overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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optomistic
- 03 Jan 2006 18:11
- 544 of 1009
Fred, I'll go along with that. Nothing comes quick and easy in this game unless you are one of those exceptionally lucky bar stewards or one of the others who are in the know (yet not supposed to)
Be patient Douggie there are a lot of people in the same situ.
opto
55011
- 04 Jan 2006 10:04
- 545 of 1009
I see the online sizes are looking decidedly iffy again. Whatever the pros, the cons seem to be getting the better of it at the moment. 22,000 to buy but a lousy 7,035 (strange figure) to sell.
It appears to be a technical situation arising from the recent placing/rights issue. Looking back to the figures pertaining to that time, I reckon that there is a fair bit of disappointment with performance since, and those who were banking on a quick recovery are getting out.
RTD should surely have handled last year's aquisitions in a better manner.
This is turning out to be one for those with patience. Not to mention fortitude.
wayne300808
- 04 Jan 2006 15:04
- 546 of 1009
55011
I see you are as astute with your opinion on this one as you were with CDG which has bounced back significantly since you cast your "laughable" remarks on its prospects. Happy new year!
55011
- 04 Jan 2006 19:21
- 547 of 1009
Wayne300808 ...and a Happy New Year to you too.
Yes CDG was a bit of a so and so. Sadly many earlier enthusiasts lost the faith after a bullish news release a couple of years back was followed two days later by a hefty cash call. Quite a few "failed to benefit" and have been wary of the Professor ever since. Still, good luck to those on the latest ride, but I'll sit it out, thanks.
As long as RTD holds up, I'll exercise some patience with it. Recent institutional and Board buying suggest that the next results (March) won't disappoint.
DYOR.
Fred1new
- 05 Jan 2006 00:05
- 548 of 1009
Do you think we will last till March?
55011
- 05 Jan 2006 10:21
- 549 of 1009
Why not?
55011
- 11 Jan 2006 13:11
- 550 of 1009
Still moving gently upwards. 140p on the bid, and the recovery continues. On the other side the punters are looking for upwards of 165p.
optomistic
- 11 Jan 2006 13:17
- 551 of 1009
Oh yes, why not ?
55011
- 11 Jan 2006 13:36
- 552 of 1009
Should be much better than that, as we have the larger fuel card business now. So RTD should be able to grow on two fronts in future.
55011
- 11 Jan 2006 13:36
- 553 of 1009
.
Fred1new
- 11 Jan 2006 20:27
- 554 of 1009
Douggie, Are you beginning to feel a little better or did you take that holiday.
Price and volume beginning to pick up.
55011
- 12 Jan 2006 10:50
- 555 of 1009
Welcome back Fred. We've been moving up steadily while you were away.
Fred1new
- 13 Jan 2006 10:14
- 556 of 1009
55 Isn't this share moving beautifully, up to 146p or 29.2p in old money. The charts and indicators are improving nicely, but it would be nice to see an increase in volume.
If you are on L2 still it would be nice to know if there are any large buys waiting to be filled.
Nice to finnish the day above 150p but think that will be next week.
Have a nice day.
55011
- 13 Jan 2006 10:38
- 557 of 1009
L2 trial offer now ended. It was helpful.
L1 this morning has revealed , for the first time, a rapid succession of AT trades. This suggests computer (robot) trading. So it confirms to me that the institutions are on the scene.
A good rise this week, and especially (so far) today which could also prompt press comment over the weekend. Especially as many other stocks are tending to mark time at the moment, after the New Year rush.
55011
- 13 Jan 2006 13:40
- 558 of 1009
This brokers review dates back to the Autumn, just after the acquisition. Prices mentioned are pre the 1 for 5 consolidation. Gives a useful round up of what RTD is now all about. Recommendation "buy".
http://www.hoodlessbrennan.com/CMS_FileCache/HOODLE004_259_1.pdf
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 07:23
- 559 of 1009
That'd be 3 yrs running, good luck to all holders
Retail Decisions plc
Trading Statement
'Results Expected to Exceed Expectations'
Retail Decisions (ReD), the payment card issuer and a world leader in card fraud
prevention and payment processing, is pleased to announce trading has been
better than expected in the final quarter of its financial year and that the
initial results from the two recent acquisitions are also both ahead of
forecasts.
As a result, the Board expects the Group's profit before tax (for the year to 31
December 2005) to be in excess of current market expectations.
Fred1new
- 17 Jan 2006 09:05
- 560 of 1009
Nice to read, should help the SP a little.
Give a little smile Douggie.
8-)
pachandl
- 17 Jan 2006 09:34
- 561 of 1009
Excellent start to the day. It just shows what can be achieved with astute management at the top.
Douggie
- 17 Jan 2006 10:19
- 562 of 1009
GOOD MORNING Fred .... :0)))......and all
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 11:45
- 563 of 1009
This may be keeping a lid on the SP - not the most bullish of notes in light of this mornings statement
From Daniel Stewart - 17 January 2006
Retail Decisions - Trading Update
Retail Decisions (ReD), a leading provider of services to the payments industry and payments card issuer, has announced a positive trading statement for the year to December 31st 2005 with pre-tax profits expected to be ahead of our existing forecasts of 7.5m. In light of this, we are increasing our FY05 PBT forecast to 8.0m, resulting in an EPS of 8.8p (previously 8.3p). We are leaving our FY06 and FY07 forecasts unchanged at this stage but believe pressure is on the upside. We maintain our BUY recommendation and price target of 180p, equivalent to 19.1x FY06 earnings