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THE TALK TO YOURSELF THREAD. (NOWT)     

goldfinger - 09 Jun 2005 12:25

Thought Id start this one going because its rather dead on this board at the moment and I suppose all my usual muckers are either at the Stella tennis event watching Dim Tim (lose again) or at Henly Regatta eating cucumber sandwiches (they wish,...NOT).

Anyway please feel free to just talk to yourself blast away and let it go on any company or subject you wish. Just wish Id thought of this one before.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 16 Jan 2015 13:49 - 55105 of 81564

Well sorry lads but YOUGOV is the TORIES MOUTHPIECE.

Not labours.

cynic - 16 Jan 2015 13:52 - 55106 of 81564

a good reason to trust none of the polls then wouldn't you think?
ashcroft's may be the exception, insofar as and polls are worth a cracker, and i recollect even he reckons labour are struggling

goldfinger - 16 Jan 2015 14:22 - 55107 of 81564

No the experts are saying it was a one off flunked ashcroft poll this last monday (as was the one that showed a labour lead of 5%) and Ashcroft as pointed out Labour are in front in the marginals but the Tories have closed the gap, not significantly though.

Here.........

I’m in meetings and out and about tomorrow, so I’m doing week two’s round up tonight. The second week of 2015 and the long campaign we saw the first two phone polls of the year – Ipsos MORI’s monthly political monitor and the first weekly Ashcroft poll of the year.

YouGov/S Times (9/1/15) – CON 32%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 18%, GRN 6%
Ashcroft (11/1/15) – CON 34%, LAB 28%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 16%, GRN 8%
Populus (11/1/15) – CON 32%, LAB 37%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%, GRN 4%
YouGov/Sun (12/1/15) – CON 32%, LAB 33%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 17%, GRN 6%
Ipsos MORI (13/1/15) – CON 33%, LAB 34%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 11%, GRN 8%
YouGov/Sun (13/1/15) – CON 32%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 7%
YouGov/Sun (14/1/15) – CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 15%, GRN 7%
YouGov/Sun (15/1/15) – CON 32%, LAB 32%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 16%, GRN 8%

Ashcroft’s poll looks like an obvious outlier with a six point Conservative lead, most polls however clustered around a wafer thin Labour lead. The UKPR average of the latest polls now has figures of CON 33%(nc), LAB 33%(-1), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 15%(+1), GRN 7%(+1). Lord Ashcroft also started the year with a change to his methods, like YouGov moving to include UKIP in the main voting intention prompt.

cynic - 16 Jan 2015 14:32 - 55108 of 81564

you lost the bet on interest rates big time, so reckon the same for a labour majority :-)
indeed, it's far from clear if labour will even hold the largest number of seats
fave must be a weakly led weak gov't whoever happens to get his arse into #10

all in all, i think we're in for a dreadful time in 2015

goldfinger - 16 Jan 2015 14:48 - 55109 of 81564

Draghi can still turn the markets around next week. But it as been a very long bull run.

Im getting set up in gold and silver and hoping for a bull market in this area for the next couple of years.

Holding FRES. ACA, and HOC. Could be very risky but for once using stops but not too tight.

Still chance for a rate increase but Very unlikely.

YOU WILL get a groveling apology.

cynic - 16 Jan 2015 15:01 - 55110 of 81564

i don't want one, even from you :-)

dow is ridiculous today, and it's even been easy to sit on my hands for once, for it's totally impossible to work out where it will go even within say a 10 minute time span ..... it's movement spread has often been 60/70 points even within that short span

ExecLine - 16 Jan 2015 15:16 - 55111 of 81564

The snooker is crap too.

goldfinger - 16 Jan 2015 15:28 - 55112 of 81564

Yep was reading a report on a Yank site about extreme volatility.

Nope youl get a groveler from me. I stick to my word.

doodlebug4 - 16 Jan 2015 15:56 - 55113 of 81564

Probably just spent his weekly benefit cheque in the local pub:


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/crime/11350409/Drunk-man-tries-to-have-sex-with-postbox.html

Fred1new - 16 Jan 2015 16:07 - 55114 of 81564

GF,

Manuel never makes a mistake and is unlikely to apologise.

His opinions are incontrovertible.

8-)

cynic - 16 Jan 2015 16:08 - 55115 of 81564

i'll settle for a pint of mild and bitter and a decent slab of home-made raised pie with piccalilli :-)

Fred1new - 16 Jan 2015 16:09 - 55116 of 81564

Give him a bitter pint.

Hemlock.

cynic - 16 Jan 2015 16:09 - 55117 of 81564

well done fred ..... an apology from you too please, as it's sticky who will owe me one

Fred1new - 16 Jan 2015 16:15 - 55118 of 81564

Non, je ne regrette rien!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fFtGfyruroU

cynic - 16 Jan 2015 16:41 - 55119 of 81564

plus que ca change, plus c'est la meme chose

goldfinger - 16 Jan 2015 17:15 - 55120 of 81564

Cut off date is a week before the GE.

cynic - 16 Jan 2015 17:22 - 55121 of 81564

does your local still mild?
i don't come across it often and indeed, can't quite place where i last saw it

on the other hand - and more for Balerboy than you - there is an extraordinary little pub called Tucker's Grave at Faulkland (Soms) that is well worth a visit
apart from the beer, they also serve REAL Thatcher's cider that comes from just down the road

doodlebug4 - 16 Jan 2015 17:26 - 55122 of 81564

Thatcher's cider - you are having a laugh, the left wing rabble wouldn't go anywhere near that out of principle.

goldfinger - 16 Jan 2015 17:27 - 55123 of 81564

Cider aghhhhhhhhhhhhhhh cant stand the stuff Im alergic to it. I actualy found to my cost and had to be re hydrated at A+E after just 2 and a bit pints.

Sick as a dog. Years ago.

Strange because Im not alergic to apples, but plenty of other foods.

doodlebug4 - 16 Jan 2015 17:29 - 55124 of 81564

Told you.
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