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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

ptholden - 24 Aug 2005 16:51 - 575 of 1497

OG

My sentiment is why exercise options now if there are good times ahead for the SP?

Wonder whom has actually exercised the options?

pth

overgrowth - 24 Aug 2005 17:38 - 576 of 1497

pth, the options allocated are as follows (all with expiry date 22nd Oct 2008):

Sir Frank Davies 500K (ex Chairman)
P.G.Stimpson 350K (CEO)
M.Emberton 250K (non-exec)
A.G.Hicks 250K (non-exec)
O.M.A.Karim 250K (non-exec)
K.J.Middis 250K (FD)

Next if we look at the shareholdings of these guys

Sir Frank Davies 100,000
P.G.Stimpson 15,525,000
M.Emberton 2,250,000
A.G.Hicks 180,000
O.M.A.Karim 6,033,600
K.J.Middis 260,000

Options are a piddling amount compared to these stakes.

However, a closer look at the detailed annual report at:

http://www.mediwatchplc.com/rpmServer/Mediwatch/pdfs/2005%20Final%20Report%20Part%202.pdf

Reveals that both Sir Frank Davies and Alan Hicks decided not to be re-elected to the board, hence that's where your 750K has come from - these guys will probably know as much as the rest of us as to what's going on at MDW now they're retired and would prefer some cash today rather than at some time in the future.

Business as usual at MDW, and whilst you're at it, do a search for "Medtronic" in that report - looks very promising to me.

Today's selling has come from investors who haven't a clue as to what's going on - make sure you're not one of them lol !

Fred1new - 24 Aug 2005 18:47 - 577 of 1497

Market value of company approx 9million options = 75000. As you say peanuts, but represent about 3 times recent volume if being sold. Could be reason for drop.

Some late small buys, but guess to-morrow down again and recovery over next 7days. The trend chanel doesnt look to bad.


Added at 23.46 but the short term indicators don't have much which appeals to me. C'est la vie.

andysmith - 24 Aug 2005 19:58 - 578 of 1497

So why the hell is exercising <40k worth of options now a problem??
Where does it state that they are going to sell them and if they do why do folk anticipate it means doom and gloom, unbelieveable!!

jnknill - 24 Aug 2005 21:52 - 579 of 1497

OG/Fred1/Andys............Enjoyed every last word of your posts(no not patronising!) and just could not believe the panic which appeared and not only on this board. Alright, maybe a day or two of "jumping" but the projected profits which we are hoping for never come without a hiccup! Good evening to you all.

banjomick - 24 Aug 2005 22:05 - 580 of 1497

well the MM had a very good day out of the announcement didn't they.I bet they couldn't believe their luck and kept lowering the price to buy more at a cheap price with people wanting sell and all.
Could some of thoughs sells have been automatic then due to the drop,setting off limits or what ever???
I think after the shock,that this will recover pretty quickly as in buying will take over...starting on the morrow,


Fred1new - 24 Aug 2005 23:43 - 581 of 1497

I think NMS is about a 1000. The MMs have you by the S and Cs. if you take fright and sell.

mg - 25 Aug 2005 09:17 - 582 of 1497

Well, I thought that everyone would have been buying like crazy after some of the posts in the last few weeks - "....looking to get some more at or below 10 ..." etc. Personally I was really pleased to see a bit of a shake out - it meant I could start filling my second shed.

Nice to see an immediate return on those I topped up with yesterday @ 9.75.

When all around are losing their head ..........

banjomick - 26 Aug 2005 01:58 - 583 of 1497

The new 'high sleeper bed' was completed at midnight..........5 hours,got the odd screw left but it's stil standing!

Just listened to medtronic share owners get together,another very interesting webcast but no mention of MDW...which was expected.

Key points as I saw them (Medtronic that is):

Revenue broke through $10.1 Billion for first time.

R&D expenditure over $1 Billion

R&D to increase more than any other category.

2/3 of revenue was made from products related to R&D over the last 2 years.

***they are focused on innovation****

There was a special mention on the growing USA/world wide increase in keeping the over 60's alive.

Medtronic deal with 120 countries in the world.

They appear to love anything to do with monitoring patients and getting data using new technology ie bluetooth or such so the patient can be monitored without going to a main hospital.

FDA and other regulatary bodies around the world-they are achieving better working relations.

Lots of new products on the horizon yet to be announced.

***************************************
Yes typical USA mouth wash but if MDW got a deal with Medtronic then more opportunities may arrise to sell more products.

If MDW get the PSAwatch distribution deal with Medtronic then I think it will be a world wide deal through Medtronic.Both webcasts I have listened to have been excellent as they keep stressing the fact that they want to look after both neglected patients as well as the big money earners to look after the share holders.

Urology is not one of MDT's strong points as far as I can gather so after hearing the two webcasts and researching the company......I think it is one area they are very keen to get more involved!

The MDW deal would not cost them much relatively but would benifit MDW a hell of a lot as a company-imho

I would expect an announcement from MDW in about a months time on the current negotations with MDT.This gives enough time after the share option release to be deamed fair-imho

Just me rambling's again!

andrewbertram2003 - 26 Aug 2005 12:31 - 584 of 1497

Medtronic is a big player.....nice to buy mediwatch out...hmmm

overgrowth - 26 Aug 2005 13:30 - 585 of 1497

An interesting post from troutisout on advfn, confirming my earlier thoughts:

"Morning all,
I have just received an e-mail from the company I hope it cheers up all you holders and quashes the downside potrayed by the traders!

Dear Sir,
I see the RNS regarding the exercise of options has led to a plunge in the share price, do we now believe that due to directors exercising at this time, the talks with Medtronic are ongoing and will not be finalised for some time yet?
Are there any restrictions on directors exercising options when a price sensitive deal, like the one with Medtronic is close to being signed?
Thank you
xxxxxxxxx

Thank you for your recent email addressed to Philip Stimpson which has been passed to me for reply.

As a general comment, I am sure you will realise that Mediwatch and its directors are obliged to comply with strict regulations, particularly relating to dissemination of information. There are occasions when we would like to be more communicative, particularly with shareholders, but due to the necessary restrictions imposed by the Stock Exchange regulations we cannot be selective in any way and, to circulate or discuss any information, we must use the RNS, public announcements via press/other media or send a circular to shareholders.

With regard to the recent exercise of options, I would comment that the two parties who exercised their share options were the two former directors, who either retired (Sir Frank Davies) or did not seek re election (Alun Hicks) at the recent AGM. It is, therefore, not unreasonable for them to exercise their rights under the Share Option Scheme at their discretion and, as there has been some time since either were in an informed position, they could not be accused of using a privileged position with regard to price sensitive information.



Yours sincerely,

Kevin Middis

Finance Director

So there you have it no reason to believe this implies a longer timescale on the signing of the deal! Now let's get the price back up to where it was before this all started!

Trout."

ptholden - 26 Aug 2005 14:11 - 586 of 1497

OG

Good call a few days earlier, tres impressed!

pth

optomistic - 26 Aug 2005 16:16 - 587 of 1497

MM's having a quiet afternoon, last trade at 11.01am.

overgrowth - 26 Aug 2005 22:49 - 588 of 1497

Cheers pth - it just all seemed to add up after glancing at the full report.

It just shows what we miss out on having nominee accounts.

banjomick - 30 Aug 2005 12:36 - 589 of 1497

Having a better day today!

optomistic - 30 Aug 2005 20:31 - 590 of 1497

Finished up nice Banjo. Don't think there are many follow it MDW on am but the few that do could be in for good returns these next few months.

banjomick - 30 Aug 2005 20:53 - 591 of 1497

opto.It will be interesting this week,especially if we carry on with this buying volume.

Nothing has changed since the confirmation of talks with Medtronic so increased interest on no recent news is encouraging.

PS kept me last post short,just to enable easy access to the charts on this thread!

andysmith - 30 Aug 2005 21:03 - 592 of 1497

I bet the folks who didn't read last weeks RNS properly and jumped ship are pig-sick now, what a buying opportunity that was!! Mine are still locked safely away, wish I'd been here to buy some more rather than working away.

banjomick - 30 Aug 2005 21:23 - 593 of 1497

andysmith,
Yes,but there wasn't a great deal of selling just MM making a quick buck, able to buy shares every time they lowered the price.

Maybe todays relatively small buying was people buying back in-lol

banjomick - 01 Sep 2005 00:39 - 594 of 1497

Just out of interset,since 24/08/05 taken from and including the 100k sell @ 13:56 up to now:

There have been 479704 sells
compared to 1151000 buys (rough figure,might i add)

After the 24/08/05 there have been only 3 sells which added up to 66264 the other 30 transaction have been buys....i'll be doing charts tomorrow-lol
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