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Italy game looks very dull

May jump in on the draw if it remains dull

Drogba doesn't understand the word "dull" ;~)

Ivory Coast 1-0 up lol

lucky Italians 1-1

I enjoyed and profited from the womens' tennis semis and final last week and I fancy having a look at the snooker matches tonight (Maguire v Davis & O'Sullivan v Junhui).
I imagine the fluctuations in the odds won't be as wild as in the tennis but still plenty of movement as fortunes change from point to point.
Have you any recommendations please? My instinct is to back the unfancied (or lay the fav) player and hope to close out if the outsider has a promising spell.
The downside is that there's no profiting if the fav plays like the winner from the outset and the outsider doesn't get a look in.
Anything in frame by frame betting or final frames score? I await the benefit of your knowledge!!

Schiff

have traded the premier league a few times with some success however only to small stakes.

First thing to be aware of is this is very much a 3 way market like a cricket test match - invariably the draw will be the second favourite. The matches are 6 frames whatever happens all are played so 3-3 represents the draw.

From what i have seen the swings are quite big when a player pots a red early in a frame though imo these are often overdone and the odds revert back if the intial break isnt greater than 30 - obviously if they go onto win the frame then the odds will collapse further though from what i have seen very few frames in this shortened version of the game are won in 1 visit.

As for initial strategies i would happily lay macguire at just above evens (though a hard one to call as neither player has won any of the 4 games so far and cant qualify so are only playing for "pride", but i would be a backer of o'sullivan at 1.75 (he has won 3 and drawn 1 out of 4 played so far whilst his opponent has 1 won drawn 3). The only caveat with the O Sullivan game is he doesnt need to win to qualify whereas his opponent does.

Also, be wary of backing heavy odds on shots - in the last round jimmy white was 3-0 down and his opponent traded at 1.01 and it ended a draw (i layed at 1.03 yeeehaaaaaa)


Link for stats of games so far:

http://www.globalsnookercentre.co.uk/files/Results/res05_6/05-6PREM-League-results.htm

This guy gets 5% of my winnings every day and he still wears sandals?? ;~)

http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,5-2005530490,,00.html

Cheers Fundamentalist - that's really useful, particularly the website you quoted.
Seven draws out of 16 matches struck me as interesting!
Maybe back the draw after the first frame?

He wears sandals because he gets 5% of your winnings every day :-)

Just found out - no in-play market for the frame score!

But there is in in-play market for the draw - I'm getting thoroughly confused!
Davis playing better than Maguire.

Kayak
LOL!
If Andrew had to rely on me for his commission, hed be changing his grey socks once every 2 months. Its Scrip that keeps him in Gucci sandals. ;~)

Hi all

just got back in - Schiff - hope u layed MacGuire

scalped a few quid on davis in the last frame :-)

Not much money on the Wales games, but it was consistently mispriced, as everyone assumed it was a 90mins game, rather than 80mins.

sealed - was it a boys game?

O Sullivan planning to experiment in the game according to his pre match interview

Fundy
Yep. U16s

O Sullivan lost the first frame