNL') (Latvia) was 2,000 (2005: 8,000 loss - 4 months only). EBITDA was
positive at 19,000 (2005: 16,000 - 4 months only).

CHI Slovakia s.r.o. ('CHIS') (Slovakia) commenced trading in mid-August 2006.
The Pre-tax Loss on ordinary activities in the period to 30 September 2006 at
CHIS was 11,000. EBITDA was negative at 10,000.

The Loss attributable to the Group at CHI Bulgaria OOD ('CHIB') (Bulgaria) for
the period was 8,000.

Combined overheads for all operating companies were 8% of total Group sales
(2005: 11%).


stockdog - 30 Nov 2006 10:10 - 519 of 2037

Stonking results as expected - a few traders selling at 35p taking the edge off the SP to allow a nice 80k buy at 35.5p. Take out the broker-broker trade and the roll over of 27k (?) and you have pretty much evens buy/sell on relatively good volume for the day so far.

Tuck away for another 6 months and wait for the finals which I expect to show net profits after tax of 100-200k. I must say FRS rules make a nonsense of understanding simple money-in v. money-out. I like my intangibles to be amortised fairly rapidly and charging deemed cost of options and share schemes to the P/L just gets in the way of seeing the underlying business. We're all grown-ups, we can all take a view on how such things affect capital dilution - whether it's net positive, because they earned the bonuses, or net negative because they paid themselves a bonus anyway. Whinge over.

My back-of-envelope calcs, on a 40% (any more accurate bids, please?) increase in turnover for 2008, suggests a decent net profit bringing the PE within mooonshot and, most importantly, cash generation of 2-2.5m - plenty to self-fund further expansion running at about 1m for 20 new premises in 2007. Looks like we are into the acceleration phase of growth.

In fact, no longer interested in 2007 finals, just want to see that the management can sustain its entrepreneurial edge as they expand their estate. Next major gear change I'd like to see is the next major country after Poland to really get seriously populated.

Very pleased (can you tell?).

AUGUSTMAN - 30 Nov 2006 13:05 - 520 of 2037

Nice little comment here within report re Competitors.

Good post above SD - I share totally your optimism

Markets - Overview

Competitive Environment

Although the competitive environment remains benign, there have been press
announcements in recent months of plans by international coffee bar operators to
enter some of our current and target markets.

Our view on competition remains unchanged; that is, given the embryonic
development phase of our sector in central Europe and because, in our view,
consumer education still remains the key constraint to market growth, any
credible competition is likely to accelerate overall market growth to the
benefit of all responsible operators, including coffeeheaven.

AdieH - 30 Nov 2006 17:08 - 521 of 2037

Costa Coffee to enter Poland shortly under frachise agreements, if my opinion this is good as they would not enter market if there wasn't potential profit to be made... COH couldn't hope to develop this profitable market with competition so was inevitable really but shows the growing market and adoption of the western life style... SP should stabilise around 35p now and then hopefully with more news 40p should be our next target (waiting for brokers notes)...

myway - 04 Dec 2006 14:59 - 522 of 2037

Coffeeheaven is a step in front of the others.. Interim Results for the Six Months Ended 30 September 2006


Turnover and profit margins up for Coffeeheaven.. Thats what Tony our 72 year old came out with at our morning coffee shareclubuk meeting turnover up by 61% and cash inflow up by a robust 83% for the first six months of the year

From what we can under stand the rate of growth has been maintained to date.. COH is taking the lead in their own neck of the woods.. The big investors must be looking at the next stage of growth for the company. The company must also be in line for a possible bid which would in turn open up the market for others.. Keep your eyes open on this one

chesneywilliam - 04 Dec 2006 15:25 - 523 of 2037

Someone from the Independant,said coh share price was trading @ 55 times more than its income for 2007! and one slip could put the share price in the blender. Anyone have any thoughts on this?

AdieH - 04 Dec 2006 15:29 - 524 of 2037

You need to check the previous history on this thread as we have covered this many many times, basically the company is trading on potential markets (which is huge) this share cannot be assessed using usual criteria... Future potential massive and future sp could be huge...

stockdog - 04 Dec 2006 18:42 - 525 of 2037

"Someone from the Independent" is paid to fill news columns, not advise shareholders.

PE of 55 needs to be compared with growth prospects which are looking good post-break even next year and the management have been consistent over the last 2-3 years in achieving their milestones.

chesneywilliam - 04 Dec 2006 20:46 - 526 of 2037

Iam in with you all on this ,the management is 100% ,but I am surprised that no one picked up on the article or made any comment.other than myself.

AdieH - 04 Dec 2006 21:24 - 527 of 2037

Because it wasn't worth commenting on chesney, this is one of the better threads and people don't waste time posting crap. Alot of research and thought goes into most postings, if you want more info I would suggest ample website their are some very good posters on there too... I have attended the last two AGM's and can confirm the directorship of this company is 1st class and am happy for them to be looking after my investment, why would B Currie by 10 million shares at approx 30p if he did not believe in there is not substancial potential from 30p...

AUGUSTMAN - 07 Dec 2006 18:16 - 528 of 2037

Over 1.2m shares sold today vs 0.2 bought and the share price went up.

Anyone have any thoughts or explanation for me

Thanks

AM

AdieH - 07 Dec 2006 19:44 - 529 of 2037

Not sure what data your looking at Augustman but there was alot of buys towards the end of the day and some big ones at that... also the data that is provided on buys/sells is based on mid price so to actually work out what was buys/sells is very difficult and it is only a guide... I don't have level 2 access but if some does they might be able to give more accurate figures. COH was tipped in shares mag today as a buy and also note the CFN have accepted a 2.70 offer and at the last two AGM's RW has stated look at this model for where COH may go... lets hope we get bought at that level sometime in the future...

AUGUSTMAN - 07 Dec 2006 22:51 - 530 of 2037

Adie - thanks for the reply- I tend to major on this board - I subscribe to the level that allows buy / sell info.

There was a sale at 12.47 of 877,000 classified as an X trade, also late sales including 200,000 at a decent price.

Just couldn't make sense of the trades that's all.....appreciate the news about the tip, and yes saw the CFN news........hopefully Nero's gods will switch their favours to COH now

AM

AdieH - 08 Dec 2006 08:27 - 531 of 2037

Up another 1p already this am, this is strange we had the 1.5 drop the start of the week and last 4 days we have been up, not sure its just the tip in shares mag that is driving this up... Still not complaining well up on original investment (by far the more profitable/paper share I have had)...

silvermede - 22 Dec 2006 10:29 - 532 of 2037

COH Tipped in Shares Magazine this week as part of the High Risk portfolio for 2007. A cracking share with an excellent business model and is not volatile. PDYOR.

Happy Christmas and a prosperous New Year to one and all!

myway - 22 Dec 2006 10:36 - 533 of 2037

COH up again today.. A first class company with a first class product.. visit www.shareclubuk.co.uk for all the news on COH and find out more.. This cold time of the year will help to sell more hot coffee...

Happy Christmas and all the best for the New Year..

AdieH - 22 Dec 2006 10:52 - 534 of 2037

Merry Christmas to one and all, its been an excellent year and long may it continue, think the 60th store opened in Poland this week... If you want another decent website then try ample, COH thread there is excellent some first class posters including Kimboy...

AUGUSTMAN - 02 Jan 2007 14:49 - 535 of 2037

Anyone throw any light on the recent share price rise. It has just been announced that MAN International now hold 4% as of 22/12, but the rise over the last 2 weeks doesnt really have any foundation imo. Have COH been tipped anywhere for 2007 - any input will be greatly appreciated - AM

AdieH - 02 Jan 2007 15:04 - 536 of 2037

IC tipped last week, Seymour gave good write up and I believe Share magazine tipped also, I think were getting abit ahead of ourselves at present but it looks like the big boys are starting to take notice of this tiddler...

silvermede - 02 Jan 2007 15:13 - 537 of 2037

Augustman, see my post 532 above.
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