ellio
- 15 May 2006 09:10
The market seems to be selling-off on the back of limited bad news imo, apart from the dollar that is.
If you can hold your nerve and apart from any short term requirements to offload poor performing stocks, I have a couple!!, my advice would be sit tight. This does not have the feel of the tech(mining!) bubble at all. Difference being there are a lot of good fundamentals, unlike in 2000 when there were a lot of over rated nothing companies.
Kivver
- 08 Mar 2007 18:07
- 559 of 1564
so glad i'm a 'glass half full' kinda bloke who topped up a bit. Now the the question is do i take the profit on azm. Also topped up on kmr and acc but only up a little at the mo.
HARRYCAT
- 08 Mar 2007 19:17
- 560 of 1564
Kivver, just read your profile!!! Awesome!!! With a profile like that you deserve.........well, good luck!
Half full is the way forward,........... I think. :o)
Big Al
- 08 Mar 2007 19:51
- 561 of 1564
12300???????
cynic
- 08 Mar 2007 20:01
- 562 of 1564
not nearly as sanguine as ellio .... market certainly fell too far too fast, and is typically now performing the reverse trick
Big Al
- 08 Mar 2007 21:31
- 563 of 1564
It doesn't seem to want to regain the gap
cynic
- 09 Mar 2007 08:33
- 564 of 1564
Weakish finish on Wall Street; pretty weak start to London; weekend about to start ..... down seems the obvious call, but by how much?
Strawbs
- 09 Mar 2007 08:39
- 565 of 1564
Think they're all waiting for non farm payrolls......which means it'll probably come in as expected and still leave everyone clueless....
Strawbs.
s040371giles
- 09 Mar 2007 08:41
- 566 of 1564
US employment data at 1.30 GMT will determine. I'm about to go away for a long weekend, so I'm staying out. So many different opinions, points of view - I can't believe I'm being so risk-averse!
IMO, we still have further to go down, but I will let the charts show me.
Good luck to those who dip their toes in today.
Steve
cynic
- 09 Mar 2007 08:50
- 567 of 1564
the employment data will be interpreted whicehver way the market feels inclined ..... if strong, the market could either decide that indicates more underlying inflation or that yippee the economy is still strong ..... if weak, proof that recessionary times are just around the corner or that yippee inflation and/or rate rises have been pushed back
HARRYCAT
- 09 Mar 2007 11:55
- 568 of 1564
Dull, Dull, Dull! Everyone watching & waiting for the DOW to open?
Stan
- 09 Mar 2007 12:05
- 569 of 1564
US employment data will be fundamental (1.30pm our time) IMHO.
...Could go either way.
Edit:
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=1830111
Thanks to Kyoto In the Investor's Room
cynic
- 09 Mar 2007 12:10
- 570 of 1564
it will certainly affect the markets' direction, but as i postde above, whatever the figures say, they can be interpreted as good or bad depending on the prevailing mood
cynic
- 09 Mar 2007 13:38
- 571 of 1564
well well well ..... so far so wrong with Dow, but shall hold my Dow short open as a hedge against being long on stocks (apart from BFC) ..... and will Dow reconsider and go into reverse?
cynic
- 09 Mar 2007 13:53
- 572 of 1564
here is the transcript of the US employment figures ..... i have highlighted the bits i think are most interesting ..... it could be well argued that the severe slump in construction jobs is a reflection of a similar fall in house-building starts, which i would have thought was a firm indication of a creaking economy.
US February non-farm payrolls up 97,000, unemployment rate falls to 4.5 pct
AFX
WASHINGTON (AFX) - US employers added fewer employees to their payrolls last month than in each of the prior two months as construction hiring plummeted, the Labor Department said today. Still, the unemployment rate fell slightly in February.
The economy added 97,000 jobs in February, essentially in line with the 100,000 jobs economists had expected from the survey of employer payrolls.
It's the slowest payroll growth since January 2005, when 95,000 jobs were added. The unemployment rate, taken from a separate survey of households, fell slightly to 4.5 pct in the month from 4.6 pct.
The drop was led by a 62,000 drop in construction jobs, the sharpest decline in the sector since 1991.
In December and January, the number of jobs added was revised up by 55,000 to a cumulative two-month total of 372,000.
Average hourly wages rose 0.4 pct in February, or 0.06 usd, to 17.16 usd.
Average hourly earnings have risen 4.1 pct in the past year, unchanged from the 12 months leading up to January.
The average workweek fell slightly to 33.7 pct in February from 33.8 in the prior month.
In the past twelve months to February, non-farm payrolls rose by 2 mln. For all of 2006, non-farm payrolls rose a revised 2.26 mln.
steveo
- 09 Mar 2007 15:04
- 573 of 1564
cynic, in answer to post 551, I am still in at the mo and have had a bit of a spree adding to some stocks that in retrospect I should have sold and bought back, but I'm sure that applies to most of us. However the ones am picking are backed by legislation or expected increase in interest such as wng, chp, ptr, iph, pele,kmr,atcg
The market seems to have settled quicker than last May but there is certainly more fear in the air than a month ago, although risks have been well documented for a while.
The non-farm pay-rolls were quite benign, except construction which could be predicted considering US housing market. That has to be the key to future fluctuations but I generally see a mildly bullish outlook when looking at the global predictions. I think a period of slower rises or even static trend levels but with occasional volatility. I think ftse will end up about 6500 for year end at a complete guess, as there are just too many things that can happen.
So there are my colours, blue with a mild hint of green and the odd red spot that's hard to shift over the next 9 months. However that is my humble and probably wrong opinion, so I guess I could be one of the crowd. Any other thoughts?
cynic
- 09 Mar 2007 15:08
- 574 of 1564
i am incapable of sensible thought! .... however, as hoped rather than predicted, Wall Street is now having second thoughts about those figures ..... as for the markets settling down quickly, i suspect you are in the minority to believe that ..... my view is that there is still plenty of nastiness ahead
Big Al
- 09 Mar 2007 15:17
- 575 of 1564
I think they sold the bounce at resistance? We'll see how the session ends.
HARRYCAT
- 09 Mar 2007 16:38
- 576 of 1564
All in all a reasonable result for those of us trading normal stocks.
Perhaps not so good for the spreadbetters, but in the short term confidence seems to be back, so hoping for a moderate rise next week.
My local broker is of the opinion that 6500 on the FTSE is about right. Over that figure & he thinks it will not be sustainable.
steveo
- 09 Mar 2007 16:55
- 577 of 1564
I agree about short term nastiness but it appears at this stage to be less volatile than May, tempting fate saying that!!
Stan
- 09 Mar 2007 17:00
- 578 of 1564
Caution still required.