markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
Proselenes
- 29 Dec 2010 13:46
- 5949 of 6492
marky, DES think its most likely gas, which is why they show Dawn under their "gas potentials".
http://www.desireplc.co.uk/technical_volumetrics.php
The CPR might talk of oil potential, but DES, in the above link, acknowledge that its most likely gas, if anything is there at all.
markymar
- 29 Dec 2010 13:51
- 5950 of 6492
http://www.desireplc.co.uk/pdfs/Desire_CPR_Final_Report.pdf
Pro from the CPR report
8 Dawn (Jurassic) Prospect
8.1 Summary
Dawn is a prominent and high relief (650 m vertical relief) horst block structure mapped at the
top Pre-Rift horizon and located in the southern part of the North Falkland Basin. The
reservoir target is predicted to be Jurassic non-marine sandstones sealed by onlapping Lower
Cretaceous shale. The prospect requires vertical migration from a speculative Jurassic source
rock.
The gross mean recoverable resource volume is 124 MMbo and the COS is estimated at 8%.The prospect is mapped on mixed vintages of 2D data and there is a robust closure. The
principal risks are potential for seal breach and charge. The hydrocarbon phase is uncertain
but
on balance an oil scenario is preferred.
Proselenes
- 29 Dec 2010 13:54
- 5951 of 6492
marky, yes, but the DES web site link clearly states they think it would be gas, and DES have classified Dawn as a potential gas prospect.
That is what you should be looking at, not the CPR as the CPR is written for it being an oil prospect, even though the company may think its very likely to be gas if anything.
Proselenes
- 29 Dec 2010 14:02
- 5953 of 6492
Well, all I can say is the risk with Ernest for RKH was that it would be gas. Turned out to be as dry as Jacinta has turned out to be.
Would make it odds on Dawn will be dry as well IMO, the south of the north is not the place to be I do think.
The north of the north is the place to be, and RKH and ARG are the ones....... ;)
Proselenes
- 29 Dec 2010 14:18
- 5955 of 6492
marky, they need the info for calibrating their 3D seismic, and you never know, it might be gas or oil or it might be bone dry.
However, the drill data is the important thing for the new 3D.
required field
- 29 Dec 2010 14:25
- 5956 of 6492
I think DES will rebound stongly....regardless of the Dawn result once the seismic survey results from around their border with RKH comes in....
chav
- 29 Dec 2010 14:31
- 5958 of 6492
Curious that Arcadia bought into the Alpha prospect, which is Gas, despite everyone thinking that any Gas found would be stranded.
cynic
- 29 Dec 2010 15:46
- 5960 of 6492
is there any reason why Alpha should have anything at all when Dawn, Jacinta and Ernest patently did not
gibby
- 29 Dec 2010 15:51
- 5961 of 6492
i would never laugh at anyones misfortune, or be jealous of anyones success - i have had both many times, but marky is this not correct?:
75 million before this drill, approx. 55 million left as each drill is 20million
35 million allocated to Seismic Surveys
20 million left for one more drill (not yet decided where)
Next drill will be months away after RKH finishes with the OG
DES will be forced to issue discounted shares to raise capital otherwise they will be left with nothing other than their licences and Seismic data left to sell off to the highest bidder
i sincerely hope des strikes but i blame the bod for this mess at the moment
i did well trading des this year - got it wrong a few times - but going fwd it looks a bit bleak for des right now imo compared to before they started drilling he first prospect when all looked bright
i hope they strike
the gas - i just dont know - what is your opinion? i suppose it depends how much and cost to move it anywhere?
but i sure do not laugh if someone does bad because i have had that more than once - not nice at all - and i believe what goes around comes around
cynic
- 29 Dec 2010 16:00
- 5964 of 6492
someone does bad - what's wrong with adverbs?
chav
- 29 Dec 2010 16:01
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Alpha and Jacinta couldn't both work so Jacinta's failure would suggest that Apha is still a possibility.
halifax
- 29 Dec 2010 16:02
- 5966 of 6492
more good money to be invested after bad, would you invest in the last DODO?
gibby
- 29 Dec 2010 16:10
- 5968 of 6492
marky - lets hope they can raise the money / investment
i said could be the end - not is the end - and it could be still but we will not know for sometime either way
i hope it is not the end for des - i dont deramp just facts
you carry on you will persuade me to buy des before cob today!!