cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 21 Jun 2010 07:57
- 5514 of 21973
chinese yuan decoupling from $ makes what sectors the greatest beneficiaries?
my guess would be the commodity producers like RIO and perhaps the likes of WCC
i suppose it also makes the oilies more susceptible to t/o
what other thoughts guys n gals?
cynic
- 21 Jun 2010 20:22
- 5515 of 21973
dow suddenly down about 35 having been +140 at one point very early in proceedings ...... ftse therefore indicating -70 or so, and bp could be in for another pasting by the looks of it too
Balerboy
- 21 Jun 2010 22:58
- 5516 of 21973
Rio doing very nicely at the mo.,.
HARRYCAT
- 21 Jun 2010 23:08
- 5517 of 21973
Cynic, your post #5514 is such a complicated issue that even the FT journalists couldn't really understand it today. There were a number of comments from brokers & none of them could agree on the effects. Obviously the miners were the obvious short term beneficiaries, but they then said that the Y/$ coupling was already priced in, so we are none the wiser! Maybe Warren B. will have something accurate to say soon on the topic!
jonuk76
- 22 Jun 2010 01:32
- 5518 of 21973
Its being reported an appreciating Yuan could be bullish for European exporters, particularly car manufacturers.
HARRYCAT
- 22 Jun 2010 08:48
- 5519 of 21973
Budget day. Seems like investors are getting nervous. My Stockwatch list is all in the red!
HARRYCAT
- 22 Jun 2010 14:07
- 5520 of 21973
20% VAT from 4th jan '11. I feel a big spending spree coming on in advance of the New Year!
cynic
- 25 Jun 2010 18:19
- 5521 of 21973
i have just opened a modest ftse long (with stop), on the basis that at least a DCB is due on monday
HARRYCAT
- 29 Jun 2010 14:25
- 5522 of 21973
StockMarketWire.com
"MIDDAY REPORT: Headline shares were sharply lower in midday trade, with heavyweight mining stocks leading the rout on the prospect of shrinking growth in China, with banks continuing to suffer on European sovereign debt concerns.
NEW YORK
US stock futures suggest heavy opening losses, as investors fret over global economic growth. "
A very fickle market atm, with no logic to which stocks being hit.
cynic
- 29 Jun 2010 14:27
- 5523 of 21973
baby and bathwater ..... markets looking very bearish, and a fair bit of forced selling may now be in evidence as margins have to be paid by 15:00
cynic
- 29 Jun 2010 15:35
- 5524 of 21973
the very brave may want a little dabble at dow at 9850
HARRYCAT
- 29 Jun 2010 16:08
- 5525 of 21973
Is your 'Guru' predicting a bleak summer period? I can't see that there is much good news on the horizon (on the macro front).
cynic
- 29 Jun 2010 16:24
- 5526 of 21973
i confess he performs better in rising markets, but his last comment re dow was to have a stop loss at 9700 or a little lower ..... 9850 per above, was a long entry point for dow siome time back
2517GEORGE
- 29 Jun 2010 16:43
- 5527 of 21973
I think we all perform better when it's rising cynic, the market that is, ha! ha! What a terrible day, more to come I fear.
2517
splat
- 29 Jun 2010 17:21
- 5528 of 21973
Certainly looks as if there's more to come. There seems to be a fairly flexible area of potential support for the Dow between c. 9600 - 9800. Wouldn't want it to breach the lower end with any conviction......
jonuk76
- 01 Jul 2010 00:02
- 5529 of 21973
The S&P 500 closed below the key support level of 1040 tonight. The level has been widely watched so it seems quite a high probability we are going lower. Possible targets mentioned here
http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/quint-tatro-s2526p-s2526p-500-support/6/30/2010/id/29002?camp=syndication&from=yahoo
Worth keeping an eye on the futures -
S&P 500 futures FTSE futures
cynic
- 01 Jul 2010 05:38
- 5530 of 21973
horrid day likely
critical levels on both dow and ftse now uncomfortably close
dealerdear
- 01 Jul 2010 08:26
- 5531 of 21973
Almost panic in the market. Coming to a vital point I feel.
required field
- 01 Jul 2010 08:29
- 5532 of 21973
In ftse terms : this must be the second dip....
HARRYCAT
- 02 Jul 2010 13:41
- 5533 of 21973
RBS note on today's non-fram payroll figures:
"After a series of weak data globally, theres an awful lot hanging on todays payroll report. As with last month, the focus will be on private sector job creation. The consensus is for a 110k rise in private jobs, with RBS economists looking for +160k (-130k for the whole economy, following +431k in May). With the whisper number likely to be closer to around +50k, a consensus hit would play positive for risk. Sentiment will be more sensitive to a better number than a weaker number."
Also some press speculation of a large hedgefund unwinding:
"Been told large hedge fund is unwinding. Look out for fluctuations in oil, gas and pharma.
Jump may have caused the unwind: lots of natgas players being caught by the widowmaker spread. These guys have been losing money all year. Their portfolio also has a lot of illiquids. Might explain why natgas jumped yday BBG trying to say it was NY temperature, but Spot was lower on the day!
Euro rally also smacks of forced short covering, so maybe somebody did get blown up in there"