overgrowth
- 12 May 2005 22:21
Mediwatch is a small
company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is
out.
Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics
equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK,
Canada, Europe, India and Japan.
That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until
you remember the good ol' US and China.
These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's
export client portfolio by the end of 2005.
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The company is currently
heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is
not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively
to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions
affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing
in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate
as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.
Mediwatch normally
supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements.
They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known
US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical
who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated
sales team.
US FDA approval was
gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year
of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner
for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This
distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant
effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues
as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus
is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August.
In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They
have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment
distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the
markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber
stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up
to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even
more good news coming soon this year.
Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.
If that's not enough
to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also
developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing
some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at
very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology
to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next
few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going
to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours
too.
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rodspotty
- 08 Aug 2005 12:31
- 529 of 1497
Interesting that EVO are back bidding for shares today, out on their own at 11.75p. The offer has also now ticked up to 13p on negligable volume. DYOR
Rodders
rodspotty
- 08 Aug 2005 13:09
- 530 of 1497
Peels have now upped the ante and bidding 12p, offer has also increased to 13p. DYOR
Rodders
capetown
- 08 Aug 2005 13:23
- 531 of 1497
Rodspotty,
Have been thinking of buying into these,how come they go up on no news and tiny volume?,
Thx
driver
- 08 Aug 2005 14:18
- 532 of 1497
rodspotty
- 08 Aug 2005 16:48
- 533 of 1497
Hi driver, MDW is an illiquid stock, hence the large swings on low volume, mms tend to carry very little stock. DYOR
Rodders
optomistic
- 08 Aug 2005 19:12
- 535 of 1497
Down to a 1/2p spread.... MM's wanting to do business?
optomistic
- 08 Aug 2005 19:50
- 537 of 1497
Could well be overgrowth, I think that AIM stocks trading on a low spread could well attract some attention, particularly one with such tremendous potential.
Will watch with interest tomorrow.
ptholden
- 08 Aug 2005 20:23
- 538 of 1497
Bit of a surprising rise today, particularly when taking into consideration that the 2 x 50k buys were probably a rollover, meaning that disregarding the two unknown trades there were but 34k more buys than sells (65k(ish) if the two unknown were buys). However bounced off trendline support which is a good sign, but still remain to be convinced that this is about to really get going. Must admit to a slight feeling of having missed the best buying opportunity last week. Hmm?????
pth
ptholden
- 09 Aug 2005 20:09
- 539 of 1497
Gone very quiet on here, all given up the ghost??
chocolat
- 09 Aug 2005 20:11
- 540 of 1497
Nope.
Just watching
and waiting :)
andysmith
- 09 Aug 2005 21:05
- 541 of 1497
Pete, just watching and prepared to wait, recent appointments are putting the building blocks in place ready for that deal.
In the meantime having fun with your shall I, maybe not, then again, maybe, er, double top, double bottom, head & shoulders, support, breakthrough, er its going down, better buying op, shit its gone up.
Glad I'm not the only in-decisive one!!! and Glad I've already got mine. Andy
ptholden
- 12 Aug 2005 16:24
- 543 of 1497
Hope so OG, I'm getting fed up of waiting, keep telling myself to be patient. So fed up of waiting that I got back in at the beginning of the week. Wish I had waited until yesterday though, would have saved myself 0.75p a share. Tight git that I am!!
pth
andrewbertram2003
- 16 Aug 2005 08:26
- 545 of 1497
Sorry about that Overgrowth.
My point is that MDW are burning more than they are earning. They appear not to have much cash left. Yes this USA deal may be clinched but once the price has popped up will they use the high to announce a share offer to raise funds. This will further dilute the stock and send it down again. Obviously it would be nice to catch this wave. i.e. get in and get out. I am just getting tired of companies who keep asking for funding. I'm more a medium term investor and like to see steady growth. MDW may just be a ling termer. AB
andrewbertram2003
- 16 Aug 2005 11:55
- 547 of 1497
I'm on my bandwagin....help me here guys/gals.
Surely the fundamentals for this stock are not for a BUY?
Consolidated Balance sheet at April 2005...net 3 million.
Current share price values group at 9 million.
Sales forcast perhaps 2.5 to 3 million for year ended 30/4/2006.
Little cash left, no other assets to liquidate?
Recent news from MDW states sales up by 60%. Its in the right direction but will take another 4 to 5 years to get into profit unless major sales occur. Will the USA and other contracts increase sales greater than 60%?
Has anyone seen any forecasts on this?
Share price over last 3 months has no doubt factored in deal speculation so I can't see the market makers pushing the stock much higher?
Perhaps this would be a great PUT stock for it to real back to 5 to 6p?
views?
andrewbertram2003
- 16 Aug 2005 11:58
- 548 of 1497
OverGrowth...I posted my second message 3 mins of yours....didn't see it.
I wonder what the sensibly expected timeline on these contracts generating income (and to hit reporting) is?