Morning all.
Been taking a little time to reflect. What I'm seeing at the moment
is shown in the above chart.
In December we had a swing low circa 4330. We then had one of those
Xmas rallies for no particular reason whilst most traders were signed
off for a two week binge.
We then made a swing low at the end of January, when Standard Life
sold off Billions to meet solvency regulations, to circa 4360.
We are currently below that level, around the 4330 swing low, which
would normally indicate a change in trend. But as I posted yesterday
the P@F chart is indicating a double bottom, not a change in trend.
FTSE doesn't appear to be over valued to my untrained eyes. We coming
to quarter end when Fundies sometimes like to window dress and end on
a positive note so that statements to their customers can be presented
in a good light.
This is also when investors need to use up this years ISA allocation.
So, all in all, I see us back on support, prior to the Xmas rally where
some traders got left behind. Last 3 months profits have been taken back
out of the market and the Bears are sitting on profits that they need
to take.
Unless terrorist events cause a change in trend, I'm looking for longs
from support at the moment, not shorts.
I can't see into the future, same as anyone else whatever they say, so I'll
let the market guide me as usual.
Melnibone.