overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Oakapples142
- 27 May 2005 14:41
- 65 of 1009
And it can always come to rest on ZERO eh "Overgrowth"
Fundamentalist
- 27 May 2005 15:11
- 66 of 1009
Hi all - OG is spot on in his assessment.
This is a change in reporting standards which has been know about for a while and was referred to in the annual reports. Ultimately it relates to a non cash item and how it is treated in the balance sheet and released through the P&L account.
The three major items are that goodwill is not to be ammortised, that R&D costs are to be capitalised and then ammortised over project life, and that Long Term Incentive Plan grants are to be charged to the P&L.
The link below takes you to the presentation document on the ReD website
http://www.redplc.com/documents/Impact_of_the_conversion_from_UK_GAAP_to_IFRS.pdf
Fundamentalist
- 02 Jun 2005 12:41
- 69 of 1009
OG
just read the post on advfn - all sounds perfectly logical to me though the EPS increase sounds high to me - i plan to try and have a look at the annual report later to decipher in what currency overhead costs are borne and also whether the company is fully exposed to interest rates or whether they have exchange rate hedging in place (in which case they will only receive part of the benefit)
also, the figures used are pre the acocunting changes recently, will prob look even better on the revised figures.
daves dazzlers
- 03 Jun 2005 18:34
- 71 of 1009
My be 26 will be here next week ?
daves dazzlers
- 03 Jun 2005 18:48
- 73 of 1009
Evening OG,,thanks for that i had forget about it,as to the recent falls in the sp that may well be down to the uncertainty at that conference,what do you think ?
daves dazzlers
- 03 Jun 2005 19:05
- 75 of 1009
Its looking good for rtd no doubt ,but its all about entry points for me OG and working towards 20%+ from there,
Good luck all,and time for a beer.
Fundamentalist
- 03 Jun 2005 21:06
- 76 of 1009
OG
RTD have never to my knowledge ever announced anything that would effect the share price at a conference - i think they are properly run and hence any decent info comes via the RNS system. I think there is more chance of an uplift with the run up to the half yr results and any new contract announcements (which based on history they tend to keep 1 or 2 for results time)
must find the time to re-review the annual report with view to the accounting changes and interest rate fluctuations - will try to post a rebased best guess for next yr f/cast results
Douggie
- 06 Jun 2005 12:04
- 78 of 1009
I am not surprised that there is NO RNS for a new contract this a.m...;-/
no reason just not surprised!
disappointed though...;o\
Fred1new
- 07 Jun 2005 09:19
- 79 of 1009
Douggie, they must have heard your prayers.
Vgood news
UK smallcap opening - Retail Decisions up as three-way JV signed
AFX
LONDON (AFX) - Buyers came for Retail Decisions, 1-1/4 pence better at 28-1/2 after the fuel card operator and card fraud prevention and payment processing group disclosed it is investing in Digital Payments, a new three-way joint venture being launched by Retail Decisions with partners Voca and Mi-Pay.
Voca, formerly known as BACS, is the secure payments processor and the organisation behind Direct Debit and Direct Credit.
Mi-Pay is a micropayments and mobile phone pre-pay solution provider in which ReD recently announced it has a 20 pct equity investment.
fjb/ra
pachandl
- 07 Jun 2005 09:30
- 80 of 1009
Excellent news. RTD is clearly not sitting on its laurels but is continuing to look for new revenue streams that will cement its premium place in the industry.
Oakapples142
- 07 Jun 2005 09:52
- 81 of 1009
Agreed pachandl there is still around 97% of the world market for them to tap into