overgrowth
- 12 May 2005 22:21
Mediwatch is a small
company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is
out.
Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics
equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK,
Canada, Europe, India and Japan.
That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until
you remember the good ol' US and China.
These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's
export client portfolio by the end of 2005.
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The company is currently
heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is
not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively
to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions
affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing
in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate
as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.
Mediwatch normally
supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements.
They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known
US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical
who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated
sales team.
US FDA approval was
gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year
of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner
for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This
distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant
effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues
as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus
is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August.
In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They
have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment
distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the
markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber
stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up
to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even
more good news coming soon this year.
Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.
If that's not enough
to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also
developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing
some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at
very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology
to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next
few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going
to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours
too.
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andrewbertram2003
- 16 Aug 2005 08:26
- 545 of 1497
Sorry about that Overgrowth.
My point is that MDW are burning more than they are earning. They appear not to have much cash left. Yes this USA deal may be clinched but once the price has popped up will they use the high to announce a share offer to raise funds. This will further dilute the stock and send it down again. Obviously it would be nice to catch this wave. i.e. get in and get out. I am just getting tired of companies who keep asking for funding. I'm more a medium term investor and like to see steady growth. MDW may just be a ling termer. AB
andrewbertram2003
- 16 Aug 2005 11:55
- 547 of 1497
I'm on my bandwagin....help me here guys/gals.
Surely the fundamentals for this stock are not for a BUY?
Consolidated Balance sheet at April 2005...net 3 million.
Current share price values group at 9 million.
Sales forcast perhaps 2.5 to 3 million for year ended 30/4/2006.
Little cash left, no other assets to liquidate?
Recent news from MDW states sales up by 60%. Its in the right direction but will take another 4 to 5 years to get into profit unless major sales occur. Will the USA and other contracts increase sales greater than 60%?
Has anyone seen any forecasts on this?
Share price over last 3 months has no doubt factored in deal speculation so I can't see the market makers pushing the stock much higher?
Perhaps this would be a great PUT stock for it to real back to 5 to 6p?
views?
andrewbertram2003
- 16 Aug 2005 11:58
- 548 of 1497
OverGrowth...I posted my second message 3 mins of yours....didn't see it.
I wonder what the sensibly expected timeline on these contracts generating income (and to hit reporting) is?
zscrooge
- 16 Aug 2005 13:30
- 550 of 1497
og I thought it was east before west
zscrooge
- 16 Aug 2005 16:57
- 552 of 1497
thanks og.
robstuff
- 17 Aug 2005 08:52
- 553 of 1497
drifting lower I suspect
mg
- 17 Aug 2005 10:47
- 554 of 1497
Looks as if they're giving us a chance to overstock the shed ;(
Without news I suppose it was inevitable that we would see it fall back. Always difficult to use the charts with small cap stocks - but TA-wise it could be entering oversold territory.
Still giving me a good return - the only question is whether I decide to add at or around these levels.
ptholden
- 17 Aug 2005 15:48
- 555 of 1497
Don't know about oversold Mike, sinking like a fookin stone is perhaps more apt!!
andysmith
- 18 Aug 2005 07:12
- 556 of 1497
Nice 100K buy to mop up the sellers, lucky sod.
Easy for the bigger buyers, MM's knock price down, nervous folk take profits and in they come. Thats my hope anyway, bounce back again today or tomorrow.
Its a painstaking wait for these deals but it should be worth it.
Treblewide
- 18 Aug 2005 08:10
- 557 of 1497
mg old fella......i dumped a few yesterday...now been waiting for about 18 months for the deals...still no bloody sign....cash position becoming a real problem i think. still got a right good few though
robstuff
- 18 Aug 2005 18:27
- 558 of 1497
Waiting for that illusive deal for so long now, this stock is now back on it's way down, there's no reason it can't sink back to 6p where i bought it last.
ptholden
- 19 Aug 2005 15:44
- 560 of 1497
something afoot?
jnknill
- 19 Aug 2005 16:13
- 561 of 1497
pth, Certainly a smart about-turn! Maybe Medtronic decided to spend some of the 2.7 billion dollar profit which they made in Q1? Rgds.
optomistic
- 19 Aug 2005 16:17
- 562 of 1497
jnknill, if they have they haven't parted with very much :-)
ptholden
- 19 Aug 2005 16:22
- 563 of 1497
From a TA perspective, nice bounce off support at 11p with good volume and was looking quite oversold. Possible turn in the MACD and plenty of room for maonoeuvre with regard to the RSI. Topped up again today, so hopefully the news we are all waiting for is about to break. The wait has been long enough!!
Hope your portfolio is looking after you Jnk?
pth
Oakapples142
- 19 Aug 2005 16:29
- 564 of 1497
Due to the time difference the anticipated good news may arrive on Monday !!
Have a good weekend . Ok so someone just spoiled the party with a 100K sell