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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

hilary - 17 May 2010 09:04 - 5318 of 21973

I'm not disputing the map. As you say, it is quite clear and it relates to public sector spending as a percentage of GDP by region.

What I am disputing is your opening statement which clearly says "Over 52 per cent of the UKs GDP is derived from public sector activity". That statement is unrelated to the graph and implies something completely different to the graph.

cynic - 17 May 2010 09:07 - 5319 of 21973

personally, i don't care! .... nor do i have much interest in (manipulated) gdp figures and the like ..... as much as anything else, it is sentiment and confidence that drives the consumer (real) economy (as it does the markets), and it is that that ultimately drives uk's prosperity

as it stands, we all feel pretty battered, with further tax hikes inevitable and unemployment unlikely to start falling consistently for a further 6 months, or more likely 12

hilary - 17 May 2010 09:09 - 5320 of 21973

From Wikipedia:

Public administration and defence

The Blue Book 2006 reports that this sector added gross value of 55,280 million to the UK economy in 2004.[55]

Education

The Blue Book 2006 reports that this sector added gross value of 61,786 million to the UK economy in 2004.[55]

Health and social work

The Blue Book 2006 reports that this sector added gross value of 75,817 million to the UK economy in 2004.[55]

Add those figures together, adjust them for recent growth and tell me what percentage of total UK GDP they represent.

You'll find it's a long way short of 52%

splat - 17 May 2010 09:17 - 5321 of 21973

nice one skinners :-)

Camelot - 17 May 2010 09:38 - 5322 of 21973

Official figures before the Budget on Wednesday disclose that public spending makes up 52 per cent of the gross domestic product.

The figures from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) disclose that central and local government spending made up 52.1 per cent of Britains GDP last year.

The OECD forecast that this proportion would continue to rise over the next two years as more Britons became reliant on the welfare state.

The figures mark an important turning point for Britain, which historically has prided itself on being a nation of private enterprise and endeavour.

If you dont agree, you can rant to them here
nicholas.bray@oecd.org

hilary - 17 May 2010 09:42 - 5323 of 21973

Camelot,

What you have said in post 5322 is not in contention, albeit that figure is now over a year old and the true percentage is now 62% of GDP.

It is the opening paragraph of your original post that is both inaccurate and misleading.

Camelot - 17 May 2010 09:53 - 5324 of 21973

62% ?

lol

probably would be if labour was still in power

(but forecast is only 53.4%)

hilary - 17 May 2010 11:04 - 5325 of 21973

Yes, currently 62% as at the end of March 2010.

Official ONS data

Camelot - 17 May 2010 11:33 - 5326 of 21973

for heavens sake hilary you are talking about debt

you have not read the post properly at all

The post is about annual expenditure

hilary - 17 May 2010 12:15 - 5327 of 21973

Camelot,

I'm not arguing about spending or debt, although I would point out to you that your OECD figures were based upon older data available before the budget. More up to date figures have become available within the last few weeks which show an increase in both public sector spending and debt. I have already said that I don't dispute your map showing public sector spending by region.

If you want to see the up to date precise amounts of public sector spending and debt, click here.

What I have been arguing about is the opening sentence of your post 5296 which clearly reads:

"Over 52 per cent of the UKs GDP is derived from public sector activity"

That, as I have already wasted plenty of time explaining, is a blatant inaccuracy. I don't know if they are your words or if they are a cut'n'paste from somewhere else, but they are wrong. How many times do I need to repeat myself?

Balerboy - 17 May 2010 12:18 - 5328 of 21973

10-1 on Hilary.....

skinny - 17 May 2010 12:19 - 5329 of 21973

:-)

hilary - 17 May 2010 12:22 - 5330 of 21973

Hey, I'd expect shorter odds than that.

:o)

Camelot - 17 May 2010 12:33 - 5331 of 21973

10-1 is 10-1 against

hilary - 17 May 2010 12:37 - 5332 of 21973

Does that mean you still maintaining your assertion that "Over 52 per cent of the UKs GDP is derived from public sector activity"?

cynic - 17 May 2010 12:51 - 5333 of 21973

short odds that not many of us care

Camelot - 17 May 2010 12:52 - 5334 of 21973

I expect the penny to drop in due course
and then he will cotton on

hilary - 17 May 2010 13:20 - 5335 of 21973

Cynic,

If you were to care a bit more about what some of the posters on this thread say, it might help improve your trading. Over the last few weeks I've watched you pour scorn on some respected and experienced traders who have gone out of their way to visit this thread in the hope it might help.

I've also watched you make some pretty flakey decisions in that time as well, so I suggest that you're not too old to learn..

Camelot,

My mother once told me that I shouldn't argue with an idiot as they invariably drag you down to their level and end up beating you with experience. If somebody else wishes to take up the reins and explain to you the error within your statement, they are more than welcome to.

Btw, I'm a she!

Balerboy - 17 May 2010 13:22 - 5336 of 21973

fiesty one at that.....:))

HARRYCAT - 17 May 2010 13:26 - 5337 of 21973

Bb, your 10-1 is looking very generous.
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