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Traders Thread - Thursday 8th January (ANL)     

Crocodile - 07 Jan 2004 21:04

Premarket Futures FTSE +20 DAX +30 DOW +2 S&P +1 Nasdaq +2

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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FTSE TechMark

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures  US News

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Nasdaq 100

[Chart]

S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei +79   Hang Seng +31 Asia News

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10 Year Bond

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UK/US charts have 1,2 or 5 day views. and now FT NEWS & Price link to UK, US & Asian markets. The Dax/CAC and Nikkei/Hang Seng are now switchable
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The Nasdaq closed higher for the third consecutive trading day and finished with a new two-year high. A rally on the DOW pulled back most of the early losses but it still finished down 11 on the day.

Euro falls again against the dollar

Big Food Group owner of the Iceland frozen food chain and Booker wholesale business, said it continues to make steady progress. Group sales for Q3 were up 2% in line with analysts' expectations though slightly down on 2.2 percent growth in the previous quarter.

Hays recruitment said there had been no material change in its performance since its last trading update in November.Wyevale Garden Centres said like-for-like sales rose 5.7 percent year-on-year in the nine weeks to December 28. That left its fourth quarter like-for-like sales 7.9 percent higher

AMEC engineering said it expected to make further progress in 2004, helped by a recovery in its North American market and new business prospects in Iraq.

Alfred McAlpine said its overall financial performance last year had been in line with market expectations.

Taylow Woodrow housebuilder said results would be in line with its expectations, as it continued to benefit from the booming housing market.

House of Fraser department store group under persistent bid speculation said it expected "satisfactory" annual results as cost cuts helped to offset a slowdown in sales in the runup to the key Christmas period. It said like-for-like sales rose 0.1 percent in the 23 weeks to January 3, compared with a 5.4 percent rise in the first seven weeks of the second half of its financial year. (Poor Figures ??)

EasyJet Plc reported a 16 percent rise in passenger traffic for December, shrugging off pressure in the sector from renewed concerns of terror attacks. EasyJet said it carried 1,668,394 passengers last month, up from 1,433,400 passengers a year ago. Its load factor -- a measure of how full its planes are -- also rose to 80 percent from 77 percent.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

Abbey National (I)

Big Food Group Trading Statement

House of Fraser (Update), EasyJet Dec Traffic Kidde Trading Statement, Taylor Woodrow Trading Statement Taylor Nelson Sofres Trading Statement,

Signet Trading Statement

00.01 Dec BRC Shop Price Index

12.00 BOE MPC Rate Announcement

Alcoa

13.30 Initial Jobless Claims (w/e 03/01) 345k exp. 15.00 Nov Wholesale Inventories 0.5% exp. 20.00 Nov Consumer Credit $5.0bn exp.

Carrefour (Update), Renault (Sales)

08.55 Dec German Unemployment Change 5k exp. 11.00 Nov PPI m/m flat exp.

12.45 ECB Rate Announcement

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

Bloomberg TV

Futures

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prodman - 08 Jan 2004 07:51 - 6 of 31

Morning All

Melnibone - 08 Jan 2004 09:33 - 7 of 31

Morning all,

I see we are treading water again with a slightly negative bias.

BOE and ECB rate decisions should be a non event.

Market will wait for the initial jobless claims at 1330 Hrs
before it does anything fancy. If there are no surprises
there, then it will be down to the earnings reporting season,
which starts today, and the good old-fashioned trading reaction
to the news and sentiment.

Melnibone.

little woman - 08 Jan 2004 09:39 - 8 of 31

Morning all

ThePlayboy - 08 Jan 2004 09:48 - 9 of 31

melnibone the old rumour doing the rounds of a pos .25 increase today rather than next month, but dont quote me on it:)

Melnibone - 08 Jan 2004 10:11 - 10 of 31

I'll believe that when I see it TP. :-)

Until the $ stops sliding, raising the Euro or the will just
make the situation worse and make Euroland exports even
more uncompetitive.

Inflation isn't a problem for the BOE. Consumer spending and
house prices would appear to be slowing.

With regard to the ECB, it was known as the 'Surprise Bank'
when Duisenberg was in the hot seat, so I wouldn't be
surprised at anything that that lot get up to.

Melnibone.

ThePlayboy - 08 Jan 2004 10:17 - 11 of 31

Melnibone thx for your thoughts, i follow charts, eco data not my strong point!

Melnibone - 08 Jan 2004 10:23 - 12 of 31

Just heard that Tom H. is doing the Bloomberg TA spot
at 1030 this morning.

Have to have a listen to that. Last time he was on he
was predicting rising markets to July and then a steep
sell off.

I think he is basing it on election year cycles.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 08 Jan 2004 11:10 - 13 of 31

For anyone who missed it, he's saying the same thing.

Markets to spike up over the next two/three trading days.

Dow to go over 10800 and FTSE over 4600.

Retracement to Dow 10300 and FTSE 4330. (approx).

Sideways FEB/MAR.

Then rise to all time highs on the DOW over 11000 which will
drag the FTSE up until mid summer.(July'ish).

Steep sell off for a negative year.

All his views, not mine.

Melnibone.

little woman - 08 Jan 2004 11:10 - 14 of 31

Is it my imagination, or are things a bit static at the moment? Not sure whats going go but ULVR seems to have taken off!

little woman - 08 Jan 2004 12:29 - 15 of 31

D4F don't seem to be following the market prices very closly. Not very helpful if you're trying to "scalp"

little woman - 08 Jan 2004 13:08 - 16 of 31

Still have a small amount of IOT left, and I'm soooooooooooo tempted to sell.

little woman - 08 Jan 2004 13:17 - 17 of 31

looks like the DJ is going to open way up on it's close!

ThePlayboy - 08 Jan 2004 13:26 - 18 of 31

nokia i think helped lw

little woman - 08 Jan 2004 13:41 - 19 of 31

But will it continue, or not?

ThePlayboy - 08 Jan 2004 14:04 - 20 of 31

lw -hold above 4510 and 10550 a good pos, having probs with gni futs platform atm so no charts to study!

stockbunny - 08 Jan 2004 15:08 - 21 of 31

Well the FTSE certainly has the WOW! factor this afternoon
Go ULVR, RTR and LLOY
I could do with more days like this!!!!

stockbunny - 08 Jan 2004 15:53 - 22 of 31

Several trades seen on different companies for 606 shares
Odd amount...there's some 'interesting' people out there (lol)
wonder if it's the same person each time??
((I should get out more!))

Melnibone - 08 Jan 2004 15:57 - 23 of 31

Don't tell the FBI, they'll ground all flights numbered 606. :-)

If it was 666, they would announce the imminent arrival
of the Anti-Christ. :-)

Melnibone.

stockbunny - 08 Jan 2004 16:01 - 24 of 31

LOL Melnibone - good one!!

Melnibone - 08 Jan 2004 16:05 - 25 of 31

draw?movingAverageString=%2C60%2C200&mod

Apart from what looks like an axe mark through the head, the AZN
chart is looking suspiciously like the Head and Shoulders chart
of GSK.

I took a gamble that the 1250 support would hold the neckline on
GSK, but got screwed by the tax bill announcement on that one.
That'll teach me to try and be clever.

Watching AZN but I'll play this one by the book and let the
market speak to me.

Melnibone.
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