thestatusquo
- 27 Aug 2004 14:30
Been watching this little company for a while, and was interested to see it tipped in Shares as a play for the coming year.
The potential profit of 15-20million for the Swaylands development of luxury homes over the next 2 years is very exciting.
Company is currently valued at only 11million. Doing the sums, if profits can reach that 20million in 2 years, a reasonable p/e ratio of 10, would push this company towards a valuation closer to 100-200million.
Next years p/e of 2.5 is cheap. Throw in a potential takeover recently announced by the board.
thestatusquo
- 27 Aug 2004 21:28
- 6 of 13
The Swaylands "Gross development value" is marked at 48million. This company would appear to have a lot of development ahead.
IMHO, any takeover would surely be at a higher value than todays price.
momentum
- 29 Aug 2004 10:48
- 7 of 13
TSQ M. Walters recommended these a month or so ago. Theres a good right up and thread on his web site.
thestatusquo
- 31 Aug 2004 18:53
- 8 of 13
Volume still up. Interesting to see how takeover story pans out.
RAB Capital own 24% of the equity at 10pence and have further warrants to subscribe for stock.
IMHO an offer would need to be considerably higher than the current price, given the development potential in the South-east of England.
blakester
- 31 Aug 2004 22:17
- 9 of 13
How high do you think they could go, short term?
thestatusquo
- 01 Sep 2004 18:49
- 10 of 13
Always difficult to predict short term. It's probably fair to assume that if a bid doesn't materialise, the price may drift lower again.
However, bid aside, the development pipeline for this company can deliver profits as far out as 2007 and beyond, perhaps 10-20million of profits. At a conservative p/e of 10 say, you could be looking at a valuation closer to 100million in 2years time, roughly 8-10times the current level.
Ofcourse, this is all merely my opinion, but if this company maintains a good 'hopper' of new development lands coming on stream then the above estimates might prove conservative on a 2-3year view.
thestatusquo
- 06 Sep 2004 18:37
- 11 of 13
Chart looking positive. Takeover story has further to play out but could also be seen as a distraction to the bigger picture.
The 48million Swaylands development is the big game in town. The land bank in the South East is impressive.
Earnings should be well supported over the coming 4 years.
Check out the website.
thestatusquo
- 06 Sep 2004 18:37
- 12 of 13
hangon
- 13 Jul 2006 16:24
- 13 of 13
This thread should be closed - HYG is now a different trading company.
It is part of the stupid Confusion that the LSE perpetuates instead of moving to 4-character EPICs for all new companies.....thereby giving us about 25 times as many Codes as we have at present...
Dozey so-and-so's.