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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

jeffmack - 11 Apr 2006 16:27 - 5367 of 11056

naturally

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 16:36 - 5368 of 11056

I'm sure you have Hilary. By the way I am finding P&F charts far more useful than I originally thought.

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 16:37 - 5369 of 11056

In fact they are excellent.

hilary - 11 Apr 2006 16:41 - 5370 of 11056

That's good news, Harlosh. I suspected that you would find a way of using them, but I thought that you'd probably need to use a faster timeframe such as the 1 hour real time rather than the dailies. Am I close?

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 16:43 - 5371 of 11056

Yes Hilary, 1 and 5 mins too.

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 16:45 - 5372 of 11056

It's been turning on a sixpence today though. Not sure I've quite got the hang of that yet. Takes time to recognise the signs on such short time scales which I've never used before.

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 16:46 - 5373 of 11056

Having said that, I can often tell to the very pip when it will turn and the targets are often spot on.

hilary - 11 Apr 2006 16:52 - 5374 of 11056

Harlosh,

If the market is turning, as I hope it is, then the turn itself can often take a day or two as the bulls and bears fight it out for control. It can be frustrating in the meantime as you watch profits ebb and flow and you invariably think that it would have been better to have been in and out several times while you were waiting for the turn to unfold. Unfortunately it's also Sod's Law that when you try to play it like that you always miss the subsequent big move.

The only conclusion is that there's no such thing as a "right" or "wrong" way to play it.

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 16:54 - 5375 of 11056

Thanks Hilary. I wondered whether todays volatility was due to thinner trade approaching the Easter break.

When you say you think the market is turning - which way? :-))

bosley - 11 Apr 2006 16:59 - 5376 of 11056

harlosh, i can also tell to the very pip when it will turn ...... it's very often when i go in the opposite direction :) i've been doing that all day today but finally , i got one right. whoopee!!!
it looks so obvious now what i should have been doing. hopefully, i will know better next time.

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 17:03 - 5377 of 11056

LOL Bosley, I know what you mean. I think Hilary is trying to tell us not to look too short term. Find the trend and stick with it.

hilary - 11 Apr 2006 17:11 - 5378 of 11056

To tell the truth, Harlosh, I've not even bothered with my news plug-in today to know whether trade is thin or not. I bought the cable sell off after the trade balance and fiber as it dipped down towards 1.21 channel support on the 5 minute and then left it at that.

I might plug the news in now and see what they say.

bakko - 11 Apr 2006 17:15 - 5379 of 11056

My hourly charts are showing a very nice downtrend for cable over the last several days. The bearish resistance line was only breached this afternoon but seems to be heading back below this. Hopefully, this is just a small hiccup.

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 17:18 - 5380 of 11056

OK thanks Hilary. Here is a current state of play chart thought you might like to see.

hilary - 11 Apr 2006 17:38 - 5381 of 11056

If anyone's interested, I plugged Squawk Box in and they reckon that M&A Vodaphone rumours were responsible for the cable rally up which was stalled later on by real money sellers. Techs are looking to short it at 1.7490, but they're a great contrarian indicator, so I'd have said it's nailed on that it'll hit 1.76 at some stage tomorrow.

:o)

edit: Personally, I don't see any real resistance now until the 1.7520-17530 region.

Harlosh - 11 Apr 2006 18:25 - 5382 of 11056

Yes I'm very interested Hilary. Thank you.

chocolat - 11 Apr 2006 23:10 - 5383 of 11056

I tweaked my rising thingies to a steeper gradient early Monday, so although 1.76 is possible, my money will be on 1.7550ish which is the top of my falling wotsit.


That's if it tops today's top ;)

chocolat - 11 Apr 2006 23:15 - 5384 of 11056

Oops that was Monday's. Here it is now

MightyMicro - 12 Apr 2006 00:24 - 5385 of 11056

Choccie: I just lurve your technical expressions "tweaked my rising thingies" and "top of my falling wotsit".

bosley - 12 Apr 2006 10:16 - 5386 of 11056

you girls make it looks so easy .......
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