glennborthwick
- 22 Aug 2006 14:46
First class interim results
top line growth 74%, yet costs only up 24%
they will have the best part of 700k cash at year end
corporate synergy note suggest eps of 2.09p for the year , current share price 17p
dollywood contract very likely
more parks very likely
no debt
LOQ must be one of the best risk reward plays out there
glennborthwic
- 11 Apr 2008 00:31
- 59 of 124
results today , net profit 550k, 600k cash in the bank, 40% growth, eps of 3.6p. share price 26p market cap 3.5 million. strip out the cash and pe is less than 6. bargain. nother 40% growth should happen this year. they already have two new sites signed up plus have bought out a text phone version in 6 installations.
glennborthwick
- 05 May 2008 19:07
- 60 of 124
agm next week and six flags update on the 8th may.
Weather in the states ahs been great for LOQ so far. cn see this making a million this year so on market cap of 4.2 million its laughably cheap
sniffer
- 15 Aug 2008 08:15
- 61 of 124
Good interims....
glennborthwick
- 16 Aug 2008 13:11
- 62 of 124
fantastic interims - will make 1 million this year, and PE is sub 4. will have 1.6 million of cash by this time summe ron market cap of 4.5 million. Bargain of the century
glennborthwick
- 16 Aug 2008 13:13
- 63 of 124
also magic mountain park in california are signing on the dotted line,
sniffer
- 18 Aug 2008 21:51
- 64 of 124
Yes super value...
sniffer
- 22 Sep 2008 11:38
- 65 of 124
ttt
glennborthwick
- 22 Sep 2008 19:58
- 66 of 124
wow 1.4 million profit coming, market cap 5.2 million
glennborthwick
- 26 Sep 2008 23:50
- 67 of 124
Possibly talking to myself here but here goes anyway. Some predictions for this and next year. Last weeks announcement confidently suggests turnover of 10 million and profits of 1.4 million for this year. (they will already have 90% of income in the bank as June July and August account for that). With 600k already in the bank they will have 2 million in cash by year end
Their job adverts for managers in California suggest MAgic mountain is an addition for 2009. I expect Legoland California to also sign up plus possibly an asian park.
Gross margins are 30% and each decent park should add 1 million to turnover and 300 000 to profits. I suggest organic growth of 5% in parks (higher prices, moreqbots etc) for 2010.
So for 1 additional park I expect
10million x 1.1 x 1.05 = 11.55 x 30% margin = 3.465 million profit less 1.6 million fixed cost = 1.865 million profit next year.
With extra parks = 10 x 1.05 x 1.3 = 13.65 million x 30% margin = 4.1 million - 1.6 million fixed cost = 2.5 million.
So market cap 4.3 million, 2 million cash in the bank and projected 2009 profit of 1.8 to 2.5 million dependent on park sign ups. 13p t0 18p a share
Still multibag territory and my target price 80p to 140p a share. Current price 30p
glennborthwick
- 10 Oct 2008 11:00
- 68 of 124
dollar now 1.68 to the pound instead of last years average of 2 dollars . great news for loq
glennborthwick
- 10 Nov 2008 19:52
- 69 of 124
massive news on six flags conference call tonight which hasnt hit the market yet
THE CEO OF SIX FLAGS HAS STATED
"WE HAD 1 MILLION MORE USERS OF FLASHPASS THIS YEAR" AND "WE INTEND TO ROLL IT OUT TO TWO MORE PARKS NEXT YEAR"
so average price per person on flashpass is 17 dollars, so lo-q will have earnt 17 million dollars in revenue which is about 10 million pounds. Gross margin is 22 to 25% so a minimum of 2.2 million extra profit. I reckon lo-q will make 2.5 million on a market cap of only 3.5 million.
If you google six flags conference transcript you will find it
glennborthwick
- 10 Nov 2008 21:02
- 70 of 124
FROM TRANsCRIPT;
Lo-q spelt lowq but never mind
Analyst
It seemed as if there was a slight acceleration in per guest spending excluding sponsorships from the mid-August update that you gave, through the third quarter now, and was there a discernable change in your guests behavior as gas prices fell during September and October?
Mark Shapiro
No, not at all. We were really strong all summer long. The other thing that benefited us, we nailed the stimulus package. We saw the stimulus package was coming. Those checks as you know are sent out over really a four-week period maybe longer, and we knew it was coming and people would have more money.
We didnt think people were going to go spend it immediately like they had during the last recession, they might put it in a bank, they might use to pay off bills, if they were smart theyd put the cash under their mattress for todays climate, but maybe they were going to spend some of it.
And in the hopes that they would spend some of it, we doubled our advertising spend for four weeks during the economic stimulus distribution. And that paid off for us and then when the people came into the parks on good weather, they stayed long and they spent and that really helped us out.
The big brand strategy has clearly paid off for us and I would tell you as well, [Low Q] which is the company that does our flash pass system, theyre unbelievable. They really drove our business and their numbers were up significantly year-over-year. In fact theyve been up significantly year-over-year since the year I arrived and we began to expand the usage of our flash pass system in all of our parks.
We had one million more people use the system this year then last year and you remember flash pass is what gets you a premium and you get an electronic device that brings you to the front of the line so you dont have to wait in line.
And because of the positive response were seeing, were planning to install in another two parks next year so that nearly every Six Flags park will have the system and flash pass works because really it drives revenue in two ways. One the premium they pay for the flash pass, so the revenue is generated that way. And then of course, by not being trapped in line, the guests spend so much more time moving about the park, enjoying other facilities, spending and giving us further revenue in those ways.
So that was a big driver of our guest spending this year as well.
glennborthwick
- 11 Nov 2008 13:49
- 71 of 124
up 40%
glennborthwick
- 22 Nov 2008 10:24
- 72 of 124
Lo-q announce profits of at least 1.85 million. AT least 2 new parks for 2009 season. Dollar likely to be at 1.5 instead of the 1.8 weighted average this year so another 15% benefit there. Profits next year to be at least 2.5 million pounds IMO. MArket cap still under 6 and they are sitting on 2.5 million of cash so strip that out and PE is just 2 to 3 on a share which has grown profits by 300%
glennborthwick
- 18 Dec 2008 20:39
- 73 of 124
moved up nicely from an initial tip price of 17p to 38p. 3 new parks already announced for 2009, plus rumours of 1 more for next year. Forward PE should be just 1 with dollar benefits. Still see thsi as a 100p stock this time next year. Does any one read this or are the markets so bad nobody is here
glennborthwick
- 12 Jan 2009 14:43
- 74 of 124
update due next week. Could hit 50p imo
spitfire43
- 23 Jan 2009 09:56
- 75 of 124
You are not alone, I have just added this to watchlist.
Trading update today confirms the two previous ones, so we should see PBIT at no less than 1.85m.They are being sensible saying that actual trading will be governed by peoples willingness to continue to visit theme parks. LOQ said the same with the interim report in August 2008, but remained unaffected, so lets hope we see the same this year.
glennborthwick
- 25 Jan 2009 23:13
- 76 of 124
also indicated a few more european parks on the way before easter opening weekend
goldfinger
- 26 Jan 2009 04:46
- 77 of 124
6 parks which LOQ does circa 80% of its business with, has approx 2 billion debt.
Do you not see this as a risk?.
glennborthwick
- 06 Feb 2009 13:21
- 78 of 124
partly but loq get there money first and its a huge cash cow so with at least one more summer company should have whole markt cap in cash. You can buy 400 million of that debt for 40 million so I see a renegotiation of this debt very likely.
I also see six flags slimming down to the highly profitable core parks of which six flags are in all of them. They can jettison the other for land values clearing a big portion of the debt.