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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

driver - 08 Aug 2005 14:18 - 532 of 1497

Thread for the more intelligent.

https://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/posts.php?tid=8461#lastread

rodspotty - 08 Aug 2005 16:48 - 533 of 1497

Hi driver, MDW is an illiquid stock, hence the large swings on low volume, mms tend to carry very little stock. DYOR

Rodders

overgrowth - 08 Aug 2005 19:08 - 534 of 1497

The old chart's looking very healthy guys - all we need now is for the avalanche of newsflow to kick off.

optomistic - 08 Aug 2005 19:12 - 535 of 1497

Down to a 1/2p spread.... MM's wanting to do business?

overgrowth - 08 Aug 2005 19:14 - 536 of 1497

opto - could be a good sign, maybe they've been tipped off that there's plenty of business on the way v.soon !

optomistic - 08 Aug 2005 19:50 - 537 of 1497

Could well be overgrowth, I think that AIM stocks trading on a low spread could well attract some attention, particularly one with such tremendous potential.
Will watch with interest tomorrow.

ptholden - 08 Aug 2005 20:23 - 538 of 1497

Bit of a surprising rise today, particularly when taking into consideration that the 2 x 50k buys were probably a rollover, meaning that disregarding the two unknown trades there were but 34k more buys than sells (65k(ish) if the two unknown were buys). However bounced off trendline support which is a good sign, but still remain to be convinced that this is about to really get going. Must admit to a slight feeling of having missed the best buying opportunity last week. Hmm?????

pth

ptholden - 09 Aug 2005 20:09 - 539 of 1497

Gone very quiet on here, all given up the ghost??

chocolat - 09 Aug 2005 20:11 - 540 of 1497

Nope.
Just watching
and waiting :)

andysmith - 09 Aug 2005 21:05 - 541 of 1497

Pete, just watching and prepared to wait, recent appointments are putting the building blocks in place ready for that deal.
In the meantime having fun with your shall I, maybe not, then again, maybe, er, double top, double bottom, head & shoulders, support, breakthrough, er its going down, better buying op, shit its gone up.
Glad I'm not the only in-decisive one!!! and Glad I've already got mine. Andy

overgrowth - 12 Aug 2005 13:10 - 542 of 1497

A big hike on the offer just now.

As the only large trades this morning have been two rollovers, we must have a large buy in the system.

Could this be foretelling of news next week ?

ptholden - 12 Aug 2005 16:24 - 543 of 1497

Hope so OG, I'm getting fed up of waiting, keep telling myself to be patient. So fed up of waiting that I got back in at the beginning of the week. Wish I had waited until yesterday though, would have saved myself 0.75p a share. Tight git that I am!!

pth

overgrowth - 15 Aug 2005 16:41 - 544 of 1497

andrewbertram2003 - please can you post a message here as I still can't seem to access your profile to send you an e-mail. You need to put your e-mail address next to "Private Messaging E-mail".

andrewbertram2003 - 16 Aug 2005 08:26 - 545 of 1497

Sorry about that Overgrowth.
My point is that MDW are burning more than they are earning. They appear not to have much cash left. Yes this USA deal may be clinched but once the price has popped up will they use the high to announce a share offer to raise funds. This will further dilute the stock and send it down again. Obviously it would be nice to catch this wave. i.e. get in and get out. I am just getting tired of companies who keep asking for funding. I'm more a medium term investor and like to see steady growth. MDW may just be a ling termer. AB

overgrowth - 16 Aug 2005 11:52 - 546 of 1497

andrew - still can't e-mail you from your profile.

MDW are very excited about the huge potential of the new point of care system PSAWatch. This was extremely well received at the BAUS conference and is expected to bring in some exceptional revenues as soon as it comes off the production line which should alleviate the need for any placements in the near future. Mediwatch have the full support of their bank and have been using the bank for medium term loans recently rather than constantly going back to the market.

Obviously the US deal will greatly enhance the power of sales and marketing of all Mediwatch products as the US is the largest market for medical diagnostics and a deal with Medtronic as a multi-billion dollar distributor will give that extra punch.

R&D is a large proportion of expenditure for a company such as MDW, however when new products (particularly PSAwatch) hit the market and the profits start rolling in, the profits will more than cover the future R&D costs.

andrewbertram2003 - 16 Aug 2005 11:55 - 547 of 1497

I'm on my bandwagin....help me here guys/gals.
Surely the fundamentals for this stock are not for a BUY?
Consolidated Balance sheet at April 2005...net 3 million.
Current share price values group at 9 million.
Sales forcast perhaps 2.5 to 3 million for year ended 30/4/2006.
Little cash left, no other assets to liquidate?
Recent news from MDW states sales up by 60%. Its in the right direction but will take another 4 to 5 years to get into profit unless major sales occur. Will the USA and other contracts increase sales greater than 60%?
Has anyone seen any forecasts on this?

Share price over last 3 months has no doubt factored in deal speculation so I can't see the market makers pushing the stock much higher?
Perhaps this would be a great PUT stock for it to real back to 5 to 6p?

views?

andrewbertram2003 - 16 Aug 2005 11:58 - 548 of 1497

OverGrowth...I posted my second message 3 mins of yours....didn't see it.

I wonder what the sensibly expected timeline on these contracts generating income (and to hit reporting) is?

overgrowth - 16 Aug 2005 12:49 - 549 of 1497

I believe that PSAwatch is due to start generating income around the end of September this year and it looks as though it has the potential to bring in more than all the other existing Mediwatch products put together. The bank loan repayments start around Feb 2006 as far as I remember, so I guess that the FD has timed those to commence when all the new income is being generated. As soon as the US deal is announced it will start generating income also.

Longer term contracts will be those for China and Hong Kong.

zscrooge - 16 Aug 2005 13:30 - 550 of 1497

og I thought it was east before west

overgrowth - 16 Aug 2005 15:24 - 551 of 1497

zscrooge - that's only what "the hangman" on advfn was guessing based on an alleged new Japanese contract being signed. However, it's true that SDA approval for selling existing products into China/Hong Kong can come through at any time soon and the distribution deals are already set up. SDA approval can take up to a year to process and it was applied for in Oct 2004 I believe. By longer term for the China/Hong Kong deals I'm talking about the markets themselves buying more and more into Westernised diagnostics as time goes on and moving away from traditional Eastern practices - hence revenue will take some time to build for these contracts as opposed to the US deal which will be an instant earner.

Given that the last report shows Medtronic as one of Mediwatch's partners, then I would guess that news of the US deal is equally as likely.

Plenty going on and lots to look forward to.
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