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sefton resources (SER)     

dexter01 - 25 May 2004 13:51

does anyone know anything about these guys?,there has been some buying and (a lot)of selling .i am trying to find something really really cheap to speculate without the fear of losing much if the worst happened.

thanks.
dexter.






mjr1234 - 02 Nov 2005 12:05 - 62 of 98

.

mjr1234 - 02 Nov 2005 12:08 - 63 of 98

WHY DON'T YOU COME ON HERE OR ANOTHER PUBLIC FORUM AND EXPLAIN YOUR ACTIONS??

mjr1234 - 02 Nov 2005 17:35 - 64 of 98

2M BUYS V 1.35M SELLS and DOWN 10%.

BLATENT MANIPULATION.

explosive - 02 Nov 2005 19:33 - 65 of 98

mjr1234 - "WHY DON'T YOU COME ON HERE OR ANOTHER PUBLIC FORUM AND EXPLAIN YOUR ACTIONS??"

You talking to me or just out loud??

Agree with your last post though this share is being manipulated, happened all summer also....

Cellby - bids back 0.28 thats good enough for me to start buying up more shares. Lets hope on morning trading deals are better than the 50K two days ago that you reported..

mjr1234 - 02 Nov 2005 19:37 - 66 of 98

Hi explosive,

No talking to the MM's!

cellby - 02 Nov 2005 21:10 - 67 of 98

all sorts of jigery and some pockery going on with this share ,tryed a limit order after close quote .4 to buy 150k . my last buy 19 sept =375k , .28 x150k would be good cheap enough to loose the fee,s ,why would people sell oils coming up better than eVer . i haVe a lot of oils this one been worst performer but seems its coming together on oil not share price.

explosive - 03 Nov 2005 14:07 - 68 of 98

Just obtained a quote on 250K the best price was .40 so have left it as looking for .35 or below. Also enquired about quantities and was told that 250 through 1 MM is about the limit. My broker is selftrade..

mjr1234 - 03 Nov 2005 14:13 - 69 of 98

Looks like you missed your chance for today. Could get them at 0.32 this morning.

mjr1234 - 03 Nov 2005 16:07 - 70 of 98

Some nice chunky buys today. Still MM's stubbonly refuse to raise the bid!

mjr1234 - 07 Nov 2005 11:12 - 71 of 98

Now's your chance explosive - 0.31 on offer!

mjr1234 - 07 Nov 2005 11:41 - 72 of 98

Now 0.30! Only 37.5k available mind you :(

explosive - 07 Nov 2005 21:44 - 73 of 98

OK I've just placed an out of hours buy at best, 338,822 shares @ .29... So if it goes through in the morning you know its mine!! :-)..... My Griffin shares are nearly at there target also so maybe if the price stays low will be able to pick up another half mil (fingers crossed) shortly.. What this share needs is some major shareholders as currently there are none... Having said that with a market cap of under 3mil without a major investor were not on anyones watch list. Does anyone have info on director holdings?

Anyone also have a forecast or prediction for sp in next 12 months, would be pleased to hear your views?

mjr1234 - 08 Nov 2005 14:00 - 74 of 98

Hi explosive, these are my price predictions. They are based on current plans for revenue expansion, and also rely on the overhang being cleared allowing this to reach a fair value based on a p/e ratio of 10. The figures using 5xturnover are very similar.

3 months - 0.6-0.8p
6 months - 0.8-1.2p
12 months - 1.6-2.4p
18 months - 3.2-4.8p

explosive - 08 Nov 2005 21:52 - 75 of 98

All - my buy at best was rejected, as the share price hasn't moved all day I can only come to the conclusion that by broker couldn't purchase the 338,822 shares I requested. I would definatly seam that volumes aren't currently on offer. Will speak to my broker in person tomorrow and try to buy again. If sucessful I'll advise on this thread tomorrow night.

mjr1234, your figures look great and I would love to see your 6-12 month prediction of 1.2p come true. I think that the p/e ratio of 10 is too much though. Seftons EPS diluted is -.10c, against a .51c share price (general FX converter used). I make current PE -5 only due to the fact that Sefton didn't make a profit on its last trading statement and drilled 5 new wells (seftons RNS dated 07/09).

With more expenditure planned through drilling and bringing SAD (Steam Assisted Drainage) into the equation I believe the P/E will remain low.

Having said all this I now look at your 5xturnover and the PEG which I may add am finding rather difficult to calculate.

EPS Growth???? Big question, anyone got any ideas or a figure!!!

We know that the growth potential of the share is massive, current high oil prices (set to rise further if the US have a good cold winter), low production costs, SAD maximising oil flow which should without further wells push the 200 bopd higher etc. And not forgetting the 1,000 acres of unexplored lease on the Eureka site!...

EPS still got me, have been typing in this grey box for ages now, and still no answer!!! At a very wild guess I'll do a prediction and go for 4 (may you all abuse me and curl up in fits of laughter).... Calculations please though!!

Anyway that would give me a PEG like a rocket of a staggering -1.25....

No doubt I'll re-look at this, I believe that the bottle has now got the better of me. I'll post though as I'd appreciate any calculations you may have.

mjr1234 - I'd be very interested to see your calculations and predictions especially regarding your p/e calculation. Also your x5 turnover figure, could you please justify as this would increase bopd to 1000 not counting methane possible future sales. If I am correct.....

Diablo666 - 09 Nov 2005 12:51 - 76 of 98

Bull trapping but still a good buy in opp. @ 0.29. for 2nd time today.
DYOR

mjr1234 - 09 Nov 2005 13:24 - 77 of 98

It's a very good buy in opp. At .29, this share is ridiculously cheap.

What do you mean by "Bull trapping" by the way?

Diablo666 - 09 Nov 2005 13:35 - 78 of 98

MJ

MM spread movements etc, giving an impression that it's about to run then cutting back... No worries though, this one will definately run...

The last year has produced plenty of opps. for high % gains... this is just another one especially at this price... I'm looking forward to re-rating and production updates but equally happy to dip in and out on the waves... Plenty of profit to be made eh? :p

BTW - liked the Nov 2nd post you made... (Pre-edited one) never laughed so much in a long-time... Shame you had to edit it... was definately an award winner lol.

666

mjr1234 - 09 Nov 2005 13:41 - 79 of 98

I agree re the future on this one. Not sure about dipping in and out, a very dangerous game with this one, and the spread rarely allows it.

Re: the edited post, yes I was pretty pissed off on that day!

Diablo666 - 09 Nov 2005 13:57 - 80 of 98

MJ

No worries on dipping, got it down to a fine art now... only do it when I sense the MM & Bears are about to step in...

Shame these guy's aren't more pro-active on news updates though, especially as production appears to be well above initial target rates... 500 bpd touched according to their website. Either way, easy money...

666
PS: Rest assured, it won't be me selling 500k @ 0.25 lol

mjr1234 - 09 Nov 2005 13:59 - 81 of 98

The question is, just who is selling these 500k's at 0.25p? They must be pretty desperate to get out? Could it be the last of their holdings?
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