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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

banjomick - 05 Sep 2005 23:03 - 604 of 1497

og post 602-verisimilitude

banjomick - 12 Sep 2005 00:38 - 605 of 1497

At least the Scottish are on the ball:

CONCLUSION

Future trends in prostate cancer will depend greatly on the uptake of PSA testing. This will, if high, in turn identify more men with early disease, for whom radical surgical or other treatments will be considered, and this could have a major impact on urology and oncology services. Clinical trial data, both on the value of PSA testing and the benefits of treatment will have a major impact on these trends. It is likely, whatever the true outcome, that the optimum management of prostate cancer will require more resources, and designated services dedicated to its treatment


http://www.scotland.gov.uk/library3/health/csatp-15.asp

scotinvestor - 12 Sep 2005 06:08 - 606 of 1497

Us Scottish are always on the ball.............did you all see us last week beating Norway in norway. We also just drew with the mighty Italy.

Happy days are coming again.................that is until we play Faroes Island, haha

banjomick - 12 Sep 2005 20:40 - 607 of 1497

scot,yes i actually watched it in a pub in edinburgh while waiting to see Alison Krauss at the playhouse.Didn't know we got beat until next day...was a good day-lol

MDW anyone got any news??

banjomick - 22 Sep 2005 12:28 - 608 of 1497

Good to see a bit of recovery after the last few weeks.

overgrowth - 22 Sep 2005 13:15 - 609 of 1497

mick - I think the fall was probably due to t-traders being forced out of their positions having rolled over once already in anticipation of news any day (you can only rollover t-trades once according to the exchange rules).

The next news is likely to be PSAwatch rolling off the production lines and being sold - we should see some media reviews after folks have bought the product and started using it (another research opportunity for you!).

After then I would expect to hear about the SDA approval for China/Hong Kong - I've been previously advised by Philip Stimpson that this approval can typically take up to a year to come through - only another month to go and that will be a full year since MDW originally applied I believe.

Then we should hear about European and US FDA approval of PSAwatch.

I suspect that the US distribution deal hinges on FDA approval of PSAwatch, so a bit longer to wait for that one.

banjomick - 22 Sep 2005 14:59 - 610 of 1497

og,
Regarding the USA deal,I think it's quite possibe the FDA approval will be sooner than you think.
The PSA test as a test has already got FDA approval and according to the FDA website the average time for approval is 9 months,do you know when or if they applied to FDA?

"(another research opportunity for you!)."....cheers matey,fed up now regarding reading about PSA testing,I should have been awarded a degree in the subject by now :-))

Good post by the way og-cheers

banjomick - 22 Sep 2005 19:37 - 611 of 1497

A bit of fun as we are now heading back up:

http://www.laserp.com/dueling_banjos.htm

banjomick - 03 Oct 2005 23:23 - 612 of 1497

here we see again that small + volume can cause a tick up,great share to watch and own.

Treblewide - 04 Oct 2005 01:24 - 613 of 1497

still got huge concerns over the cash position...and a deal that has taken 18 months to negotiate...now i run a sales team of 8 sales folk...if one of them had a deal that had not closed in this long...i would think it is nonsense, if something does not close in 18 months it will never close....remember it took Oracle only 14 months to buy Peoplesoft via the monopolies and mergers commisson and against a hugely resilient board....makes you wonder what they are still talking about

cash runs out in 9 months, if we get a close below 9p i will dump what i have left, which looks like being soon

T

chocolat - 04 Oct 2005 02:15 - 614 of 1497

Ok mcmardypants - gonna stick my neck out and say I think it's all north from here :)

I fully expect to be squelched if I'm wrong :S

overgrowth - 04 Oct 2005 11:23 - 615 of 1497

Treblewide - the first 12 months weren't taken up with negotiation, the bulk of it was waiting for legal go-ahead.

Cash is not a concern and not dependent on the US deal because the initial revenue boost is going to come from PSAwatch being sold into existing markets.

I believe that the US distribution deal was signed and sealed shortly after the RNS came out, however because selling through PSAwatch into the US is pivotal to the deal it can't be announced that the deal is closed until regulatory (FDA) approval is obtained for PSAwatch in US.

chocolat - 04 Oct 2005 12:25 - 616 of 1497

Have to say if we saw 9p again I'd change my mind, but to me the uptrend is clear from last September

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

Just keep chivying us along og ;)

banjomick - 10 Oct 2005 22:53 - 617 of 1497

Men who have a yearly blood test to examine their prostate specific antigen levels are nearly three times less likely to die from prostate cancer than those who dont have annual screenings, according to a study presented October 19, 2005, at the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncologys 47 th Annual Meeting in Denver.

http://www.astro.org/annual_meeting/media_corner/annual_meeting_press_releases/101905prostate.htm

andrewbertram2003 - 11 Oct 2005 10:26 - 618 of 1497

Whoa thats even more amazing that we know of an event in the future. Banjo can you predict share price movements, news, profit forecasts...let me know. Thanks.

banjomick - 11 Oct 2005 11:28 - 619 of 1497

lol,yes i can but only for my own gains...sorry.

I took it as,it would be presented 19/10/05 !

Treblewide - 17 Oct 2005 12:24 - 620 of 1497

added a few more earlier at 9.525.

will close if it looks as though the offer will close below 9p

andysmith - 17 Oct 2005 13:07 - 621 of 1497

treblewide, why buy that many today and jump so quick if there is a drop??

Treblewide - 17 Oct 2005 13:09 - 622 of 1497

andy coz imho 9p is where the uptrend falters.........so i would have thought that buying on uptrend support with a stop below is common sense trading unless I am missing something?

or are you suggesting i have more than a 20% stop loss on this?

Treblewide - 17 Oct 2005 16:13 - 623 of 1497

i might be out sooner rather than later!
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