UPDATE: Allocate Software cashing in on recurring revenue
By John Harrington June 24 2013, 2:30pm
The Defence business had a productive year securing a major contract with Royal Australian Airforce as well as securing a series of important professional services contract extensions.The Defence business had a productive year securing a major contract with Royal Australian Airforce as well as securing a series of important professional services contract extensions.
-- Adds broker comment, updates share price reaction --
Investment analysts are in for a pleasant surprise when Allocate Software (LON:ALL) publishes its full year results, as cash generation has been much stronger than expected.
In a preview of its full year results, the healthcare software specialist said it delivered a very strong performance in the second half of its financial year, with revenue and underlying earnings (EBITDA)) in line with expectations.
The company, which, like a lot of software firms, is offering software as a service (SaaS) as an alternative to the traditional upfront licence fee model, said cash performance has “materially exceeded analysts' expectations”, due to the continuing transition in the company's business model to one based more on recurring revenues and also to improvements in working capital.
The group said the level of recurring orders secured by its UK Healthcare business has been higher than anticipated, which means that cash, deferred revenue and contracted, unbilled orders in hand are higher than anticipated.
For those investment analysts struggling to predict Allocate’s revenue streams, this should mean that the visibility and predictability of future years' revenue streams will be improved.
"At the same time as delivering revenue in line with expectations we continued our transition to a business with higher recurring and deferred revenues. Although revenue growth has been masked by both a large order in the prior year and the move to higher recurring and deferred revenues, billings and cash show more significant growth and more fairly reflect the true underlying progress that Allocate has achieved this year,” said Ian Bowles, chief executive officer of Allocate.
When customers move to the SaaS model from the seat-licensing model, it often leads to an initial dip in the software company’s revenues, as the customers’ payments are spread out over the year rather than paid upfront in a lump payment. On the plus side, the SaaS model evens out the income stream for the software company, which usually is a boon to working capital.
Over the full year, the number of new customers signing up for the company’s HealthRoster e-rostering solution was slightly lower than in the previous year, but this was in line with management’s expectations. Several of the new customers secured were clients switching from competing products, while HealthRoster renewals continued at the unimprovable 100% renewal rate.
The migration from HealthRoster version nine (V9) to V10 continues in line with management plans. Customers that have migrated are located primarily in the UK, along with customers in the USA and Australia.
The Allocate Cloud solution, launched in July, has exceeded management original plans, the company revealed.
The good news continued, with the company revealing that sales of the Zircadian Medics products enjoyed a good year.
Multi-year renewals have been secured with substantially more customers than anticipated demonstrating high levels of customer satisfaction.
The other two legs of the company’s business – Defence and Maritime – also had solid years, characterised by important contract extensions.
"We remain well placed to support the broader healthcare market in general and specifically the NHS in its goals of improving patient care whilst driving improvements in efficiency," Bowles concluded.
House broker Numis said that the performance may have only been in-line on the revenue and operating profit front, but showed strong out-performance “on almost every metric that really matters for the future - cash, bookings, recurring orders, deferred revenue and unbilled orders”.
The broker has been banging on about the increased quality of revenue at Allocate for some time now, and argues that the latest figures leave its forecasts for the current financial year (to 31 May 2014) “comfortably underpinned”.
Numis, which rates the shares as a buy, reckons the key drives for the company are: “1) Strong customer uptake of Cloud (ahead of management’s original expectations and even subsequent re-forecasts). 2) Good sales of Medics products (this includes the former Zircadian business) with increasing multi-year renewals which can yield cash upfront. 3) Good H2 Healthroster sales (after Q1 was impacted by a previously disclosed slowdown) with continued 100% renewal rates.”
Shares in Allocate Software were up 9.0% to 73p in mid-afternoon trading.