markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
cynic
- 04 Nov 2010 08:04
- 5472 of 6492
perhaps it's interpretation, but i read it that it was 99.75% sand with a tiny trace of oil ..... you seem to read it as say 80/20
chav
- 04 Nov 2010 08:16
- 5473 of 6492
I read it as what it actually means..i.e. there would have been Oil present in the cuttings that are recycled back up the drill string etc....On it's own it does not prove there is a lake of Oil at the bottom, however it does prove that HC's are present in that location with good sands. DES management must feel very strongly that the evidence so far is very good for them to commit to drill another 16m Well at that site, rather than move onto another target. imo
cynic
- 04 Nov 2010 08:26
- 5474 of 6492
i don't think they dare not drill as they are fast running out of options - and money! ..... i may be wrong, but i think they need to find stand-alone commercial quantities to keep the company viable, whereas of course RKH has pretty much done that bit already
required field
- 04 Nov 2010 08:28
- 5475 of 6492
What's 16 million amongst friends...?...
chav
- 04 Nov 2010 08:29
- 5476 of 6492
Stand-alone requires 50mmbb's, which is very possible, but being close enough to Sealion for a Tie Back should make a smaller find than 50mmbb's viable. imo
cynic
- 04 Nov 2010 08:31
- 5477 of 6492
that little? ..... only if that is a true recoverable amount
required field
- 04 Nov 2010 08:33
- 5478 of 6492
One thing is for sure : the sp will go to the floor with another negative result.
Proselenes
- 04 Nov 2010 09:51
- 5479 of 6492
Appears EK closed his short on DES and went long now. Cannot blame him as the CoS is now much higher, however I fully expect him to sell out just before news and then will either short or re-buy his long when the news is out.
Proselenes
- 04 Nov 2010 12:13
- 5481 of 6492
RKH is the absolute bargain at the current price.
When you take into account the 8 stacked fans of Sea Lion and the potential for it to be 750 million recoverable barrels.
Roll on appraisal.
ARG is likely a bit gassy, no need to buy there until they do the big placing to raise funds for drilling.
chav
- 04 Nov 2010 12:13
- 5482 of 6492
Marky...DES???!!
Balerboy
- 04 Nov 2010 12:36
- 5483 of 6492
Time to go back down the mine marky.,.
chav
- 04 Nov 2010 12:49
- 5484 of 6492
Should be pointed out that RKH's present 600m Mcap does not include the latest placing shares and they haven't got the 206m yet.
When the new shares start trading, the new Mcap will be around 805m at present sp.
cynic
- 04 Nov 2010 13:17
- 5486 of 6492
why on earth ARG? .... i reckon that one is a serious longshot, almost on a par with FOGL
chav
- 04 Nov 2010 13:21
- 5487 of 6492
Certainly need the Speedos today Marky!
chav
- 04 Nov 2010 13:43
- 5489 of 6492
I presume you are just having a round of Golf then marky!
gibby
- 04 Nov 2010 14:11
- 5490 of 6492
from another bb:
'I, as a market maker, decide (for no real reason, or perhaps because there has been
some trivial news about them) that stock in ABC Corp is my plaything today. I don't
have much of an inventory in that particular security, so what do I do? Mark up the
price so external holders will sell me some? No. I mark the price DOWN. Oof. Some
external parties see this as a buying opportunity, and as I am a market maker, I am
obliged to sell them the security at the new, lower price, meaning I am even shorter
on that security.
Sounds mad, doesn't it? But it doesn't matter, because I mark the price down again.
And again. And I keep on doing it till I hit the stops of external parties who are
long, but weak, or the limit orders of people who are short. As a market maker, I know
where these stops and limits are. I own the book, after all.
Ordinary Joe Public mostly think the market follows the laws of supply and demand,
follows trendlines or fibonaccis etc, which means they all tend to put their stops in
similar places ('resistance' anyone? 'support'? That's right, it exists!). This is a
game of chicken, really, and YOU will ALWAYS crack before ME (the market maker),
because I can take the market to zero, or to the moon. You have to meet a margin call.
So now I am a market maker who has a LOT of supply of ABC Corp, which has fallen
significantly in price. Looks like I'm holding a plum, doesn't it? What do I do next?
That's right. I mark the price up. And I QUICKLY mark it up to the point at which the
current price is ABOVE my average purchase price. So voila. I'm in profit. In a fairly
big way. All I need to do now is unload this stock to you over a period of time at a
price above my average, and I am rich. You, of course, sold it to me on the way down,
and are regretting it because it is probably already way above where you exited
(strange isn't it, how the market seems to 'hunt your stops', and then reverse?!) If I
do this right (and it is an art form, for which successful brokers get paid multi-
million dollar salaries), I create the illusion that the market is totally random, and
is being driven by YOU, whereas I am simply a fee paid middleman, facilitating your
activities. Even worse, I give you the vague impression that you are actually pretty
good at it, and if you can only get your stops a little more accurate, you will stop
losing money!
As I mark the price up, external parties start to worry they will miss out on this
growth, and begin an ABC Corp buying frenzy, allowing me to unload. Everyone is happy.
Most of the investing public are sitting on unrealized (imaginary) assets, while I am
converting worthless shares into hard cash.
So, I have made a real, cash profit. You are sitting on an unrealized paper profit. We
are all happy. Until I repeat the process and stop you out. Again. Are you getting the
picture yet? '
Balerboy
- 04 Nov 2010 14:25
- 5491 of 6492
Gibby, great post and seems very true though others will probably mock you.,.