cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
splat
- 16 May 2010 18:49
- 5291 of 21973
you've got to be in it to win it as they say cynic, taken nearly 1,000 points from UKX and INDU over the past week in both directions and to be honest should really have had more had I had slightly more balls! I love this volatility - it's dreamland for traders :-)
cynic
- 16 May 2010 18:57
- 5292 of 21973
yes it is, and i too have made some nice profits in both directions in the last couple of weeks, but i feel the current scenario makes it particularly difficult to determine where we are headed next
splat
- 16 May 2010 19:03
- 5293 of 21973
I don't care too much as long as I make points! :)
jimmy b
- 16 May 2010 20:59
- 5294 of 21973
Brave to call this on Monday.
cynic
- 17 May 2010 06:31
- 5295 of 21973
doesn't not look to have been a smart move by splat - ftse currently indicated to open at +/-5200
Camelot
- 17 May 2010 06:46
- 5296 of 21973
Over 52 per cent of the UKs GDP is derived from public sector activity, up from 39 per cent in 2001 and 29 per cent when Labour took office.
GDP growth is an illusion financed by public sector debt to buy votes
It almost worked
Chart as of 2007/8
"The figures mark an important turning point for Britain, which historically has prided itself on being a nation of private enterprise and endeavour.
They do not include the costs of part-nationalising failing banks which could push the levels close to that of communist countries. "
Henrik Braconier, who studies Britain for the OECD, said the figures definitely signified that something was wrong in the economy.
ThePublisher
- 17 May 2010 07:20
- 5297 of 21973
"GDP growth is an illusion financed by public sector debt to buy votes"
Add to that the distortion in unemployment figures by keeping more youngsters in extended education (aka university).
A pretty false picture....
TP
hilary
- 17 May 2010 07:31
- 5298 of 21973
Over 52 per cent of the UKs GDP is derived from public sector activity, up from 39 per cent in 2001 and 29 per cent when Labour took office.
I'm sure that is just a typo by the 3rd party it was cut'n'pasted from, but I don't think that's correct, by virtue of the fact that the public sector makes fcuk all and therefore contributes next to nothing towards GDP. I would've thought the article is meant to read something like "Public sector net debt, expressed as a percentage of GDP, was 52.9 per cent at end of March 2009."
Updated statistics have recently been released public sector debt now stands at 62.0% as at the end of March 2010.
There's a big difference there between what has been pasted and what is accurate.
Camelot
- 17 May 2010 07:40
- 5299 of 21973
no hilary
the figures are correct
it has nothing to do with debt
which as you point out is even worse at 62%
cynic
- 17 May 2010 07:50
- 5300 of 21973
we all work for the public sector - it's called being a taxpayer!
Camelot
- 17 May 2010 07:52
- 5301 of 21973
and 62% doesnt include PFI
Camelot
- 17 May 2010 07:54
- 5302 of 21973
National Audit Office Value for Money Report
Future payments across all PFI projects up until 2031-32 amount to 91 billion in todays money.
splat
- 17 May 2010 08:03
- 5303 of 21973
long more UKX @ 5203
cynic
- 17 May 2010 08:05
- 5304 of 21973
all very interesting i am sure, no matter which way one wants to manipulate or present the figures, but in many ways, so what?
i am just a dipstick entrepreneur (i suppose) who produces nothing.
however, our little service company is 95/98% export/overseas based, so that assuredly adds value to the uk economy, even if indirectly.
from a productive point of view, public sector work - e.g. road building and similar - assuredly provides employment and thus tax receipts and of course keeps money moving around the economy
as i said, i know i'm frightfully thick, but other than the fact i don't like the ever-increasing "big brother" interference in our lives, what's your problem?
Camelot
- 17 May 2010 08:07
- 5305 of 21973
don't mention the state of the roads
not round here anyway
:-)
splat
- 17 May 2010 08:07
- 5306 of 21973
out UKX @ 5559 for now +29.5
smart enough for me cynic
Camelot
- 17 May 2010 08:08
- 5307 of 21973
splat
nice trade
but you could have posted that trade at any time since 7 am
why wait until ftse is at 5240 ?
cynic
- 17 May 2010 08:13
- 5308 of 21973
a true comment C, but if splat has actually done as he says, then he was quite brave, smacking of catching falling knife - fortunately for him, it may well have worked this time
hilary
- 17 May 2010 08:18
- 5309 of 21973
Camelot,
I don't have time to dig out the exact figures right now, but something like 1% of UK GDP comes from agriculture, 23% from industry and the remaining 76% comes from the service sector.
The service sector includes anything that is run from an office, hotels, restaurants, real estate, etc as well as a relatively small contribution from the public sector from health, education, defence and even silly little things like leisure and recreational facilities. At a guess (like I say, I don't have time to check it out right now), I would estimate the public sector GDP contribution to be around $250bn or even $3bn. This figure would represent around 10% of total UK GDP at the outside.
As I said previously, the statement in your earlier posting is inaccurate.
splat
- 17 May 2010 08:18
- 5310 of 21973
because I have been trading other stocks in a lively market and frankly haven't had time. It's a usual technique with index trading for me to start with a small position and increase if it is a long way against me in a particularly volatile market as in my experience, moves such as the one we saw on Friday are frequently followed by some sort of temporary correction. I've been trading a long time and feel comfortable with my own reading of the indices, I'm sure everyone trades them differently