Read the latest interims.......just make sure that you are sitting down.

GF, you may be right - I don't go in for conspiracy theories, but it does seem that one has to be fairly wilful when it comes to ignoring SOLA's prospects.

looking forward to the next trading statement and/or the financials for FY 2006.

have just taken my (very nice) profit on SOLA for a second time ...... not saying it isn't good medium or even long term, but feel some profit taking is well overdue, and 500 looks as though it may have been a step too far ...... am sure i shall be back in ...... shall be watching closely the sharply rising 25 dma and sp's reaction to it




red = 25 dma
green = 50 dma

rpi indicates pretty overbought, though not horrendously so

What relevance is the 25 dma please. I understand the principle of the 200 dma, but surely 25 is a far too short a time span to judge the next move on the chart?

in fact i would rather have 20 dma, but for some reason the chart system here does not allow it ..... relevance is that it tends to indicate (short term) trends .... you will often find that it provides a support (or resistance), so if it is broken and one has a decent profit, then it may be wise to take it, if you are a trader .... conversely, the price may well bounce off that level .... have a look at the chart above and you will see what i mean

overall, in my very amateurish way, i am trying to determine trend, and that is what will often influence my own decisions .... occasionally i am right!

I think Cynic as done very well in this case.

Tomorrow I could and probably will be proved wrong, but at least the guy as the balls to say 'yes this is enough' and im taking a well deserved profit.

Thats if I have read him properly????????????????????

thanks goldfinger, though whether gambling on the stockmarket and making a profit, calling such well-deserved is open to a very intersting moral debate!

cynic you read these charts better than me!

Well done

I must do more, I've got the software, I tend to study the minute by minute trades for short term gain especially the bot trades.

They can be a good indicator.

i don't and confess my interpretations are amateur in the extreme

stick to the fundamentals. charts for a stock that was floated in August is surely a complete waste of time. the trend is definitely up and not down and with more good news to come this will be ranging higher in 2007

imo

f18

fortitude ..... while i don't disagree with you long term, and even have some sympathy with your view re charts on new issues, i still think SOLA are due for a (sharp?) correction ...... perhaps i'm wrong but for sure i won't regret having banked a profit half as much as i would rue my greed if i am right.

by the way, there are no real fundamentals for SOLA, for the very reason you mention ..... they have no history

the fundamentals are going forward not looking backwards. Suntech, Motech, BP Solar do not place vital wafer orders with 'any old' company esp when their own production capacity depends on the delivery of quality on time and on budget. The company itself was floated in August but has been trading since 2005. With the next 2 years output already pre-sold and with contracts signed to be announced I cannot see another company that shows superb earnings visibility. There are surprises round the corner with this company. Moreover, it is a common fallacy that just because a stock as risen by multiples in a short space of time it as to necessarily fall back. SOLA rose to over 500p and corrected back to 395P..a fall of over 20% in a week! That is a correction of the highest magnitude. We are trading in a range of 450-500p with substantial inst. buying in this range. Why? Because institutions know they are buying substantial earnings going forward. In 12 months time the multiple will be lower than its is now.

If you had adopted your approach one would have sold MIcrosoft, Oracle, Cisco even before they had started to appreciate in real value..

the 'other site' provides insights that this thread sadly lacks unfortunately..

f18

F18 .... i too am a great believer in following trend .... however, i am a trader at heart and therefore one is not just or even necessarily looking at long term outlook ..... institutions have to have a totally different outlook from most PIs, so it is not quite fair to link them ..... to revert ... i know from my own days of following Cisco, that that was pretty volatile ...... i am sure that even you would admit that, no matter how "good" the stock, it does not rise in a straight line any more than a "bad" one falls .... with regard to SOLA, having been alerted to it in the first place by my good friend Soul*, i thoroughly concur that in the long or even short/medium term it is a very good stock ...... nevertheless, my own view is that sp now needs a breather and perhaps even a correction before hopefully moving ahead again.

not such a dumb call of mine at the moment ...... watch +/-433 which is 25 dma mark for bounce or break ..... graph line has currently flattened off at that sort of level ...... unless market misbehaves, slightly or even somewhat shorter odds of a bounce from that level than a downward break.

Looks like you were right Cynic.

not yet ..... wait n watch ..... just followed by gut feeling for a change

Might also be partly due to BoE increase in base rate at noon.
433p would be a good buy if the sp then bounces to +/- 480p again.

so watch this space and keep an eye on the chart i posted - i.e. watch sp against 25 dma .... here below now! .... lol

I will watch, cynic. Agree with u

don't get this chart nonsense with SOLA. Institutions are buying on fundamentals not on technicals.. an upward price trend, yes but price falls are seen as buying opportunities not reasons to short..

wdik

f18

Anyone for a peak of 600p on FY results?? :o)