Patientline is begining to reach critical mass with its penetration of the NHS.
This from their website:
"The market-leading pioneer of bedside communication and entertainment services within the NHS healthcare sector since 1994.
We offer a comprehensive solution partnering Trusts in delivering digital TV, telephone, free 24hr radio, internet, email and information services direct to bedside.
Our state of the art technology delivers a range of Trust focused facilities designed to reduce hospital staff workload thereby improving patient care.
Patientline is exclusively focused on providing bedside services and remains committed to improving the hospital experience for patients and streamlining patient care for our hospitals.
Patientline continues to be the market leader in offering bedside communication and entertainment services."

A round of fundraising in June 2002 saw the company raise 128m - this on top of 40 from its flotation in March 2001.
On 15th December, PTL delivered a strong set of results which reassured many in the city that the company is on track to corner the patient bedside information/comms/entertainement niche in the NHS.

The rollout is going to plan and PTL now has 51% share of the hospitals in its target market with 19% yet to decide.

Revenues are now at 16.1m - up 77% in the first half, with operating margins up from 44% to 50%.

PTL's business plan is augmented by the Government's Patient Power Directive which is promting bedside TV and communication services and has stipulated that any hospital >400 beds must have contracted a service provider by end of 2004.

However compelling the core business is , the exciting kicker here could be provided with the possiblity of dislpay of electronic patient records at the bedside. For anyone who has worked in the NHS and experienced the frustration of being slow - or even unable - to find patients notes, especially in emergencies, this could be very important if PTL's network is used to facilitate the bedside delivery of the Integrated Care Records Service.

Techncially, the stock looks strong having broken out of a 4 month consolidation.
Next level seems to be around 1.40 however any more positive newsflow could drive it quickly back to old highs over the 2 mark.
With the next few months seeing a number of key NHS IT contracts being awarded, 2004 could well be a pivotal year for PTL.

Please DYOR.

I have a brokers note should anyone care to read more - email me at ninadan@hotmail.com
http://www.patientline.co.uk

Share price seemed to have tumbled away recently from 160p-odd to 128p (and falling) today. Any thoughts why - lack of news ? something nasty becoming known ? bit of profit taking after a good run ? worry abut annual results ?

BTW#1 Anybody know when the results are out - I see the year end is 31/03 so assume sometime in mid-May ?

BTW#2 Looking at the yearly graph, is it forming what's know as a head-and-shoulders, and what is the general meaning/result of this ? (as you can tell, I'm not a chartist !)...

Regards.

PitBull.

Well at last a turnaround after a few days of profit taking.

cheers GF.

You taking the p*ss by any chance PitBull ?

I would also like to know what one of these "head and shoulders" things mean, should i buy some?, help!

Dil - huh ? in what way ?

Regards.

PitBull

PitBull
Ignore him, he's probably drunk, just rang my mum, she says a H&S is bearish, so i'm not buying yet, she actually said, and i quote.....

"Dailos my darling, The head and shoulders pattern is generally regarded as a reversal pattern and it is most often seen in uptrends. It is also most reliable when found in an uptrend as well. Eventually, the market begins to slow down and the forces of supply and demand are generally considered in balance. Sellers come in at the highs (left shoulder) and the downside is probed (beginning neckline.) Buyers soon return to the market and ultimately push through to new highs (head.) However, the new highs are quickly turned back and the downside is tested again (continuing neckline.) Tentative buying re-emerges and the market rallies once more, but fails to take out the previous high. (This last top is considered the right shoulder.) Buying dries up and the market tests the downside yet again. Your trendline for this pattern should be drawn from the beginning neckline to the continuing neckline. (Volume has a greater importance in the head and shoulders pattern in comparison to other patterns. Volume generally follows the price higher on the left shoulder. However, the head is formed on diminished volume indicating the buyers aren't as aggressive as they once were. And on the last rallying attempt-the left shoulder-volume is even lighter than on the head, signaling that the buyers may have exhausted themselves.) New selling comes in and previous buyers get out. The pattern is complete when the market breaks the neckline. (Volume should increase on the breakout.)

Love Mum xxx

P.S here's a picture son...

Does that mean its going up then lol.

cheers GF

If you are the PitBull of old then you know damn well about Head and Shoulders ... clears dandruff in a week apparently. If not then ask Dailos ... he knows everything about everything except when it comes to rugby.

:-)

Regards

Dil,

Sorry - not the same PitBull - I'm a fairly recent joiner on MoneyAM having been (fairly quiet) on TMF for a few years. Also don't have dandruff problem (and Nizoral is better than H&S - apparantly!) :-)

Cheers.

PitBull.

Time for a bin-bag thread methinks.

One to tuck away......



Here's something similar, yet apparently one is a long and one a short. Go figure.

Maybe Cat uses a stop loss Bones , I certainly do , try it you'll sleep better.

There are and have always been far more "rampers" than "derampers" on the bprg threads but the price is still falling which imo suggests that anything said on these boards has very little effect.

Good luck but 100p for bprg now looks on the cards looking at the above chart.

Appears he does Bones.

Cat - 9 Mar'04 - 12:28 - 7812 of 7843


PTL - wouldnt touch it at the moment - cud go back to the quid.



Regards

So why doesn't he inform his readers on the PTL thread here that he has sold?

I am happy with my approach thanks. I still have a 200% profit on my overall BPRG dealings and do not intend to sell those I have (I have traded some on the way up). The thing is I am not holding BPRG for trading reasons overall so it is irrelevant to some extent so long as the outlook hasn't changed which I don't think it has.

Think he did , not going to fall out with you over this - I posted my reasons for calling it down when I did and believed them to be very valid regardless of the companies fundamentals which I still know very little about.

Good luck Bones.

An excelent post from Robbie Williams The Frequenttrader............


A few concerned e-mails about falls in Patientline although my response these days tends to be "you bought it - you decide whether to sell!" (Aren't I a tough guy!)

One bloke got very angry with himself and was shaken out at 126p. I replied and said you might be glad about that if it goes below!

Look, the market makers are our enemy! They are out to play mind games with us and want you to feel pain.

All I can say is if you did your homework and you think you are in a stock that has a good growth story stick with it and it'll come good over time. If you change your mind and that growth story is beginning not to look so rosy, get out! ENDS.

Couldnt agree more Robbie, and thats why I am staying put in PTL and adding more.

cheers GF.

Sorry to spoil this but I can see a visible shoulder-head-shoulder formation. IMHO if I had some shares here. To me the next stop is 110p. This is just my view. I will keep an eye on this one as I really like their business they are in. Thanks

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RNS stating that Deutsche Bank client now holding 12.95% of the company - investment or stakebuilding?

Broker update from Ev Bee Greg. (noticed that BJ not sure)

Patientline (PTL) Add

Mkt cap: 123m Net cash: -26m Trading update Price/Target:135p/145p
On target for terminal rollout

In the past the ability to rollout the bedside terminal networks has proven
the most serious challenge. PTL has learned from several years of
experience and now the implementation is almost ‘clockwork’.
At the beginning of the year we predicted a rollout of c.20,000 terminals in
the year to March 2004, and the Company has hit that target in the middle of
the month. This level of predictability is a far cry from the early days of
operations when delays and uncertainty in ward availability led to the
company missing its rollout targets. To some extent this was beyond PTL’s
control, dependent upon the NHS and the supply of terminals. Experience is
having a real impact here and allowed the Company to take that control.
With 55,000 terminals now installed the company is a long way through the
crucial UK rollout phase. We originally envisaged a total rollout of 75,000
terminals, however given the success of its NHS IT partner IDX in winning
LSP contracts London and the SE, this is likely to be higher. At 20,000
terminals p.a. there is likely to be another two years of rollout.

Once downtime has been found for the wards to be fitted out, the rest of the
business model is actually quite predictable. We expect the average revenue
per terminal per day will continue to grow steadily as patients become more
familiar with the terminals, offset by the pull-down of new terminals being
added with low initial usage. Encouragingly revenues from mature T2 sites
are ahead of T1, demonstrating the value of the new services on offer.
We also expect gross margins will be raised by the rollout of digital services
this year, and that overheads will remain steady during the rollout phase
and drop off significantly thereafter as the costs of the rollout disappear.
Depreciation and interest will remain the major draws on profit. Cash
generation will of course be strong and constant.

Based on a 20,000 terminal installed this year our DCF valuation in
December estimated a fair price of 124p on a high discount rate of 10%.
Patientline is meeting that forecast and the model is looking more certain
everyday. On that basis the risk and discount rate is steadily falling and we
therefore raise our price target to 145p.

cheers GF.

This ones being doing very well in these horrible markets.

cheers Gf.