overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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55011
- 13 Jan 2006 13:40
- 558 of 1009
This brokers review dates back to the Autumn, just after the acquisition. Prices mentioned are pre the 1 for 5 consolidation. Gives a useful round up of what RTD is now all about. Recommendation "buy".
http://www.hoodlessbrennan.com/CMS_FileCache/HOODLE004_259_1.pdf
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 07:23
- 559 of 1009
That'd be 3 yrs running, good luck to all holders
Retail Decisions plc
Trading Statement
'Results Expected to Exceed Expectations'
Retail Decisions (ReD), the payment card issuer and a world leader in card fraud
prevention and payment processing, is pleased to announce trading has been
better than expected in the final quarter of its financial year and that the
initial results from the two recent acquisitions are also both ahead of
forecasts.
As a result, the Board expects the Group's profit before tax (for the year to 31
December 2005) to be in excess of current market expectations.
Fred1new
- 17 Jan 2006 09:05
- 560 of 1009
Nice to read, should help the SP a little.
Give a little smile Douggie.
8-)
pachandl
- 17 Jan 2006 09:34
- 561 of 1009
Excellent start to the day. It just shows what can be achieved with astute management at the top.
Douggie
- 17 Jan 2006 10:19
- 562 of 1009
GOOD MORNING Fred .... :0)))......and all
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 11:45
- 563 of 1009
This may be keeping a lid on the SP - not the most bullish of notes in light of this mornings statement
From Daniel Stewart - 17 January 2006
Retail Decisions - Trading Update
Retail Decisions (ReD), a leading provider of services to the payments industry and payments card issuer, has announced a positive trading statement for the year to December 31st 2005 with pre-tax profits expected to be ahead of our existing forecasts of 7.5m. In light of this, we are increasing our FY05 PBT forecast to 8.0m, resulting in an EPS of 8.8p (previously 8.3p). We are leaving our FY06 and FY07 forecasts unchanged at this stage but believe pressure is on the upside. We maintain our BUY recommendation and price target of 180p, equivalent to 19.1x FY06 earnings
skyhigh
- 17 Jan 2006 12:07
- 564 of 1009
Cool ! onwards and upwards... 2 soon ?
Fred1new
- 17 Jan 2006 12:29
- 565 of 1009
Not disagreeing with you Fundy, but I think based on these figures from Barclays and Square Gain which havent been updated yet and accepting a a PE of about 20 for a now rapidly developing company we could expect a share price 240p over these next 12mths.
I am uncertain what the returns will be from its Korean licensing.
From Barclays
Forecasts
Year Ending Sales (m) Pre-tax (m) EPS P/E PEG EPS Grth. Div Yield
31-Dec-05 39.80 7.40 8.50p 17.3 n/a -1% n/a 0.0%
31-Dec-06 130.90 11.20 9.80p 15.0 1.0 +15% n/a 0.0%
31-Dec-07 141.10 13.80 12.00p 12.3 0.5 +22% n/a 0.0%
From Squaregain
Ratio estimates 2005 2006 2007(e)
Earnings per share (EPS) (in BPC) 8.50 9.80 12.00
Price earnings ratio 18.12 15.71 12.83
Cash flow per share (in BPC) n/a n/a n/a
Net assets per share (in BPC) n/a n/a n/a
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 13:00
- 566 of 1009
Fred
dont disagree, was only posting the house broker (i think) views which arent as bullish as the trading update would appear to be. If i remember rightly last yrs statement was similar and then the results were relatively disappointing (compared to what people were expecting). Hopefully this time, genuine revenue and profit growth from the CNP business will outweight the decline in CP - that will see the SP rocket
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 13:03
- 567 of 1009
Fred
O/T quickly, if youve time, could you have a quick look at HDG and let me know yours views - a share that doesnt hit many radars but trading on a low PE and very low PEG with a decent divi (only downside being AIM listed) - excellent interims today - would be interested to know what you think
Fred1new
- 17 Jan 2006 15:34
- 568 of 1009
Fundy, Had a look. Looks sweet. Have E-mailed you information. My type of Fundamentals etc. but no free money in the kitty at the moment. Putr it into my list of shares I like to have.
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 15:43
- 569 of 1009
Cheers Fred
optomistic
- 17 Jan 2006 15:55
- 570 of 1009
Trading statement......sp + 2.5p now making it look a nil event!!
pachandl
- 17 Jan 2006 15:57
- 571 of 1009
Rather disappointing slide this afternoon but the uptrend stays intact. I would expect more follow-through buy orders in the next 2 weeks from the bigger boys. Anyway, as an investor rather than trader I am more than happy with today's rns (although I must admit that I had decided to sell at the old 36p just before the sp reversed - unfortunately, I failed to act in time!).
Fred1new
- 17 Jan 2006 16:08
- 572 of 1009
Yes! So should I have. If ONLY!
Sod it.
Some clever B with a name starting with F did get it right.
Fundamentalist
- 17 Jan 2006 16:11
- 573 of 1009
:-)
Douggie
- 18 Jan 2006 10:15
- 574 of 1009
mournin FRed nothing changed ......... back to pre RNS sp
pachandl
- 18 Jan 2006 11:20
- 575 of 1009
Everything has gone red, or do I need to see an optician?
skyhigh
- 18 Jan 2006 11:29
- 576 of 1009
Bad day all round for the markets...spooked! Re; Japan Nikki fell heavily due to JPN market suspension..re: fraud story...Oil up and other things....opportunity for profit taking on shares like RTD which have done well since Xmas..
Need to wait for confidence tor be restored... may take days or a week or two.. (IMHO)
pachandl
- 18 Jan 2006 12:21
- 577 of 1009
Yes, a double whammy for me as I am heavily into Japan UTs (still, they were rising too quickly so everyone was calling for a market correction - tho' not for the current reason).