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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

ptholden - 21 May 2005 21:50 - 63 of 1497

Andy,

You sure that's how you spell 'mon amie'?

Just sent you an internal email, don't know if it works over the weekend, I would assume so.

Pete

optomistic - 21 May 2005 22:42 - 64 of 1497

Andy, download the Google toolbar, it has a spellchecker on it. Good for when you are doing important stuff. Not important on here really, it's good to have a laugh...we all make em :-)

SEADOG - 22 May 2005 12:49 - 65 of 1497

The company recieved a 1m order from Bard a part of a 5 yr agreement to supply its portable bladder scanners and has settled legal issues regarding distribution issues in the states. Year ends 30th april prelim results begining of July. (from Co REFS )

overgrowth - 23 May 2005 09:22 - 66 of 1497

Cheers Seadog - Co. REFS as succinct as ever have picked out the key news from the year.

Legal issues for US distribution were announced as resolved on December 8th 2004 - so that all important deal can't be too far away now. That particular release included the comments:

"Said Mediwatch CEO Philip Stimpson: " We believe that our products are the best
in the sector, providing clinicians with innovation, quality and value.

" Moving into the USA will enable Mediwatch to compete for business in one of
the biggest health care markets in the world."

With increasing life expectancy and an ageing population, prostate and
urological conditions are among the fastest growing health problems encountered
by doctors today."

The equipment order from CR Bard was announced on 27th October 2004:

"Said Mediwatch CEO Philip Stimpson: " The technology we provide is increasingly
being recognised as some of the best in the business."

"This order demonstrates Mediwatch's ability to supply clinicians with the
latest, innovative, diagnostic solutions, harnessing technology to provide
patients with better medical care"".

Also announced last year:

1) The distribution agreements enabling MDW to sell into China and Hong Kong with the companies Physiotec Electronics Ltd and Tronda Electronics.

2) SonoSite Inc's unit, SonoSite Ltd to distribute the MDW's hand-carried ultrasound systems for the UK urology market and SonoSite will supply Mediwatch with its TITAN ultrasound technology to be incorporated into Mediwatch's proprietary 'One Stop' Prostate Assessment System, which is currently under development.

There's plenty going on at Mediwatch and as we will see as this year progresses, there is plenty more to come also.

banjomick - 23 May 2005 16:35 - 67 of 1497

og,that top graph looked great last week,don't like the look of it now though....too dramatic!

optomistic - 23 May 2005 19:55 - 68 of 1497

Banjomick, no problem with the chart, steep rise put the RSI into the overbought area, MACD still going in the right direction. Now as to the Stochastic I could never get the gist of that one, although I have tried :-)
After this slight setback lets look for the next up move to take us back above 8.5p to continue the up trend.
opto

banjomick - 23 May 2005 21:39 - 69 of 1497

optomistic,have no problem with mdw.It's the top chart (not graph-lol)just makes me smile with the max/min limits that's all.
Must admit,I was a bit suprised when it dropped below 8.5 a couple of months ago,but there you ago.More positive news required.

overgrowth - 23 May 2005 22:10 - 70 of 1497

Guys - I believe that consolidation at this point is a good thing.

It's true as banjomick says that news is required to really start lift-off, though I'm happy right now that the price isn't rising and rising without news because huge upward trends have a nasty habit of spiking and coming back down to where they started.



petralva - 24 May 2005 19:09 - 71 of 1497

i see there were 2 500,000 buys?
are they rollovers or sells from this morning drop?

overgrowth - 24 May 2005 19:15 - 72 of 1497

petravla - looks like T+ a rollover from this morning to me - note how close the times are.

Someone thinks it's worth wagering 40K that the price will go up nicely in the next 4 weeks.

banjomick - 24 May 2005 23:35 - 73 of 1497

og,consolidation...why do you suggest that?At the present time i don't think that would help anyone,the only possible reason for that would be if deals had been done ie.licencing.Trying to remember now,but are we not waiting for the USA/china licencing to go through..or have i missed something?Once they are completed things might change!imho and a few beers-lol

SEADOG - 25 May 2005 09:11 - 74 of 1497

banjomick,
Re China & Hong Kong, see post 65. SD

optomistic - 25 May 2005 10:26 - 75 of 1497

China is most adept at selling products around the world, am I alone in thinking that the Chinese appear to make it difficult to sell to them.
Could be a good policy for other countries, like us to adopt....build some walls that are surmountable but only just. Would bring down the balance of payments deficits.

overgrowth - 25 May 2005 12:25 - 76 of 1497

banjomick - spikes on low volume are no good for anyone other than "pump 'n' dumpers" - hence my comment that a little retracement is a good thing.

We're waiting for the announcement of the company who will distribute MDW's products in the USA (FDA approval was given at the start of 2004) and the announcement of Chinese SDA approval (their version of the US FDA approval - note that the Chinese and Hong Kong distribution companies are already primed and ready to roll).

We're also waiting for the new product launch.

News on any of these will cause the sp to surge upwards, better to do this (from a TA point of view) from a stable uptrend with retracements than half way up a spike.

optomistic - you could be right there on China. Though they are lacking natural resources in many areas - e.g. oil (not that they don't have oil - they just haven't invested in extracting it themselves yet). There are also many other areas where lack of expertise, lack of appropriate equipment etc. will cause them to buy in from other countries. There's still a lot of third world mentality there, though this is changing gradually. If Mediwatch gain a foothold into China in these early growth years then as "brand awareness" comes more to the fore, they should be able to maintain a relatively stable position. The key thing will be preventing the Chinese from copying the technology I would guess.

The US deal, in comparison, is projected to be instantly lucrative and will remain so for the foreseeable future.

overgrowth - 26 May 2005 14:48 - 77 of 1497

Very boring today on the small cap. front so I thought I'd do a bit more Mediwatch research.

I was really trying to get to grips with all the products currently in development and stumbled across this comment in a post on iii last year where "Booza" was talking to Alun Hicks (non exec. director) regarding the US deal:

"...One very interesting point came out when I accidentally described the deal as massive Mr Hicks hastily replied Well, Id hardly describe 15 to 20 million as massive but to a small AIM listed company it is certainly huge..

I assume that this is in $ though I'm unsure as to what it actually means - size of initial contract? Estimated sales per annum (wow) ?

In the prelims which were out on 6th July last year the comment "Access to the US market will have a major impact on future sales." was made - it's going to be a biggie by the sounds of things!

Anyway back to the products:

1) The main product of interest currently in development is the quantitative point of care PSA diagnostic system (Bioscan). The phase I clinical evaluation with the NHS has proved successful and Mediwatch are in the process of gaining approval for this in Europe and the US. First commercial revenues from this product are expected to start rolling in during the 2005/06 financial year.

2) Extension/upgrade of the existing portable bladder scanner (Portascan) system to create Portascan II which unlike the earlier version will be able to be used in other areas of pathology, vascular, emergency and veterinary medicine. Portascan II is due to be available mid. 2005.

3) A new multiscanner is being designed particularly for obstetrics, IVF, urology and veterinary medicine (Multiscan).

4) The arrangement with Sonsite enables Mediwatch to develop the next generation of the existing "one-stop" prostate assessment system/workstation. This product should be launched in the 3rd quarter of 2005.

5) A new quantitative point of care bladder cancer test to be used in conjunction with the Bioscan reader (Bladderwatch) is under development.

and a couple of minor developments:

6) Compact specimen collection device for prostate biopsies. Should be available in second half of 2004/05 fy.

7) Disposable product to assist control of incontinence associated with prostate conditions. Also should be available in second half of 2004/05 fy.

Another thing I noticed is that Mediwatch have a distribution deal set up in South America also - though I guess it's only a minor market out there.

petralva - 27 May 2005 09:21 - 78 of 1497

it's just shot up 0.38 on no trades.....is something about to happen?

Oakapples142 - 27 May 2005 09:30 - 79 of 1497


Would be unusual on a Friday before a bank holiday unless its USA !!!

overgrowth - 27 May 2005 13:55 - 80 of 1497

Looks as though that 150,000 buy (recorded as a sell) pushed the price up - they got a good deal for that amount of shares (more than NMS I believe)!

overgrowth - 27 May 2005 15:17 - 81 of 1497

Now up 0.5p - looks as though this is the start to the next rally (after that small consolidation I mentioned earlier)...

ptholden - 27 May 2005 15:20 - 82 of 1497

OG

Just need a nudge to get above 8.5 to make sure we don't get another double top. A bit of news would do wonders for this share (says he, stating the bloody obvious!).
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