cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
dealerdear
- 15 Mar 2011 10:46
- 5764 of 21973
All depends whether you're an investor or trader.
As the former I wouldn't go near the markets at the moment. As the latter it is heaven sent.... I think!! lol
HARRYCAT
- 15 Mar 2011 11:42
- 5765 of 21973
Comment from Credit Suisse on the Yen demand:
"The main immediate observations we would make are that:
The Yen appreciated by 22% in the three months after the Kobe earthquake in part as insurance companies repatriated their foreign holdings of assets in order to pay for the earthquake losses.
We believe that this time around the authorities would cap the strength of the Yen. Indeed, back in September the BOJ (instructed by the Ministry of Finance) intervened for the first time since 2004 to cap the strength of the Yen. More importantly, the 2 year note yield differential is consistent with a weaker Yen. Additionally, back in January 1995, the Yen was supported by the Mexican debt crisis and Germany cutting rates. The Yen actually depreciated against the Swiss Franc in Q1 1995 showing that there was a general environment of dollar weakness. Our FX team forecasts USD/JPY 89 by year-end.
hilary
- 15 Mar 2011 12:01
- 5766 of 21973
There's a 3 or 4 year USD/JPY downtrend which is still intact (currently about 85.50). It's a bit presumptuous of Credit Suisse to be setting upside targets which are above the downtrend until such time as that trend has been broken.
Did they do a lucky dip or something to get that number?
Balerboy
- 15 Mar 2011 13:42
- 5767 of 21973
DOW opened 251 points down. your short going well cyners.,.
cynic
- 15 Mar 2011 14:02
- 5768 of 21973
as mentioned earlier, it was closed out last night at b/e (10975) ..... sod's law though it was only a small position
cynic
- 15 Mar 2011 16:22
- 5769 of 21973
so we come to the end of a very hairy-scary day which threatened, but fortunately did not deliver, to be armageddon or close to it
HARRYCAT
- 16 Mar 2011 13:55
- 5770 of 21973
Mid-morning when I looked DOW futures were approx -17. Now down 137!!! Another grim afternoon?
cynic
- 16 Mar 2011 15:55
- 5771 of 21973
never a dull i'm afraid ...... latest collapse probably due to ....
14:42, Wednesday 16 March 2011
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - European Union banks must disclose sovereign debt holdings on both their trading and banking books as part of stress tests, EU leaders will say at a summit on March 24-25, according to draft conclusions.
"Banks (Euronext: SBK.NX - news) ' disclosure will be enhanced, including on sovereign debt holdings on the trading and banking book," read the draft conclusions, obtained by Reuters.
"Member states will prepare, ahead of the publication of the results, specific and ambitious strategies for the restructuring of vulnerable institutions, including private sector solutions (direct financing to the market or asset sales) but also solid framework for the provision of government support in case of need," the document reads.
The aim of the stress tests is to restore confidence in the region's banking sector after last year's health check was widely criticised for lack of transparency and credibility.
Only seven banks failed last year's tests and needed to raise just 3.5 billion euros, far less than expected. All of Ireland (Berlin: IIK.BE - news) 's banks passed, yet months later Dublin needed an 85 billion euro bailout and all its lenders had to be rescued.
irlee57
- 16 Mar 2011 16:12
- 5772 of 21973
Stocks deepened modest losses on Wednesday after Guenther Oettinger, the European Union's commissioner for energy, told a European Parliament committee that a nuclear power plant in Japan is "effectively out of control," and that the situation could continue to deteriorate.
"In the coming hours there could be further catastrophic events which could pose a threat to the lives of people on the island," he said.
cynic
- 16 Mar 2011 16:14
- 5773 of 21973
ah .... thanks irlee; that's much more likely ...... very very dangerous markets at the moment and is becoming or even has become a case of "see a respectable profit? bank it"
skinny
- 16 Mar 2011 16:16
- 5774 of 21973
Have a read
here for the latest.
dealerdear
- 16 Mar 2011 16:17
- 5775 of 21973
What happens if you can't see one cynic ....?
lol
halifax
- 16 Mar 2011 16:34
- 5776 of 21973
strange that the army of nuclear experts cannot come up with a worst case disaster scenario, can't believe that a nuclear meltdown means japan is going to disappear into the pacific. the markets are as usual over reacting.
cynic
- 16 Mar 2011 16:51
- 5777 of 21973
don't entirely disagree with you, but i'm certainly not brave enough to go long on the dow tonight - are you?
halifax
- 16 Mar 2011 17:02
- 5778 of 21973
not yet, but life goes on and for some what is going on in japan and the m.e. does not impact on their businesses. the yanks always overreact, it takes them a couple of days to catch up.
cynic
- 16 Mar 2011 17:07
- 5779 of 21973
m/e is much more likely to affect everyone than japan due to the oil factor
HARRYCAT
- 16 Mar 2011 17:19
- 5780 of 21973
Presumably someone is going to do very nicely out of the rebuilding effort in Japan when the problems are sorted? I saw that Caterpillar was already being tipped as a benficiary. It seems that 45% of all semiconductors come from Japan so maybe other manufacturers are picking up the shortfall in capacity, which should boost their y/e figures.
halifax
- 16 Mar 2011 17:21
- 5781 of 21973
Komatsu should do well.
cynic
- 16 Mar 2011 17:57
- 5782 of 21973
you'll be promoting West China Cement soon - what happened to that one?
halifax
- 16 Mar 2011 18:17
- 5783 of 21973
for those who don't know Komatsu is a major manufacturer of heavy earth moving equipment.