SEE LATEST CHOICE IN LATEST POST

There are existing threads specific to betting short or long on indices.
On this one I plan to stick to individual UK stocks, and will post other examples of favourite fallers.
My downbets are sometimes just an hour or so, sometimes days, weeks, months. So bear in mind(!) that some of the charts shown may become irrelevant within days.
I mainly use IG Index, but also Spreadex

SEE LATEST CHOICE IN LATEST POST

APR Energy (APR) develops and operates a fleet of readymade containerised electricity generation plants that can be quickly shipped to wherever needed. Their share price has been falling since October 2013 - down more than 80% so far.

IBEX (post 63) falling again - down 6.3% already this morning.

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APR still sliding. Lost half its value in the last 11 weeks. Down a whopping 85% from Oct 2013 peak.

It would need to grow sevenfold to get back to its highs.
The ongoing suspension of its operations in Libya (biggest contract by far) is reportedly costing it an estimated $17m per month in lost revenue.

(chart in Post 64)

Good luck to all who are buying in on the basis of APR's asset value and in anticipation of a sharp bounce on any good news from Libya. Libyan government ratification of APR's contract extension could prompt a very sudden spike upwards in its share price.

But latest news on the overall situation in Libya remains grim and understandably affects the share price of all listed companies operating there, deterring many investors:

New York Times latest from Libya

In the event that the Libyan situation is not resolved in APR's favour, there must be doubts about how the company would ship its generators elsewhere - with so much disruption of ports and airports - and the risk of equipment being seized by fighters. About a fifth of APR's fleet is in Libya. The country is desparately short of electricity, and APR's equipment is something that various factions might relish control of.

So, APR has conceded defeat and thrown in the towel on its biggest contract. It now has the problem of getting its equipment out of war torn Libya without any faction seizing it.

wow .... if you were short there, then very well done indeed

for myself, have just opened a small short on QPP at 107.25 as the news of the potential sale of one the assets wasn't quite accurate

Yep, was short APR ;o)

What's your view on Afren ? upside more then downside now

your choice, but i think this is now dead in the water as far as PIs are concerned

No one seems to know its value , except those who have looked at the books even that depends who want's to take it on

FXPO could pretty much collapse to nothing from here. Iron ore plunged again overnight down 4% to near 6 year low.

Operating in Ukraine as well.........

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I have renewed my downbet on APR Energy (APR). The share price has tried repeatedly to break upwards through the £4 level, but appears to have given up and looks like falling away. By rights it ought to crash heavily sometime, going by the string of bad news announcements and director resignations over the past year.

putting the 25, 50 and 200 dma lines is also a good indicator, and looks like a good call

black = 200
red = 25
green = 50



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i trust you have no objection if i post this "next door" where there are at least a few sensible threads

Manuel,

You won't be able to understand them, if you do!

piss off crumbly one :-))